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WNBA · Final

Aces Dominate Mercury in WNBA Showdown

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury27-17
78
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces30-14
91

Sunday, October 5, 2025, 3:00 PM ET · Michelob ULTRA Arena

Las Vegas Aces 91, Phoenix Mercury 78, final. Our WNBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces?

Las Vegas Aces beat Phoenix Mercury 91-78 at Michelob ULTRA Arena on October 5, 2025.

In a decisive matchup, the Las Vegas Aces triumphed over the Phoenix Mercury with a final score of 91-78 at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. This victory not only showcased the Aces' strength but also extended their dominance over the Mercury, as they have now won the series 3-1 this season.

The Aces entered this game with a strong home record of 30-14 and had been performing well recently, boasting a 7-3 record over their last ten games. They were on a two-game winning streak, averaging 88.8 points scored per game while allowing 81.4. Their last five games reflected an even more impressive scoring average of 90.6, which contributed to their confidence heading into this contest.

Conversely, the Mercury, with a record of 27-17, had been struggling a bit more, holding a 5-5 record in their last ten outings. They were on a one-game losing streak, averaging 80.7 points per game while allowing 80.5. Their recent form indicated a slight dip in performance, particularly in comparison to the Aces.

Home court advantage played a significant role in this matchup. The Aces had a home record of 5-1 in their last six games, while the Mercury's away record stood at 2-3. This disparity in performance at home versus away was evident throughout the game.

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Aces have been dominant, winning eight of the last ten encounters against the Mercury. Their previous meeting just days before this game on October 4 resulted in a narrow Aces victory, 89-86, further emphasizing their recent success against Phoenix.

Injuries also impacted the game significantly. The Aces were without Ta'Niya Latson and NaLyssa Smith, while the Mercury were missing Kelsey Plum, Kahleah Copper, Valeriane Ayayi, Kyara Linskens, and Jovana Nogic. The absence of these key players likely affected both teams' strategies and performances.

The market reflected the Aces' strong position heading into the game, pricing them as heavy favorites with a home win probability of 1.0, indicating complete confidence in their ability to secure the victory.

As the game progressed, the Aces maintained control, with notable scoring plays in the fourth quarter. Dana Evans made a crucial two-point shot, followed by Jackie Young, who extended the lead further. The Mercury attempted to close the gap, but the Aces' consistent scoring and defensive efforts kept them at bay.

With the Aces scoring 91 points and the Mercury 78, the game highlighted the Aces' offensive prowess and defensive capabilities, setting a strong tone as they move forward in the postseason.

Injury report

  • Ta'Niya LatsonOutCoach's DecisionLas Vegas Aces
  • NaLyssa SmithOutLegLas Vegas Aces
  • Kelsey PlumOutLower LegPhoenix Mercury
  • Kahleah CopperOutAnklePhoenix Mercury
  • Valeriane AyayiOutNot Injury RelatedPhoenix Mercury
  • Kyara LinskensOutNot Injury RelatedPhoenix Mercury
  • Jovana NogicOutNot Injury RelatedPhoenix Mercury

Leaders

  • PointsJackie Young32Las Vegas Aces
  • AssistsChelsea Gray10Las Vegas Aces
  • ReboundsA'ja Wilson14Las Vegas Aces
  • PointsKahleah Copper23Phoenix Mercury
  • AssistsMonique Akoa Makani7Phoenix Mercury
  • ReboundsNatasha Mack10Phoenix Mercury

Recent form

Las Vegas Aces

Last 10: 7-3Streak W288.8 scored · 81.4 allowed per game5-1 at home

  • W89-86vs Phoenix MercuryOct 4
  • W107-98vs Indiana FeverOct 1
  • L83-90at Indiana FeverSep 28
  • W84-72at Indiana FeverSep 26
  • W90-68vs Indiana FeverSep 24
  • L73-89vs Indiana FeverSep 21
  • W74-73vs Seattle StormSep 19
  • L83-86at Seattle StormSep 17
  • W102-77vs Seattle StormSep 15
  • W103-75at Los Angeles SparksSep 12

Phoenix Mercury

Last 10: 5-5Streak L180.7 scored · 80.5 allowed per game2-3 away

  • L86-89at Las Vegas AcesOct 4
  • W86-81vs Minnesota LynxSep 29
  • W84-76vs Minnesota LynxSep 27
  • W89-83at Minnesota LynxSep 23
  • L69-82at Minnesota LynxSep 21
  • W79-73vs New York LibertySep 20
  • W86-60at New York LibertySep 18
  • L69-76vs New York LibertySep 14
  • L76-97at Dallas WingsSep 12
  • L83-88vs Los Angeles SparksSep 10

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Minnesota-9L2.77531
Golden State211W4.72529
Las Vegas413W3.67527
Dallas716W4.60024
Portland1524L1.40016
Los Angeles1625W2.37515
Phoenix1726W1.35014
Seattle2332L1.2008

Box score

StatPhoenix MercuryLas Vegas Aces
Field goals29-7137-75
Field goal %4149
Three-pointers5-288-23
Three-point %1835
Free throws15-189-13
Free throw %8369
Rebounds3443
Offensive rebounds89
Defensive rebounds2634
Assists1721
Steals99
Blocks16
Turnovers1113
Team turnovers00
Technical fouls00
Technical fouls, total00
Flagrant fouls00
Points off turnovers1418
Fast-break points1713
Points in the paint4240
Fouls1415
Largest lead822

How the scoring went

  1. 3rd Quarter47-55Satou Sabally makes two point shot (Alyssa Thomas assists)
  2. 3rd Quarter47-57NaLyssa Smith makes layup (Chelsea Gray assists)
  3. 3rd Quarter47-59Jackie Young makes 19-foot step back jumpshot
  4. 3rd Quarter48-59Kahleah Copper makes free throw 1 of 2
  5. 3rd Quarter49-59Kahleah Copper makes free throw 2 of 2
  6. 3rd Quarter49-61Jackie Young makes driving layup
  7. 3rd Quarter51-61Kahleah Copper makes driving layup (Alyssa Thomas assists)
  8. 3rd Quarter51-63Jackie Young makes 6-foot two point shot (Chelsea Gray assists)
  9. 3rd Quarter51-64Jackie Young makes free throw 1 of 1
  10. 3rd Quarter51-65Chelsea Gray makes free throw 2 of 2
  11. 3rd Quarter53-65Kahleah Copper makes 4-foot layup (Sami Whitcomb assists)
  12. 3rd Quarter53-67Jackie Young makes 11-foot driving floating jump shot
  13. 3rd Quarter53-69A'ja Wilson makes two point shot
  14. 3rd Quarter54-69DeWanna Bonner makes free throw 1 of 2
  15. 3rd Quarter55-69DeWanna Bonner makes free throw 2 of 2
  16. 3rd Quarter55-71Jackie Young makes 5-foot driving floating jump shot
  17. 3rd Quarter57-71Alyssa Thomas makes driving layup
  18. 3rd Quarter57-74Jackie Young makes 28-foot three pointer
  19. 3rd Quarter58-74Satou Sabally makes free throw 1 of 2
  20. 3rd Quarter59-74Satou Sabally makes free throw 2 of 2
  21. 3rd Quarter61-74Satou Sabally makes 4-foot driving floating jump shot (Alyssa Thomas assists)
  22. 3rd Quarter61-75Jackie Young makes free throw 1 of 2
  23. 3rd Quarter61-76Jackie Young makes free throw 2 of 2
  24. 4th Quarter61-79Jewell Loyd makes 25-foot three point jumper (Dana Evans assists)
  25. 4th Quarter61-81A'ja Wilson makes driving layup (Dana Evans assists)
  26. 4th Quarter61-83A'ja Wilson makes two point shot
  27. 4th Quarter63-83Satou Sabally makes two point shot (Monique Akoa Makani assists)
  28. 4th Quarter64-83Satou Sabally makes free throw 1 of 1
  29. 4th Quarter67-83Satou Sabally makes 27-foot three point shot (Monique Akoa Makani assists)
  30. 4th Quarter68-83Monique Akoa Makani makes free throw 1 of 2
  31. 4th Quarter68-86Dana Evans makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jackie Young assists)
  32. 4th Quarter71-86Satou Sabally makes 23-foot three point jumper (Monique Akoa Makani assists)
  33. 4th Quarter71-88Dana Evans makes 4-foot two point shot (A'ja Wilson assists)
  34. 4th Quarter71-90Jackie Young makes two point shot (Chelsea Gray assists)
  35. 4th Quarter73-90Kahleah Copper makes driving layup (Satou Sabally assists)
  36. 4th Quarter74-90Satou Sabally makes free throw 1 of 2
  37. 4th Quarter75-90Kalani Brown makes free throw 1 of 2
  38. 4th Quarter76-90Kalani Brown makes free throw 2 of 2
  39. 4th Quarter78-90Kiana Williams makes driving layup
  40. 4th Quarter78-91NaLyssa Smith makes free throw 1 of 2

Win probability

Above the line favours Las Vegas Aces, below favours Phoenix Mercury.

Venue

  • Michelob ULTRA ArenaLas Vegas, NV
  • Attendance10404
  • OfficialsAngelica Suffren, Maj Forsberg, Isaac Barnett, Kevin Fahy

Elsewhere

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.