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NHL · Final

Lightning Defeat Maple Leafs 4-2 in NHL Clash

Wednesday, February 25, 2026, 7:30 PM ET · Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4-2 at Benchmark International Arena on February 25, 2026.

Who was favored in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Tampa Bay Lightning were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -225 (about 69% implied). The favorite won.

The Tampa Bay Lightning secured a 4-2 victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs at the Benchmark International Arena, breaking a five-game losing streak against their rivals. This win allowed the Lightning to take a 2-1 lead in the season series, which had previously been tied at 1-1. Tampa Bay's strong home record of 38-14-4 contrasts sharply with Toronto's away record of 27-22-9, highlighting the Lightning's dominance on their home ice.

In terms of recent form, the Lightning have been impressive, boasting a record of 8-2 over their last ten games, including a five-game winning streak. They have averaged 3.9 goals scored per game while allowing only 2.4 goals against during this stretch. Their last five games have seen them score an average of 4.4 goals while conceding just 2.0. In their most recent match before facing the Maple Leafs, they defeated the Florida Panthers 6-1, showcasing their offensive prowess.

Conversely, the Maple Leafs have struggled on the road, with a record of 4-6 in their last ten games. They are currently on a three-game winning streak, averaging 3.0 goals scored per game but allowing 3.9 goals against. Their last five matches have seen them score and concede an average of 3.6 goals each. Their most recent win was against the Edmonton Oilers, where they triumphed 5-2.

Historically, the Lightning have faced challenges against the Maple Leafs, having lost their last five meetings. The last encounter prior to this game was on December 9, 2025, where Tampa Bay fell 0-2 in Toronto. However, the Lightning's home advantage was evident in this matchup, as they capitalized on their scoring opportunities.

In terms of injuries, the Lightning were without Pontus Holmberg due to a collarbone injury. The Maple Leafs faced a more significant injury crisis, missing key players such as Auston Matthews (knee), Max Domi (back), Dakota Joshua (upper body), and Chris Tanev (abdomen), while Zack MacEwen was on injured reserve with a knee injury. The absence of these players likely impacted the Maple Leafs' performance.

The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had the Lightning favored at -225, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 6.5 goals. The odds for the over were at 114.0, while the under was priced at -135. This reflects the expectations of a competitive game, although the Lightning's strong home record and recent form made them the clear favorites.

The conditions at the Benchmark International Arena were conducive to an exciting matchup, with fans eager to see if the Lightning could continue their winning ways against a rival team. As the game unfolded, viewers witnessed a series of scoring plays that highlighted the Lightning's offensive capabilities. Brayden Point opened the scoring with a wrist shot in the second period, assisted by Charle-Edouard D'Astous and Holmberg. Gage Goncalves followed with another goal, also in the second period, extending Tampa Bay's lead.

In the third period, Nikita Kucherov added to the Lightning's tally with a slap shot, but John Tavares responded for the Maple Leafs, cutting the deficit. Point then scored his second of the night, further solidifying Tampa Bay's lead. Matthew Knies managed to score for Toronto late in the game, but it was not enough to change the outcome.

Overall, this fixture showcased the Lightning's ability to capitalize on their home advantage while the Maple Leafs struggled to find their rhythm without several key players. The victory not only marked a significant win for Tampa Bay but also highlighted the ongoing rivalry between these two teams, setting the stage for future encounters.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsTB -225 6.5 o +114 / u -135 Toronto Maple Leafs +185 · Tampa Bay Lightning -225

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Pontus HolmbergOutCollarboneTampa Bay Lightning
  • Zack MacEwenInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Max DomiOutBackToronto Maple Leafs
  • Dakota JoshuaOutUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
  • Auston MatthewsOutKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Chris TanevInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs

Leaders

  • GoalsBrayden Point2Tampa Bay Lightning
  • AssistsGage Goncalves2Tampa Bay Lightning
  • PointsBrayden Point3Tampa Bay Lightning
  • GoalsMatthew Knies1Toronto Maple Leafs
  • AssistsWilliam Nylander2Toronto Maple Leafs
  • PointsMatthew Knies2Toronto Maple Leafs

Recent form

Tampa Bay Lightning

Last 10: 8-2Streak W53.9 scored · 2.4 allowed per game6-0 at home

  • W6-1vs Florida PanthersFeb 6
  • W4-3vs Buffalo SabresFeb 4
  • W6-5vs Boston BruinsFeb 1
  • W4-1vs Winnipeg JetsJan 30
  • W2-0vs Utah MammothJan 27
  • L5-8at Columbus Blue JacketsJan 25
  • W2-1at Chicago BlackhawksJan 24
  • W4-1vs San Jose SharksJan 21
  • W4-1at Dallas StarsJan 18
  • L2-3at St. Louis BluesJan 17

Toronto Maple Leafs

Last 10: 4-6Streak W33 scored · 3.9 allowed per game4-1 away

  • W5-2at Edmonton OilersFeb 4
  • W4-2at Calgary FlamesFeb 3
  • W3-2at Vancouver CanucksFeb 1
  • L2-5at Seattle KrakenJan 30
  • L4-7vs Buffalo SabresJan 28
  • L1-4vs Colorado AvalancheJan 25
  • L3-6vs Vegas Golden KnightsJan 24
  • L1-2vs Detroit Red WingsJan 22
  • L3-6vs Minnesota WildJan 20
  • W4-3at Winnipeg JetsJan 18

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Buffalo92310950
Tampa Bay62610650
Montreal102410648
Boston102710045
Ottawa11279944
Detroit10319241
Florida4388440
Toronto14367832

Box score

StatToronto Maple LeafsTampa Bay Lightning
Blocked shots1711
Hits1817
Takeaways73
Shots total3436
Power play goals10
Power play opportunities24
Power play pct50.00.0
Short handed goals00
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won3428
Faceoff percent54.845.2
Giveaways159
Penalties42
Penalty minutes84

How the scoring went

  1. 2nd0-1Brayden Point Goal (12) Wrist Shot, assists: Charle-Edouard D'Astous (15), Pontus Holmberg (9)
  2. 2nd0-2Gage Goncalves Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Nikita Kucherov (63), Charle-Edouard D'Astous (16)
  3. 3rd0-3Nikita Kucherov Goal (30) Slap Shot, assists: Gage Goncalves (12), Brayden Point (20)
  4. 3rd1-3John Tavares Goal (21) Wrist Shot, assists: William Nylander (35), Matthew Knies (33)
  5. 3rd1-4Brayden Point Goal (13) Wrist Shot, assists: Nikita Kucherov (64), Gage Goncalves (13)
  6. 3rd2-4Matthew Knies Goal (15) Snap Shot, assists: William Nylander (36), Auston Matthews (23)

Venue

  • Benchmark International ArenaTampa, FL
  • Attendance19092
  • OfficialsGraham Skilliter, Furman South, Tyson Baker, Julien Fournier

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.