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NCAAF · 11/6 - 9:00 PM EST

New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack prediction & odds

Friday, November 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET · Mackay Stadium

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Quick answers

When and where is New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

New Mexico Lobos visit Nevada Wolf Pack at Mackay Stadium on November 6, 2026.

Who is favored in New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

New Mexico Lobos are the favorite at DraftKings: moneyline -410, a price that implies about 80%. Nevada Wolf Pack are +320.

What are the spread and the over/under for New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

DraftKings has UNM -10, with the total at 38.5.

How are New Mexico Lobos and Nevada Wolf Pack playing lately?

Nevada Wolf Pack are 4-6 in their last 10, New Mexico Lobos 9-1.

The New Mexico Lobos, boasting an impressive 7-1 record, travel to Mackay Stadium to face the Nevada Wolf Pack, who sit at 3-5. New Mexico enters the game on a five-game winning streak, having recently defeated the San José State Spartans 21-16. In contrast, Nevada is looking to bounce back after a loss to the UCLA Bruins, where they were shut out 27-0.

The Lobos have shown strong offensive capabilities, averaging 32.3 points per game in their last ten contests, while allowing only 11.5 points. Their quarterback, Toa Fa'avae, has thrown for 891 yards this season, while running back Scottre Humphrey leads the team with 540 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns.

Nevada's offense, led by quarterback Carter Jones, has struggled at times, managing an average of 21.4 points per game. Jones has thrown for 654 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. The Wolf Pack's rushing game is spearheaded by Dominic Kelley, who has accumulated 588 yards and five touchdowns.

The betting odds from DraftKings favor New Mexico by 10 points, with a total set at 38.5. Weather conditions are expected to be mild with a temperature of 55°F and no precipitation. This matchup will be crucial for both teams as they look to solidify their standings in the league.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsUNM -10 38.5 o -110 / u -110 New Mexico Lobos -410 · Nevada Wolf Pack +320

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Leaders

  • Passing yardsCarter Jones53/89, 654 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INTNevada Wolf Pack
  • Rushing yardsDominic Kelley118 CAR, 588 YDS, 5 TDNevada Wolf Pack
  • Receiving yardsGary Givens III19 REC, 305 YDS, 1 TDNevada Wolf Pack
  • Passing yardsToa Fa'avae58/101, 891 YDS, 6 TD, 7 INTNew Mexico Lobos
  • Rushing yardsScottre Humphrey111 CAR, 540 YDS, 11 TDNew Mexico Lobos
  • Receiving yardsCade Keith22 REC, 295 YDS, 3 TDNew Mexico Lobos

Recent form

Nevada Wolf Pack

Last 10: 4-6Streak L121.4 scored · 23 allowed per game2-3 at home

  • L36-33 2OTvs Air Force FalconsSep 26
  • W30-13vs UTEP MinersOct 10
  • L31-17vs North Dakota State BisonOct 17
  • W28-13vs San José State SpartansOct 24
  • L27-0vs UCLA BruinsOct 31

New Mexico Lobos

Last 10: 9-1Streak W532.3 scored · 11.5 allowed per game4-1 away

  • W42-18vs New Mexico State AggiesSep 26
  • W61-7vs UTEP MinersOct 3
  • W21-10vs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsOct 17
  • W21-16vs North Dakota State BisonOct 24
  • W21-16vs San José State SpartansOct 31

Standings

TeamOverallIn conference
New Mexico7-14-0
Wyoming5-34-1
UNLV5-33-1
North Dakota State7-24-2
Air Force6-23-2
Nevada3-52-2
San José State4-52-3
Hawai'i2-61-4
UTEP1-70-4
Northern Illinois0-80-4

Box score

StatNew Mexico LobosNevada Wolf Pack
Total points per game35.023.0
Yards per game361.1336.0
Passing yards per game148.0169.0
Rushing yards per game213.1167.0
Total points per game allowed11.922.6
Yards per game allowed258.1318.1
Passing yards per game allowed176.5156.9
Rushing yards per game allowed81.6161.3

Venue

  • Mackay StadiumReno, NV

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.