Northwestern Edges Michigan State in Close Contest
Saturday, October 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET · Spartan Stadium
Northwestern Wildcats 24, Michigan State Spartans 21, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans?
Northwestern Wildcats beat Michigan State Spartans 24-21 at Spartan Stadium on October 17, 2026.
Who was favored in Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans?
Northwestern Wildcats were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -265 (about 73% implied). The favorite won.
In a tightly contested matchup, the Northwestern Wildcats defeated the Michigan State Spartans 24-21 at Spartan Stadium. This game was significant as it highlighted the contrasting fortunes of both teams in the NCAAF season. Northwestern, boasting a solid away record of 5-1, came into the game with a two-game winning streak, while Michigan State struggled with a home record of 2-5 and faced their fourth consecutive loss.
The Spartans have had a challenging season, with a recent record of 3-7 over their last ten games. Their scoring average during this stretch was 21.3 points per game, while they allowed an average of 25.3 points. In their last five games, Michigan State managed only one win, scoring an average of 19.6 points while conceding 26.8 points. Their recent results included a narrow loss to the Illinois Fighting Illini, where they fell 37-38, and a heavy defeat against the Wisconsin Badgers, losing 3-31.
In contrast, Northwestern's recent form has been impressive, with a record of 5-5 over their last ten games and a scoring average of 28.8 points, while allowing 22.6 points. They entered this game on a two-game winning streak, having convincingly defeated the Ball State Cardinals 45-14 and the Penn State Nittany Lions 34-13 in their previous outings. This performance showcased their offensive capabilities, particularly in their last five games where they averaged 35.4 points while allowing just 16.2 points.
The Wildcats' strong away record of 5-1 has been a key factor in their season, while Michigan State's struggles at home, with a record of 2-3 in their last five games, have made it difficult for them to find consistency. This game marked another chapter in their rivalry, with Northwestern looking to maintain their recent success against the Spartans.
In terms of injuries, the block did not provide specific details, but both teams have had to navigate the challenges of player availability throughout the season. The absence of key players can often influence the outcome of such close games, but the specifics were not outlined in the provided facts.
The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had Northwestern favored by 7.5 points, with a total set at 50.5. The odds for the over were -112.0, while the under was -108.0. Michigan State was listed with a moneyline of 215.0, while Northwestern was at -265.0, indicating a strong belief in the Wildcats' ability to secure a win.
Conditions at Spartan Stadium were not detailed in the block, but typically, weather can play a role in the dynamics of a football game, affecting both teams' strategies and execution. Fans and viewers were likely to watch for the Wildcats' offensive prowess, which had been on display in recent games, and how Michigan State would respond, particularly given their recent struggles.
Ultimately, the game concluded with Northwestern narrowly securing the victory, further solidifying their position in the league while leaving Michigan State to regroup and seek answers as they continue to face a challenging season.
What we said beforehand
The upcoming matchup between the Michigan State Spartans and the Northwestern Wildcats promises to be intriguing, especially given the contrasting fortunes of the two teams this season. The game is set to take place at Spartan Stadium on October 17, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. Northwestern enters the game with a solid away record of 4-1, while Michigan State struggles with a home record of just 2-4.
Northwestern has been on a roll, winning four of their last five games. Their recent victories include a dominant 45-14 win over the Ball State Cardinals and a 34-13 triumph against the Penn State Nittany Lions. They also secured a convincing 41-7 victory over the Colorado Buffaloes earlier in the season. In contrast, Michigan State has faced a tough stretch, losing four consecutive games, including a narrow overtime defeat against the Illinois Fighting Illini, where they lost 38-37. Their only recent win came against the Eastern Michigan Eagles, where they won decisively with a score of 35-7.
In terms of scoring, Northwestern has averaged 28.8 points per game and allowed 22.6, while Michigan State has averaged 19.6 points scored and 26.8 points allowed in their last five games. The Spartans' offensive leaders include quarterback Alessio Milivojevic, who has thrown for 1,047 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions. On the ground, Cam Edwards leads with 304 rushing yards and three touchdowns. For Northwestern, quarterback Aidan Chiles has been impressive, throwing for 1,172 yards with nine touchdowns. Caleb Komolafe has also contributed significantly on the ground with 334 rushing yards and three touchdowns.
Historically, the Spartans have a mixed record at home, with an overall home record of 3-3 in their last ten games, while Northwestern has performed well away from home, holding a 5-1 record in their last ten games. The Wildcats are currently on a two-game winning streak, while the Spartans are looking to break their four-game losing streak.
In terms of injuries, the block does not provide specific details, but both teams will be keen to field their best players to secure a crucial victory. The weather conditions for the game are expected to be cool, with a temperature of 48°F and light winds gusting up to 7 mph, which should not significantly impact the gameplay.
Betting lines from DraftKings indicate Northwestern as a 7-point favorite, with a moneyline of -298 for the Wildcats and +240 for the Spartans. The total points line is set at 50.5, with the over at -105 and the under at -115.
As the game approaches, viewers should keep an eye on the performance of both quarterbacks, Milivojevic and Chiles, as they will be pivotal in determining the outcome of this contest. Additionally, the effectiveness of each team's rushing attack could play a significant role, especially given the Spartans' struggles in recent weeks. With both teams vying for a crucial win, this matchup is sure to be a compelling affair.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | NU -7.5 | 50.5 o -112 / u -108 | Northwestern Wildcats -265 · Michigan State Spartans +215 |
Leaders
- Passing yardsAlessio Milivojevic19/30, 216 YDS, 2 TDMichigan State Spartans
- Rushing yardsJaziun Patterson15 CAR, 72 YDSMichigan State Spartans
- Receiving yardsChrishon McCray3 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TDMichigan State Spartans
- Passing yardsAidan Chiles18/27, 226 YDSNorthwestern Wildcats
- Rushing yardsCaleb Komolafe15 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TDNorthwestern Wildcats
- Receiving yardsGriffin Wilde6 REC, 57 YDSNorthwestern Wildcats
Recent form
Michigan State Spartans
Last 10: 3-7Streak L421.3 scored · 25.3 allowed per game3-3 at home
- L37-38vs Illinois Fighting IlliniOct 10
- L3-31at Wisconsin BadgersOct 3
- L13-31vs Nebraska CornhuskersSep 26
- L10-27at Notre Dame Fighting IrishSep 19
- W35-7vs Eastern Michigan EaglesSep 12
- W30-20vs Toledo RocketsSep 5
- W38-28vs Maryland TerrapinsNov 30
- L17-20at Iowa HawkeyesNov 22
- L10-28vs Penn State Nittany LionsNov 15
- L20-23at Minnesota Golden GophersNov 1
Northwestern Wildcats
Last 10: 5-5Streak W228.8 scored · 22.6 allowed per game0-4 away
- W45-14vs Ball State CardinalsOct 10
- W34-13vs Penn State Nittany LionsOct 3
- L23-29at Indiana HoosiersSep 26
- W41-7vs Colorado BuffaloesSep 19
- W34-18vs South Dakota State JackrabbitsSep 6
- L13-20at Illinois Fighting IlliniNov 30
- W38-35vs Minnesota Golden GophersNov 22
- L22-24vs Michigan WolverinesNov 15
- L17-38at USC TrojansNov 8
- L21-28at Nebraska CornhuskersOct 25
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 6-0 | 3-0 |
| UCLA | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| Ohio State | 5-1 | 3-0 |
| Wisconsin | 4-1 | 2-0 |
| USC | 6-1 | 3-1 |
| Iowa | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Nebraska | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Northwestern | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Minnesota | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Purdue | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Oregon | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Illinois | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Washington | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Michigan | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Rutgers | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Penn State | 3-3 | 0-3 |
| Maryland | 2-4 | 0-3 |
| Michigan State | 2-5 | 0-4 |
Box score
| Stat | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 23 | 15 |
| Third downs | 7-14 | 3-12 |
| Fourth downs | 0-1 | 2-4 |
| Total yards | 360 | 305 |
| Net passing yards | 226 | 216 |
| Completions | 18/29 | 19/30 |
| Yards per pass | 7.8 | 7.2 |
| Rushing yards | 134 | 89 |
| Rushing attempts | 42 | 27 |
| Yards per rush | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| Penalties | 4-20 | 3-15 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 1 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 34:55 | 25:05 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Michigan State Spartans, below favours Northwestern Wildcats.
Venue
- Spartan StadiumEast Lansing, MI
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