Ole Miss Dominates Missouri in Convincing Victory
Saturday, October 17, 2026, 3:30 PM ET · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Ole Miss Rebels 31, Missouri Tigers 3, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Missouri Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels?
Ole Miss Rebels beat Missouri Tigers 31-3 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on October 17, 2026.
Who was favored in Missouri Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels?
Ole Miss Rebels were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -180 (about 64% implied). The favorite won.
In a commanding performance, the Ole Miss Rebels triumphed over the Missouri Tigers with a final score of 31-3 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. This victory solidifies Ole Miss's strong home record, bringing it to 6-0 this season. The Rebels have shown remarkable form, boasting a 5-1 record overall and a recent streak of one win, with an impressive average of 37.9 points scored and 22.3 points allowed over their last ten games. In contrast, Missouri, now at 5-2, has faced challenges on the road, with a 2-2 away record this season.
The Rebels' recent form has been particularly strong, highlighted by their last ten games where they recorded a 9-1 record. Ole Miss's scoring prowess has been evident, as they have averaged 38.8 points in their last five games, while allowing 28.0 points. Their latest outing saw them defeat the Vanderbilt Commodores decisively with a score of 52-17, showcasing their offensive capabilities. In their previous home game, they also managed to edge past the LSU Tigers with a score of 32-24, further emphasizing their dominance at home.
On the other hand, Missouri has been on a positive trajectory as well, winning their last two games. They entered this matchup with a 7-3 record over their last ten games, averaging 31.8 points scored and 20.5 points allowed. Their recent victories included a solid 27-6 win against Texas A&M and a 45-17 rout of Florida. However, they have struggled against tougher opponents, as seen in their earlier loss to Mississippi State.
Historically, this matchup has seen Ole Miss perform well, and they continued that trend with this latest victory. The Rebels have been particularly formidable at home, which has played a significant role in their success this season. The conditions at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium were favorable, contributing to the Rebels' performance.
In terms of injuries, the block did not provide specific details, but typically, injuries can impact team dynamics significantly. Both teams have had to navigate their share of injuries throughout the season, which can affect performance, especially in crucial matchups like this one.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Rebels favored with a spread of -4.0, indicating a belief in their ability to win by a significant margin. The total points line was set at 57.5, suggesting expectations for a high-scoring game, which did not materialize given the final score.
As the game unfolded, viewers were treated to a display of Ole Miss's offensive strength and defensive resilience. The Rebels' ability to score consistently while limiting Missouri's offensive opportunities was a key factor in their victory. The final score of 31-3 reflects not only a dominant performance by Ole Miss but also highlights the challenges Missouri faced in trying to keep pace with a high-scoring opponent.
What we said beforehand
The Ole Miss Rebels will host the Missouri Tigers at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on October 17, 2026, in a matchup that features two teams with strong records. Ole Miss comes into the game with a home record of 4-1, while Missouri boasts an impressive away record of 5-1. This contest is particularly intriguing given the recent form of both teams, with Ole Miss having won four of their last five games and Missouri winning five of their last six.
In their last five games, Ole Miss has recorded victories against the Louisville Cardinals (41-38), Charlotte 49ers (41-9), LSU Tigers (32-24), and Vanderbilt Commodores (52-17), with their only loss coming against the Florida Gators (28-52). This stretch showcases their offensive capabilities, averaging 38.8 points scored while allowing 28.0 points during this period. On the other hand, Missouri's recent form includes wins over the Kansas Jayhawks (38-21), Troy Trojans (27-17), Florida Gators (45-17), and Texas A&M Aggies (27-6), with a loss to the Mississippi State Bulldogs (24-31). Missouri has averaged 32.2 points scored and allowed 18.4 points in their last five games.
When looking at home versus away performance, Ole Miss has been particularly strong at home, holding a 6-0 record in their last ten home games, while Missouri has a 2-2 record in their last four away games. The Rebels have averaged 37.9 points scored and allowed 22.3 points at home this season, indicating their dominance in familiar surroundings. Conversely, Missouri's away games have seen them average 31.8 points scored and 20.5 points allowed, showing they can compete on the road, but not as effectively as Ole Miss at home.
In terms of individual performances, Ole Miss is led by quarterback Trinidad Chambliss, who has thrown for 1,435 yards with 11 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Running back Kewan Lacy has contributed significantly with 230 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. The receiving corps is highlighted by Deuce Alexander, who has 503 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. For Missouri, quarterback Austin Simmons has thrown for 1,434 yards with 14 touchdowns and just 1 interception, while running back Jamal Roberts leads the ground game with 828 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Cayden Lee is the top receiver for the Tigers, with 616 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns.
The betting market currently favors Missouri, with DraftKings listing the Tigers as 4-point favorites. The total points for the game is set at 58.5, with over odds at -112.0 and under odds at -108.0. The moneyline shows Ole Miss at -185.0 and Missouri at 154.0, indicating a competitive matchup.
Weather conditions for the game are expected to be mild, with a temperature of 66°F and no precipitation forecasted. However, wind gusts could reach up to 28 mph, which may impact passing and kicking games.
As the game approaches, viewers should watch for how Ole Miss's high-scoring offense matches up against Missouri's defense, which has been effective in limiting points in recent games. Additionally, the performance of both quarterbacks will be crucial, as each has shown the ability to lead their respective teams effectively. The outcome of this game could have significant implications for both teams as they look to solidify their positions in the NCAAF standings.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | MISS -4 | 57.5 o -105 / u -115 | Missouri Tigers +150 · Ole Miss Rebels -180 |
Leaders
- Passing yardsTrinidad Chambliss20/36, 241 YDS, 3 TDOle Miss Rebels
- Rushing yardsKewan Lacy16 CAR, 122 YDSOle Miss Rebels
- Receiving yardsCaleb Cunningham3 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TDOle Miss Rebels
- Passing yardsAustin Simmons25/44, 339 YDS, 1 INTMissouri Tigers
- Rushing yardsJamal Roberts20 CAR, 39 YDSMissouri Tigers
- Receiving yardsDonovan Olugbode9 REC, 127 YDSMissouri Tigers
Recent form
Ole Miss Rebels
Last 10: 9-1Streak W137.9 scored · 22.3 allowed per game6-0 at home
- W52-17at Vanderbilt CommodoresOct 10
- L28-52at Florida GatorsSep 26
- W32-24vs LSU TigersSep 19
- W41-9vs Charlotte 49ersSep 12
- W41-38vs Louisville CardinalsSep 6
- W38-19at Mississippi State BulldogsNov 28
- W34-24vs Florida GatorsNov 16
- W49-0vs The Citadel BulldogsNov 8
- W30-14vs South Carolina GamecocksNov 1
- W34-26at Oklahoma SoonersOct 25
Missouri Tigers
Last 10: 7-3Streak W231.8 scored · 20.5 allowed per game2-2 away
- W27-6vs Texas A&M AggiesOct 10
- W45-17vs Florida GatorsOct 3
- L24-31at Mississippi State BulldogsSep 26
- W27-17vs Troy TrojansSep 19
- W38-21at Kansas JayhawksSep 12
- W54-14vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsSep 4
- W31-17at Arkansas RazorbacksNov 29
- L6-17at Oklahoma SoonersNov 22
- W49-27vs Mississippi State BulldogsNov 16
- L17-38vs Texas A&M AggiesNov 8
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 6-0 | 4-0 |
| Alabama | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Kentucky | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Ole Miss | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Tennessee | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Florida | 5-2 | 3-2 |
| LSU | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Mississippi State | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Missouri | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Oklahoma | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Texas | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Auburn | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Texas A&M | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| South Carolina | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Vanderbilt | 3-3 | 0-3 |
| Arkansas | 2-4 | 0-3 |
Box score
| Stat | Missouri Tigers | Ole Miss Rebels |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 17 | 27 |
| Third downs | 6-17 | 9-14 |
| Fourth downs | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Total yards | 378 | 498 |
| Net passing yards | 339 | 241 |
| Completions | 25/44 | 20/36 |
| Yards per pass | 7.7 | 6.7 |
| Rushing yards | 39 | 257 |
| Rushing attempts | 26 | 38 |
| Yards per rush | 1.5 | 6.8 |
| Penalties | 7-55 | 7-55 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 1 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 28:54 | 31:06 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Ole Miss Rebels, below favours Missouri Tigers.
Venue
- Vaught-Hemingway StadiumOxford, MS
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These two, other days
- Ole Miss Rebels Defeat Missouri Tigers 76-69Jan 10, 2026