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NCAAF · Final

Thrilling Finish as North Texas Edges San Diego State

Saturday, December 27, 2025, 5:45 PM ET · University Stadium (NM)

North Texas Mean Green 49, San Diego State Aztecs 47, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won North Texas Mean Green vs San Diego State Aztecs?

North Texas Mean Green beat San Diego State Aztecs 49-47 at University Stadium (NM) on December 27, 2025.

Who was favored in North Texas Mean Green vs San Diego State Aztecs?

North Texas Mean Green were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -305 (about 75% implied). The favorite won.

In a nail-biting contest, the North Texas Mean Green narrowly defeated the San Diego State Aztecs with a final score of 49-47. This matchup showcased the offensive prowess of both teams, with North Texas coming into the game with a strong season record of 12-2, while San Diego State held a respectable 9-4 record. The game took place at University Stadium in New Mexico, providing a neutral venue for this intense clash.

Both teams entered the game with recent performances that hinted at their capabilities. San Diego State had an 8-2 record in their last ten games, although they were on a one-game losing streak. They had averaged 24.1 points scored while allowing only 11.5 points per game over that stretch. Their last five games had seen them scoring an average of 17.8 points and allowing 15.6 points, indicating a solid defensive effort throughout the season. In contrast, North Texas also boasted an 8-2 record in their last ten games but had a more explosive offense, averaging 43.9 points scored and 28.4 points allowed. They too were on a one-game losing streak, having lost their last game against Tulane Green Wave with a score of 21-34.

Home and away performances further highlighted the strengths of each team. San Diego State had a strong home record of 5-0, while their away record stood at 3-2. North Texas, on the other hand, had a balanced away record of 4-1 and a home record of 4-1. This balance in performance suggested that both teams could adapt to different conditions, but North Texas's ability to score heavily was a significant factor in their favor.

The matchup was also intriguing due to the historical context of their previous meetings, although specific past results were not detailed in the provided facts. The anticipation surrounding how these two teams would perform against each other added to the excitement leading up to the game.

In terms of injuries, the provided information did not specify any key players missing from either side, which meant both teams were likely at full strength for this critical game. This absence of injury concerns allowed for a more competitive matchup, as both teams could field their best lineups.

The betting market had North Texas favored by 7.5 points according to DraftKings, with a total set at 55.5 points. The odds indicated a strong belief in North Texas's offensive capabilities, given their scoring averages. The spread and total reflected the expectation of a high-scoring game, which ultimately came to fruition with both teams combining for 96 points.

Conditions at University Stadium were not detailed, but the neutral site likely provided a fair playing field for both teams. Fans could expect to see a dynamic offensive display, particularly from North Texas, who had shown a tendency to score in bunches throughout the season.

As the game unfolded, viewers were treated to a showcase of offensive fireworks, with both teams trading scores in a back-and-forth affair. North Texas's high-scoring average was on full display, and San Diego State's ability to keep pace made for a thrilling contest. The final score of 49-47 reflected the intense competition and the skill level of both teams, ultimately resulting in a hard-fought victory for North Texas.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsUNT -7.5 55.5 o -105 / u -115 North Texas Mean Green -305 · San Diego State Aztecs +245

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Leaders

  • Passing yardsKyle Crum14/29, 169 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INTSan Diego State Aztecs
  • Rushing yardsBert Emanuel Jr.11 CAR, 170 YDS, 2 TDSan Diego State Aztecs
  • Receiving yardsNathan Acevedo4 REC, 61 YDSSan Diego State Aztecs
  • Passing yardsDrew Mestemaker27/47, 250 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INTNorth Texas Mean Green
  • Rushing yardsCaleb Hawkins31 CAR, 198 YDS, 2 TDNorth Texas Mean Green
  • Receiving yardsCameron Dorner6 REC, 66 YDS, 2 TDNorth Texas Mean Green

Recent form

San Diego State Aztecs

Last 10: 8-2Streak L124.1 scored · 11.5 allowed per game5-0 at home

  • L17-23at New Mexico LobosNov 28
  • W25-3vs San José State SpartansNov 23
  • W17-7vs Boise State BroncosNov 16
  • L6-38at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsNov 9
  • W24-7vs Wyoming CowboysNov 1
  • W23-0at Fresno State BulldogsOct 25
  • W44-10at Nevada Wolf PackOct 12
  • W45-24vs Colorado State RamsOct 4
  • W6-3at Northern Illinois HuskiesSep 27
  • W34-0vs California Golden BearsSep 21

North Texas Mean Green

Last 10: 8-2Streak L143.9 scored · 28.4 allowed per game4-1 away

  • L21-34at Tulane Green WaveDec 6
  • W52-25vs Temple OwlsNov 28
  • W56-24at Rice OwlsNov 23
  • W53-24at UAB BlazersNov 15
  • W31-17vs Navy MidshipmenNov 1
  • W54-20at Charlotte 49ersOct 24
  • W55-17vs UTSA RoadrunnersOct 18
  • L36-63vs South Florida BullsOct 10
  • W36-22vs South Alabama JaguarsSep 27
  • W45-38at Army Black KnightsSep 20

Standings

TeamOverallIn conference
Memphis1-00-0
Army0-00-0
Charlotte0-00-0
East Carolina0-00-0
Florida Atlantic0-00-0
Navy0-00-0
North Texas0-00-0
Rice0-00-0
South Florida0-00-0
Temple0-00-0
Tulane0-00-0
Tulsa0-00-0
UAB0-00-0
UTSA0-00-0
Boise State0-00-0
Colorado State0-00-0
Fresno State0-00-0
Oregon State0-00-0
San Diego State0-00-0
Texas State0-00-0
Utah State0-00-0
Washington State0-00-0

Box score

StatNorth Texas Mean GreenSan Diego State Aztecs
First downs2825
Third downs9-204-14
Fourth downs5-73-5
Total yards618532
Net passing yards250206
Completions27/4918/36
Yards per pass5.15.7
Rushing yards368326
Rushing attempts4946
Yards per rush7.57.1
Penalties10-908-77
Turnovers23
Fumbles lost01
Interceptions thrown22
Time of possession32:3127:29

Win probability

Above the line favours San Diego State Aztecs, below favours North Texas Mean Green.

Venue

  • University Stadium (NM)Albuquerque, NM
  • Attendance18867

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.