Boise State Defeats New Mexico 41-25 in NCAAF Showdown
Saturday, October 11, 2025, 9:45 PM ET · Albertsons Stadium
Boise State Broncos 41, New Mexico Lobos 25, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos?
Boise State Broncos beat New Mexico Lobos 41-25 at Albertsons Stadium on October 11, 2025.
In a decisive matchup at Albertsons Stadium, the Boise State Broncos triumphed over the New Mexico Lobos with a final score of 41-25. This victory solidified Boise State's strong home record, improving it to 5-0 for the season. The Broncos have been formidable at home, showcasing an average of 32.2 points scored in their last five games, while allowing an average of 25.4 points. Despite a recent loss to Notre Dame, Boise State's overall form remains impressive with an 8-2 record in their last ten games and a scoring average of 30.3 points per game.
New Mexico, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results, now standing at 3-3 for the season. Their recent form shows a record of 5-5 in the last ten games, with an average of 29.0 points scored and 27.6 points allowed. They entered this game with a streak of one loss, having fallen to the San José State Spartans in their previous outing. New Mexico's away record of 2-4 indicates challenges on the road, which continued in this matchup against the Broncos.
Historically, Boise State has had the upper hand in previous meetings against New Mexico, and this game added to that narrative. The Broncos' home advantage has been a significant factor in their success, as they have consistently outperformed their opponents at Albertsons Stadium.
In terms of injuries, the block does not provide specific details, but the impact of injuries can often be crucial in such high-stakes games. The condition of the players leading up to the match can influence performance, although no specific players were mentioned in the provided facts.
The market had Boise State heavily favored, with a home win probability of 1.0, indicating strong confidence in their ability to secure the victory. This confidence was reflected in their performance on the field.
Weather conditions, while not detailed in the block, can also play a role in the dynamics of the game. Typically, home games in Boise can feature variable weather patterns that may affect gameplay, but specifics were not provided.
Viewers watching the game were likely to see a high-powered offense from Boise State, which has been a hallmark of their play this season. The Broncos' ability to score quickly and efficiently was on full display, contributing to their 41-point total. New Mexico's efforts to keep pace were evident, but they ultimately fell short against the Broncos' robust defense and strategic offensive plays.
Leaders
- Passing yardsMaddux Madsen21/31, 226 YDS, 2 TDBoise State Broncos
- Rushing yardsDylan Riley18 CAR, 101 YDSBoise State Broncos
- Receiving yardsBen Ford6 REC, 78 YDS, 2 TDBoise State Broncos
- Passing yardsJack Layne7/17, 115 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INTNew Mexico Lobos
- Rushing yardsDamon Bankston9 CAR, 18 YDSNew Mexico Lobos
- Receiving yardsDorian Thomas4 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TDNew Mexico Lobos
Recent form
Boise State Broncos
Last 10: 8-2Streak L130.3 scored · 20.7 allowed per game5-0 at home
- L7-28at Notre Dame Fighting IrishOct 4
- W47-14vs App State MountaineersSep 27
- W49-37at Air Force FalconsSep 20
- W51-14vs Eastern Washington EaglesSep 6
- L7-34at South Florida BullsAug 28
- W21-7vs UNLV RebelsDec 7
- W34-18vs Oregon State BeaversNov 29
- W17-13at Wyoming CowboysNov 24
- W42-21at San José State SpartansNov 17
- W28-21vs Nevada Wolf PackNov 10
New Mexico Lobos
Last 10: 5-5Streak L129 scored · 27.6 allowed per game2-4 away
- L28-35at San José State SpartansOct 4
- W38-20vs New Mexico State AggiesSep 27
- W35-10at UCLA BruinsSep 13
- W32-22vs Idaho State BengalsSep 6
- L17-34at Michigan WolverinesAug 30
- L30-38at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsDec 1
- W38-35vs Washington State CougarsNov 17
- W21-16at San Diego State AztecsNov 9
- L45-49vs Wyoming CowboysNov 2
- L6-17at Colorado State RamsOct 26
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Air Force | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nevada | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| New Mexico | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Northern Illinois | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| UTEP | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Wyoming | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hawai'i | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| San José State | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| UNLV | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Boise State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Colorado State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Fresno State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Oregon State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| San Diego State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Texas State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Utah State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Washington State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Box score
| Stat | New Mexico Lobos | Boise State Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 11 | 27 |
| Third downs | 4-13 | 7-18 |
| Fourth downs | 2-3 | 6-7 |
| Total yards | 231 | 397 |
| Net passing yards | 182 | 236 |
| Completions | 15/30 | 22/32 |
| Yards per pass | 6.1 | 7.4 |
| Rushing yards | 49 | 161 |
| Rushing attempts | 24 | 54 |
| Yards per rush | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Penalties | 8-69 | 7-50 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 2 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 19:25 | 40:35 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Boise State Broncos, below favours New Mexico Lobos.
Venue
- Albertsons StadiumBoise, ID
- Attendance32982
Elsewhere
- No. 18 Penn State begins the Matt Campbell era when it hosts Marshall in the season opener
- Michigan State and Toledo meet in opener, marking debut of coaches Pat Fitzgerald and Mike Jacobs
- DJ Lagway to make Baylor debut vs Auburn in Week 1 neutral-site showdown in Atlanta
- No. 12 Texas Tech opens against Abilene Christian after winning 1st Big 12 title last season
- Arizona State kicks off coach Kenny Dillingham's fourth season at home against Morgan State
- Florida opens the Jon Sumrall era in the Swamp against Florida Atlantic
Picks for NCAAF
NCAAF rules and settlement
- A 42-point college football spread is not a prediction of a 42-point win
- How the moneyline works in college football
- What reverse line movement means in college football
- What an injury report means in college football
- What weather means in college football
- What a divisional game means in college football