Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys prediction & odds

The Oklahoma State Cowboys will face off against the Texas Tech Red Raiders at Boone Pickens Stadium on November 15, 2026, in a matchup that promises to be pivotal for both teams as they navigate the latter part of the season.

Oklahoma State enters this game with a mixed bag of results in their last five outings, achieving three wins and two losses. Their most recent performance was a commanding victory against the Kansas State Wildcats, where they won 66-28 on November 7, 2026. In their last five games, the Cowboys have averaged 49.2 points scored per game while allowing 33.2 points. Their overall home record stands at 4-1, showcasing their ability to perform well at Boone Pickens Stadium, where they have averaged 40.8 points scored and allowed 26.5 points in their last ten home games.

On the other hand, Texas Tech comes into this matchup riding a two-game winning streak, with a record of 9-1 over their last ten games. Their latest victory was a thrilling 53-48 win against the West Virginia Mountaineers on November 8, 2026. The Red Raiders have averaged 37.2 points scored and allowed 22.4 points in their last ten games, with a solid away record of 2-1. Their last five games have seen them score an average of 38.6 points while allowing 28.6 points, indicating a strong offensive presence.

In terms of individual performances, Oklahoma State's Drew Mestemaker has been a standout, throwing for 2,962 yards with 29 touchdowns and 8 interceptions this season. Caleb Hawkins leads the rushing attack with 1,081 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Justin Bowick has made significant contributions in the receiving game with 790 yards and 10 touchdowns. For Texas Tech, Will Hammond has passed for 1,561 yards with 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. J'Koby Williams has been effective on the ground, accumulating 954 yards and 7 touchdowns, and Kenny Johnson has been a reliable target in the air with 632 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns.

Historically, Oklahoma State has struggled against Texas Tech, having lost their only recent meeting, which took place on October 25, 2025, by a score of 0-42. This previous encounter adds an extra layer of motivation for the Cowboys as they seek to turn the tide in this rivalry.

In terms of betting, DraftKings has set the odds with Oklahoma State favored by 4 points, indicating a competitive matchup. The total points line is set at 73.5, suggesting expectations for a high-scoring game. The moneyline reflects Oklahoma State at -185 and Texas Tech at +154, further emphasizing the close nature of this contest.

Weather conditions for the game are expected to be cool, with a temperature around 49°F, 85% chance of precipitation, and wind gusts reaching 14 mph. These factors could play a role in the game, potentially influencing the passing and kicking games.

Viewers should watch for how Oklahoma State's offense, led by Mestemaker, matches up against Texas Tech's defense, particularly after their recent high-scoring games. Additionally, the effectiveness of Texas Tech's rushing attack, spearheaded by Williams, will be crucial in determining the outcome of this matchup. With both teams vying for a crucial victory, this game is set to be an exciting encounter in the NCAAF landscape.