Iowa State Edges Oklahoma State in Thrilling Finish
Saturday, October 31, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · Jack Trice Stadium
Iowa State Cyclones 51, Oklahoma State Cowboys 49, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Iowa State Cyclones?
Iowa State Cyclones beat Oklahoma State Cowboys 51-49 at Jack Trice Stadium on October 31, 2026.
Who was favored in Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Iowa State Cyclones?
Oklahoma State Cowboys were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -375 (about 79% implied). The underdog won.
In a nail-biting encounter at Jack Trice Stadium, the Iowa State Cyclones triumphed over the Oklahoma State Cowboys with a final score of 51-49. This victory not only adds to Iowa State's home record but also underscores their resilience following a challenging stretch of games. The Cyclones, now at 4-4 for the season, had been struggling recently, entering the game on a two-game losing streak, having lost to the Arizona Wildcats and BYU Cougars in their previous outings. Despite this, they showcased their offensive capabilities, averaging 25.9 points scored per game and allowing 21.3 points in their last ten games.
On the other hand, the Cowboys, with a season record of 5-3, came into this matchup on a high note, having won their last game against the Colorado Buffaloes with a dominating score of 57-24. Oklahoma State had been performing well overall, averaging 31.3 points scored and allowing 21.7 points in their last ten games. Their recent form included a strong showing in their last five games, where they posted an impressive scoring average of 46.2 points while allowing only 22.2 points.
The Cyclones have had a mixed record at home, with a home record of 4-1, while the Cowboys have struggled on the road, holding a 1-3 away record. This game was particularly significant as it was a rematch of their previous meeting in the 2025 season, where Iowa State emerged victorious with a score of 20-13. The history between these two teams added an extra layer of intrigue to the matchup.
In terms of injuries, the block does not provide specific details, but the absence of key players can often impact the dynamics of such tightly contested games. The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had Oklahoma State favored by 10 points, with a total set at 58.5. The odds reflected a strong belief in Oklahoma State's ability to perform well, but Iowa State's performance on the field proved otherwise.
The conditions at Jack Trice Stadium were likely conducive to an exciting game, and fans witnessed a thrilling display of offensive football. Viewers were treated to an intense back-and-forth contest, with both teams demonstrating their scoring prowess. The final score of 51-49 indicates a high-scoring affair, where both defenses faced significant challenges.
Overall, this game was a testament to Iowa State's ability to bounce back from adversity and secure a crucial victory against a formidable opponent. The Cyclones' performance, particularly at home, will be a crucial factor as they look to build momentum moving forward in the season.
What we said beforehand
Iowa State Cyclones will face off against the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Jack Trice Stadium on October 31, 2026. This matchup is particularly intriguing as the Cowboys come in with a stronger record of 5-2 compared to the Cyclones’ 3-4. The game is set to kick off at 23:00 UTC, and the betting lines from DraftKings currently favor Oklahoma State with a spread of 9.5 points, while the total is set at 58.5.
The recent form of both teams presents a stark contrast. Iowa State has struggled in its last five games, managing only two wins against three losses. Their recent results include a commanding victory over the Bowling Green Falcons with a score of 55-7, but they have since lost to teams like the Arizona Wildcats, 39-3, and the BYU Cougars, 24-10. In terms of scoring, Iowa State has averaged 26.0 points while allowing 28.6 in their last five games. On the other hand, Oklahoma State has won four of their last five games, with their most recent outing resulting in a dominant 57-24 win over the Colorado Buffaloes. The Cowboys have averaged 46.2 points and allowed 22.2 points in their last five contests, showcasing a potent offensive unit.
When considering home and away performances, Iowa State has a home record of 4-1, while their away record stands at 2-3. In contrast, Oklahoma State has a home record of 4-2 and an away record of just 1-3. This disparity in performance could play a significant role in the outcome of the game, especially with Iowa State playing at home.
Historically, the two teams have met once in the previous season, with Iowa State emerging victorious in that encounter, winning 20-13 on November 29, 2025. This recent victory could provide the Cyclones with a psychological edge, although the current form of both teams suggests a different narrative.
In terms of individual performances, Iowa State's Jaylen Raynor leads the team in passing with 1,107 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Aiden Flora is the standout in the rushing department, accumulating 716 yards and 6 touchdowns. Omari Hayes has been the primary target in the receiving game, with 237 yards and 1 touchdown. For Oklahoma State, Drew Mestemaker has thrown for 2,326 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions, while Caleb Hawkins leads the rushing attack with 712 yards and 2 touchdowns. Wyatt Young has been Mestemaker's go-to receiver, amassing 639 yards and 6 touchdowns.
The weather conditions for the game are expected to be mild, with a temperature of 60°F and a 49% chance of precipitation. Winds will be light, gusting up to 6 mph, which could influence the passing game but is unlikely to be a significant factor.
As the game approaches, viewers should keep an eye on how Iowa State's defense responds to Oklahoma State's high-scoring offense. Additionally, the performance of Iowa State's quarterback Jaylen Raynor will be crucial, as he aims to lead his team against a formidable opponent. With both teams having something to prove, this matchup promises to be an exciting contest in the NCAAF landscape.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | OKST -10 | 58.5 o -105 / u -115 | Oklahoma State Cowboys -375 · Iowa State Cyclones +295 |
Leaders
- Passing yardsJaylen Raynor18/28, 309 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INTIowa State Cyclones
- Rushing yardsAiden Flora29 CAR, 221 YDS, 2 TDIowa State Cyclones
- Receiving yardsJamal Polite Jr.6 REC, 171 YDS, 1 TDIowa State Cyclones
- Passing yardsDrew Mestemaker27/42, 323 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INTOklahoma State Cowboys
- Rushing yardsCaleb Hawkins25 CAR, 194 YDS, 2 TDOklahoma State Cowboys
- Receiving yardsJustin Bowick7 REC, 124 YDS, 2 TDOklahoma State Cowboys
Recent form
Iowa State Cyclones
Last 10: 6-4Streak L225.9 scored · 21.3 allowed per game4-1 at home
- L3-39at Arizona WildcatsOct 24
- L10-24at BYU CougarsOct 10
- W45-42vs West Virginia MountaineersOct 3
- L17-31vs Utah UtesSep 26
- W55-7vs Bowling Green FalconsSep 19
- L13-16at Iowa HawkeyesSep 12
- W38-10vs Southeast Missouri State RedhawksSep 5
- W20-13at Oklahoma State CowboysNov 29
- W38-14vs Kansas JayhawksNov 22
- W20-17at TCU Horned FrogsNov 8
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Last 10: 5-5Streak W131.3 scored · 21.7 allowed per game1-3 away
- W57-24vs Colorado BuffaloesOct 24
- L32-35at Houston CougarsOct 17
- W42-28vs UCF KnightsOct 10
- W41-24at West Virginia MountaineersSep 26
- W59-0vs Murray State RacersSep 19
- W39-31vs Oregon DucksSep 12
- L10-24at Tulsa Golden HurricaneSep 5
- L13-20vs Iowa State CyclonesNov 29
- L14-17at UCF KnightsNov 22
- L6-14vs Kansas State WildcatsNov 15
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| Utah | 8-0 | 5-0 |
| BYU | 7-1 | 4-1 |
| Texas Tech | 7-1 | 4-1 |
| Houston | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Arizona | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Baylor | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Oklahoma State | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| West Virginia | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Iowa State | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| UCF | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Cincinnati | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Arizona State | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| TCU | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Colorado | 3-5 | 1-4 |
| Kansas State | 4-4 | 1-4 |
| Kansas | 3-5 | 1-4 |
Box score
| Stat | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Iowa State Cyclones |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 27 | 24 |
| Third downs | 8-12 | 8-15 |
| Fourth downs | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Total yards | 533 | 581 |
| Net passing yards | 323 | 309 |
| Completions | 27/42 | 18/28 |
| Yards per pass | 7.7 | 11.0 |
| Rushing yards | 210 | 272 |
| Rushing attempts | 32 | 44 |
| Yards per rush | 6.6 | 6.2 |
| Penalties | 3-25 | 7-62 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 25:13 | 34:47 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Iowa State Cyclones, below favours Oklahoma State Cowboys.
Venue
- Jack Trice StadiumAmes, IA
Elsewhere
- Konrardy hits field goal as time expires to lift Iowa State past No. 24 Oklahoma State, 51-49
- College Football Playoff top 12 projection after Week 9
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