Stanford narrowly defeats San José State 30-29
Saturday, September 27, 2025, 7:30 PM ET · Stanford Stadium
Stanford Cardinal 30, San José State Spartans 29, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won San José State Spartans vs Stanford Cardinal?
Stanford Cardinal beat San José State Spartans 30-29 at Stanford Stadium on September 27, 2025.
In a closely contested matchup at Stanford Stadium, the Stanford Cardinal edged out the San José State Spartans with a final score of 30-29. This victory marks an important moment for Stanford, who had been struggling with a recent record of 2-8 over their last ten games, including a one-game losing streak. The Cardinal's average points scored during this stretch was 22.5, while they allowed an average of 33.7 points per game.
Stanford entered the game with a home record of 2-3 for the season. Their last five games had seen them win only once, with an average of 20.8 points scored and 30.4 points allowed. In contrast, the Spartans had a record of 1-3 away from home this season, but they had recently shown some improvement, winning their last game against the Idaho Vandals 31-28. San José State's overall record in their last ten games stood at 4-6, with an average of 20.5 points scored and 27.3 points allowed.
The two teams had met previously on November 29, 2024, where the Spartans narrowly defeated the Cardinal 34-31. This history added an extra layer of intensity to the matchup, as Stanford sought to avenge that loss. The game was expected to be competitive, given the close nature of their last encounter.
In terms of injuries, the block does not specify any players affected, but both teams were likely to be fielding their key players in this crucial game. The conditions on the day were not detailed, but Stanford Stadium typically provides a favorable environment for home games.
As for the betting market, Stanford was heavily favored with a home win probability of 1.0, indicating strong confidence from the odds provider regarding their chances of winning this matchup.
Overall, the game was a showcase of determination from both sides, with Stanford managing to secure a narrow victory in a thrilling contest.
Leaders
- Passing yardsBen Gulbranson29/43, 444 YDS, 2 TDStanford Cardinal
- Rushing yardsCole Tabb12 CAR, 48 YDS, 1 TDStanford Cardinal
- Receiving yardsCJ Williams11 REC, 130 YDSStanford Cardinal
- Passing yardsWalker Eget36/58, 473 YDS, 3 TDSan José State Spartans
- Rushing yardsWalker Eget2 CAR, 19 YDSSan José State Spartans
- Receiving yardsKyri Shoels10 REC, 147 YDS, 1 TDSan José State Spartans
Recent form
Stanford Cardinal
Last 10: 2-8Streak L122.5 scored · 33.7 allowed per game2-2 at home
- L20-48at Virginia CavaliersSep 20
- W30-20vs Boston College EaglesSep 14
- L3-27at BYU CougarsSep 7
- L20-23at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsAug 23
- L31-34at San José State SpartansNov 29
- L21-24at California Golden BearsNov 23
- W38-35vs Louisville CardinalsNov 16
- L28-59at NC State WolfpackNov 2
- L24-27vs Wake Forest Demon DeaconsOct 26
- L10-40vs SMU MustangsOct 20
San José State Spartans
Last 10: 4-6Streak W120.5 scored · 27.3 allowed per game1-3 away
- W31-28vs Idaho VandalsSep 20
- L7-38at Texas LonghornsSep 6
- L14-16vs Central Michigan ChippewasAug 30
- W34-31vs Stanford CardinalNov 29
- L16-27vs UNLV RebelsNov 23
- L21-42vs Boise State BroncosNov 17
- W24-13at Oregon State BeaversNov 9
- L10-33at Fresno State BulldogsOct 27
- W24-14vs Wyoming CowboysOct 19
- L24-31at Colorado State RamsOct 12
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Air Force | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nevada | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| New Mexico | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Northern Illinois | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| UTEP | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Wyoming | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hawai'i | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| San José State | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| UNLV | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Virginia | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Florida State | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| North Carolina | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Stanford | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Boston College | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| California | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Clemson | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Duke | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Georgia Tech | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Louisville | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Miami | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pittsburgh | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| SMU | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Syracuse | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Virginia Tech | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Wake Forest | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| NC State | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Box score
| Stat | San José State Spartans | Stanford Cardinal |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 27 | 23 |
| Third downs | 4-12 | 3-13 |
| Fourth downs | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Total yards | 524 | 481 |
| Net passing yards | 473 | 444 |
| Completions | 36/58 | 29/43 |
| Yards per pass | 8.2 | 10.3 |
| Rushing yards | 51 | 37 |
| Rushing attempts | 14 | 26 |
| Yards per rush | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Penalties | 8-54 | 11-95 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 1 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 30:53 | 29:07 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Stanford Cardinal, below favours San José State Spartans.
Venue
- Stanford StadiumStanford, CA
- Attendance26357
Elsewhere
- NCAA clears Cincinnati in Brendan Sorsby sports betting probe
- Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith hoping to leave legacy in final season
- Georgia AG to SEC: 'Take all measures available' if LSU plays pros
- Ex-Alabama NIL content director pleads guilty to solicitation
- Minnesota opens the season at home against FCS foe Eastern Illinois
- Judge upholds eligibility for Missouri's Sterling Webb
Picks for NCAAF
NCAAF rules and settlement
- A 42-point college football spread is not a prediction of a 42-point win
- How the moneyline works in college football
- What reverse line movement means in college football
- What an injury report means in college football
- What weather means in college football
- What a divisional game means in college football
These two, other days
- Stanford Edges San José State in Close ContestDec 13, 2025