ENSign in
NBA · Final

Miami Heat Defeat New Orleans Pelicans 125-106

Sunday, January 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET · Kaseya Center

Miami Heat 125, New Orleans Pelicans 106, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat?

Miami Heat beat New Orleans Pelicans 125-106 at Kaseya Center on January 4, 2026.

Who was favored in New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat?

Miami Heat were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -298 (about 75% implied). The favorite won.

In a decisive matchup at the Kaseya Center, the Miami Heat secured a commanding 125-106 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans. This win improves Miami's record to 21-16, while the Pelicans fall to 8-30. The Heat's performance solidified their lead in the series, now at 2-0 against New Orleans this season, having previously won their earlier meeting 119-108 on January 2, 2025, and a more dominant 153-104 victory on April 12, 2025.

The Heat entered the game with a mixed recent form, holding a 5-5 record over their last ten games, but they had lost their previous outing against the Minnesota Timberwolves, 115-125. Miami has averaged 118.2 points scored and allowed 116.1 points during this stretch. At home, their record stands at 2-3 in the last five games, with an impressive scoring average of 129.6 points while allowing 117.4 points.

In contrast, the Pelicans have struggled significantly, now on a six-game losing streak. Their record over the last ten games is 4-6, but they have averaged 118.6 points scored while allowing a concerning 121.9 points. On the road, New Orleans has managed just one win in their last five games, averaging 114.8 points scored and 124.8 points allowed.

The game featured a notable injury picture for both teams. For the Heat, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Keels, Ryan Conwell, and Myron Gardner were all listed as day-to-day with various injuries. The Pelicans also had players Micah Peavy and Bryce McGowens listed as day-to-day.

From a betting perspective, DraftKings had the Heat favored by 7.5 points, with a total set at 247.5 points. The moneyline odds were -298 for Miami and +240 for New Orleans. The market reflected a strong belief in Miami's ability to win, as evidenced by their high moneyline odds.

The game conditions were typical for a January night in Miami, with a lively crowd supporting the Heat. Fans were treated to a showcase of offensive prowess, particularly from Miami, who executed their plays effectively. The scoring plays highlighted the Heat's dominance, with standout moments including a 25-foot three-point jumper from Norman Powell, assisted by Bam Adebayo, which brought the score to 123-104 in the fourth quarter.

As the game progressed, the Heat maintained a comfortable lead, demonstrating their ability to control the pace and flow of the game. The Pelicans, despite their efforts, could not keep up, with their last notable score coming from Micah Peavy's driving layup, which brought the score to 125-106.

Overall, the Miami Heat's victory was a testament to their offensive capabilities and defensive resilience, particularly against a struggling Pelicans team. The Heat will look to build on this momentum as they continue their season, while the Pelicans will need to regroup and address their ongoing challenges.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsMIA -7.5 247.5 o -108 / u -112 New Orleans Pelicans +240 · Miami Heat -298

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Giannis AntetokounmpoDay-To-DayKneeMiami Heat
  • Bam AdebayoDay-To-DayBackMiami Heat
  • Trevor KeelsDay-To-DayKneeMiami Heat
  • Ryan ConwellDay-To-DayHipMiami Heat
  • Myron GardnerDay-To-DayAnkleMiami Heat
  • Micah PeavyDay-To-DayRestNew Orleans Pelicans
  • Bryce McGowensDay-To-DayToeNew Orleans Pelicans

Leaders

  • PointsNorman Powell34Miami Heat
  • AssistsPelle Larsson6Miami Heat
  • ReboundsKel'el Ware12Miami Heat
  • PointsTrey Murphy III27New Orleans Pelicans
  • AssistsJordan Poole8New Orleans Pelicans
  • ReboundsTrey Murphy III8New Orleans Pelicans

Recent form

Miami Heat

Last 10: 5-5Streak L1118.2 scored · 116.1 allowed per game2-3 at home

  • L115-125vs Minnesota TimberwolvesJan 3
  • W118-112at Detroit PistonsJan 2
  • W147-123vs Denver NuggetsDec 30
  • W142-116vs Indiana PacersDec 28
  • W126-111at Atlanta HawksDec 27
  • L91-112vs Toronto RaptorsDec 24
  • L125-132at New York KnicksDec 21
  • L116-129at Boston CelticsDec 20
  • W106-95at Brooklyn NetsDec 19
  • L96-106vs Toronto RaptorsDec 16

New Orleans Pelicans

Last 10: 4-6Streak L6118.6 scored · 121.9 allowed per game1-2 away

  • L109-122vs Portland Trail BlazersJan 3
  • L118-134at Chicago BullsJan 1
  • L125-130vs New York KnicksDec 30
  • L114-123vs Phoenix SunsDec 28
  • L108-115vs Phoenix SunsDec 27
  • L118-141at Cleveland CavaliersDec 24
  • W119-113vs Dallas MavericksDec 23
  • W128-109vs Indiana PacersDec 21
  • W133-128vs Houston RocketsDec 19
  • W114-104at Chicago BullsDec 15

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
San Antonio-20L1.75662
Houston1030W1.63452
New Orleans3656L2.31726
Dallas3656W1.31726
Memphis3757L8.30525
Atlanta-36L1.56146
Orlando137L1.54945
Charlotte238W1.53744
Miami339W2.52443
Washington2965L10.20717

Box score

StatNew Orleans PelicansMiami Heat
Field goals42-9047-101
Field goal %4747
Three-pointers16-4018-44
Three-point %4041
Free throws6-813-18
Free throw %7572
Rebounds4243
Offensive rebounds612
Defensive rebounds3631
Assists2830
Steals919
Blocks77
Turnovers2415
Team turnovers21
Technical fouls00
Technical fouls, total00
Flagrant fouls00
Points off turnovers3114
Fast-break points1131
Points in the paint4654
Fouls1414
Largest lead321
Lead changes66
Time in front291

How the scoring went

  1. 3rd Quarter69-78Bam Adebayo makes free throw 1 of 1
  2. 3rd Quarter71-78Jeremiah Fears makes 15-foot pullup jump shot (Derik Queen assists)
  3. 3rd Quarter71-81Norman Powell makes 25-foot three pointer (Bam Adebayo assists)
  4. 3rd Quarter71-83Pelle Larsson makes driving layup
  5. 3rd Quarter71-86Norman Powell makes 25-foot running pullup jump shot
  6. 3rd Quarter71-88Pelle Larsson makes 10-foot two point shot
  7. 3rd Quarter71-91Bam Adebayo makes 24-foot three point jumper (Pelle Larsson assists)
  8. 3rd Quarter74-91Jose Alvarado makes 23-foot three point jumper (Yves Missi assists)
  9. 3rd Quarter77-91Jordan Poole makes 24-foot three pointer
  10. 3rd Quarter77-93Andrew Wiggins makes 5-foot two point shot
  11. 4th Quarter77-95Andrew Wiggins makes 17-foot step back jumpshot (Nikola Jovic assists)
  12. 4th Quarter77-97Dru Smith makes running layup
  13. 4th Quarter79-97Yves Missi makes driving dunk (Jordan Poole assists)
  14. 4th Quarter79-99Nikola Jovic makes running layup (Dru Smith assists)
  15. 4th Quarter81-99Yves Missi makes driving layup (Jordan Poole assists)
  16. 4th Quarter83-99Jordan Poole makes 4-foot two point shot
  17. 4th Quarter86-99Jose Alvarado makes 22-foot running jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
  18. 4th Quarter86-100Nikola Jovic makes free throw 1 of 3
  19. 4th Quarter86-101Nikola Jovic makes free throw 3 of 3
  20. 4th Quarter86-103Kel'el Ware makes running layup (Pelle Larsson assists)
  21. 4th Quarter86-104Pelle Larsson makes free throw 1 of 2
  22. 4th Quarter89-104Trey Murphy III makes 22-foot three point jumper (Jordan Poole assists)
  23. 4th Quarter89-106Kel'el Ware makes two point shot
  24. 4th Quarter92-106Jeremiah Fears makes 27-foot three point jumper (Derik Queen assists)
  25. 4th Quarter92-108Kel'el Ware makes 1-foot dunk (Pelle Larsson assists)
  26. 4th Quarter92-111Pelle Larsson makes 25-foot three pointer
  27. 4th Quarter95-111Trey Murphy III makes 23-foot three pointer (Jose Alvarado assists)
  28. 4th Quarter97-111Karlo Matkovic makes dunk (Jeremiah Fears assists)
  29. 4th Quarter97-113Pelle Larsson makes reverse layup (Davion Mitchell assists)
  30. 4th Quarter97-114Kel'el Ware makes free throw 1 of 2
  31. 4th Quarter100-114Jeremiah Fears makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot (Trey Murphy III assists)
  32. 4th Quarter100-116Bam Adebayo makes 6-foot two point shot (Norman Powell assists)
  33. 4th Quarter100-118Kel'el Ware makes 1-foot running dunk (Pelle Larsson assists)
  34. 4th Quarter101-118Derik Queen makes free throw 1 of 2
  35. 4th Quarter102-118Derik Queen makes free throw 2 of 2
  36. 4th Quarter102-120Norman Powell makes 3-foot two point shot
  37. 4th Quarter104-120Jeremiah Fears makes 17-foot fade away jump shot
  38. 4th Quarter104-123Norman Powell makes 25-foot three point jumper (Bam Adebayo assists)
  39. 4th Quarter104-125Kel'el Ware makes 10-foot two point shot
  40. 4th Quarter106-125Micah Peavy makes driving layup (Trey Alexander assists)

Win probability

Above the line favours Miami Heat, below favours New Orleans Pelicans.

Venue

  • Kaseya CenterMiami, FL
  • Attendance19600
  • OfficialsJames Capers, Eric Dalen, Brandon Adair

Elsewhere

Picks for NBA

NBA rules and settlement

These two, other days

Every meeting

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.