SMU Mustangs vs Florida State Seminoles prediction & odds

The upcoming matchup between the Florida State Seminoles and the SMU Mustangs promises to be an intriguing contest, particularly as it marks the first home game of the season for Florida State, who currently holds a record of 1-0. The game will take place at Doak Campbell Stadium on September 7, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 23:30 UTC.

Florida State enters this game following a mixed bag of results in their last five games, where they have recorded two wins and three losses. Their most recent outing saw them triumph over the New Mexico State Aggies with a score of 34-17. Prior to that, they faced a tough stretch, losing to notable opponents such as the Clemson Tigers and the Florida Gators. The Seminoles have averaged 22.0 points scored in their last five games while allowing 23.2 points. At home, Florida State has a record of 3-2 in their last five games, with an average of 25.6 points scored and 25.1 points allowed.

On the other side, the SMU Mustangs come into this game with a strong recent form, boasting a record of 7-3 over their last ten games. They have won their last three games, including a notable victory against the Louisville Cardinals, where they dominated with a score of 38-6. SMU's scoring average over their last five games stands at 31.2 points, while they have allowed an average of 18.0 points. They have been particularly effective at home, holding a perfect 4-0 record, but their away record stands at 3-3.

In terms of individual performances, Florida State's Ashton Daniels has been a key player, throwing for 202 yards with one touchdown and one interception in their last game. Ousmane Kromah has also made an impact on the ground, rushing for 115 yards and one touchdown. Samuel Singleton Jr. contributed in the receiving game with four receptions for 54 yards and one touchdown.

The betting market currently favors SMU, with DraftKings listing the Mustangs as three-point favorites. The total for the game is set at 54.5 points, with over odds at -112.0 and under odds at -108.0. Florida State's moneyline stands at +124.0, while SMU's is at -148.0.

Weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature around 87°F and a 58% chance of precipitation. Wind gusts could reach up to 8 mph, which may influence play.

The final score for this game has not been recorded here yet.