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NHL · Final

Maple Leafs Shut Out Lightning 2-0 at Home

Monday, December 8, 2025, 7:30 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 0, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 2-0 at Scotiabank Arena on December 8, 2025.

Who was favored in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Tampa Bay Lightning were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -130 (about 57% implied). The underdog won.

In a tightly contested matchup, the Toronto Maple Leafs secured a 2-0 victory over the Tampa Bay Lightning at Scotiabank Arena. This win extends the Maple Leafs' lead in the season series to 2-0, having previously defeated the Lightning 4-3 in their last meeting on April 9, 2025. Toronto's performance was highlighted by goals from Morgan Rielly in the first period and Auston Matthews in the third period, showcasing their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities despite a challenging injury situation.

The Maple Leafs entered this game with a home record of 14-11-4, while the Lightning had a slightly better away record of 16-11-2. Toronto's recent form at home showed a mixed bag, with a record of 5-5 over their last ten games, including a loss to the Montreal Canadiens just two days prior. Their scoring average at home was 3.0 goals per game, while they allowed an average of 2.4 goals. In contrast, Tampa Bay had been performing well on the road, boasting a record of 7-3 in their last ten games, with an average of 3.4 goals scored and only 1.8 goals allowed.

In terms of injuries, the Maple Leafs were significantly impacted, missing key players such as Auston Matthews, who was out with a knee injury, along with Max Domi, Dakota Joshua, and Chris Tanev. Zack MacEwen was also on injured reserve with a knee issue. The Lightning were without Pontus Holmberg due to a collarbone injury. These absences undoubtedly influenced the strategies employed by both teams during the game.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, indicated Tampa Bay as the favorites at -130, with a spread of 1.5 and a total set at 6.5. The odds for the over were -112, while the under was priced at -108. This context reflects the expectations surrounding the matchup, particularly given the Lightning's recent form and the Maple Leafs' struggles with injuries.

The game conditions were favorable for hockey, with both teams looking to establish their presence early. The first goal came from Morgan Rielly, who scored on a backhand shot with assists from Easton Cowan and John Tavares. This early lead set the tone for the Maple Leafs, who managed to maintain their defensive structure throughout the game.

As the match progressed, the Lightning struggled to find their rhythm, unable to capitalize on scoring chances. The Maple Leafs' defense held strong, effectively preventing Tampa Bay from getting quality shots on goal. In the third period, Matthews sealed the victory with a wrist shot, bringing the final score to 2-0.

Overall, the Maple Leafs demonstrated resilience in the face of adversity, leveraging their home-ice advantage to secure a crucial win against a formidable opponent. The victory not only boosts their confidence but also highlights their depth, as they continue to navigate through injuries while maintaining competitive performances.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsTB -130 6.5 o -112 / u -108 Tampa Bay Lightning -130 · Toronto Maple Leafs +110

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Zack MacEwenInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Max DomiOutBackToronto Maple Leafs
  • Dakota JoshuaOutUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
  • Auston MatthewsOutKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Chris TanevInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs
  • Pontus HolmbergOutCollarboneTampa Bay Lightning

Leaders

  • GoalsMorgan Rielly1Toronto Maple Leafs
  • AssistsJohn Tavares1Toronto Maple Leafs
  • PointsMorgan Rielly1Toronto Maple Leafs

Recent form

Toronto Maple Leafs

Last 10: 5-5Streak L13 scored · 2.4 allowed per game1-2 at home

  • L1-2vs Montreal CanadiensDec 7
  • W5-1at Carolina HurricanesDec 5
  • W4-1at Florida PanthersDec 3
  • W7-2at Pittsburgh PenguinsNov 30
  • L2-4at Washington CapitalsNov 28
  • W2-1at Columbus Blue JacketsNov 27
  • L2-5at Montreal CanadiensNov 23
  • L2-3vs Columbus Blue JacketsNov 21
  • W3-2vs St. Louis BluesNov 19
  • L2-3at Chicago BlackhawksNov 16

Tampa Bay Lightning

Last 10: 7-3Streak L33.4 scored · 1.8 allowed per game3-1 away

  • L0-2vs New York IslandersDec 7
  • L3-4vs Pittsburgh PenguinsDec 5
  • L1-2at New York IslandersDec 3
  • W4-1at New York RangersNov 29
  • W6-3at Detroit Red WingsNov 28
  • W5-1vs Calgary FlamesNov 27
  • W3-0vs Philadelphia FlyersNov 25
  • W5-3at Washington CapitalsNov 23
  • W2-1vs Edmonton OilersNov 21
  • W5-1vs New Jersey DevilsNov 19

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Buffalo92310950
Tampa Bay62610650
Montreal102410648
Boston102710045
Ottawa11279944
Detroit10319241
Florida4388440
Toronto14367832

Box score

StatTampa Bay LightningToronto Maple Leafs
Blocked shots814
Hits1620
Takeaways48
Shots total2925
Power play goals00
Power play opportunities12
Power play pct0.00.0
Short handed goals00
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won2431
Faceoff percent43.656.4
Giveaways1910
Penalties53
Penalty minutes2412

How the scoring went

  1. 1st0-1Morgan Rielly Goal (5) Backhand, assists: Easton Cowan (6), John Tavares (17)
  2. 3rd0-2Auston Matthews Goal (12) Wrist Shot, assists: none

Venue

  • Scotiabank ArenaToronto
  • Attendance18520
  • OfficialsFrancois St. Laurent, Matt MacPherson, Graham Skilliter, Kyle Flemington

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.