ENSign in
NCAAF · 11/4 - 7:00 PM EST

Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets prediction & odds

Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · Hornet Stadium

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

When and where is Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets?

Toledo Rockets visit Sacramento State Hornets at Hornet Stadium on November 4, 2026.

Who is favored in Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets?

Toledo Rockets are the favorite at DraftKings: moneyline -2800, a price that implies about 97%. Sacramento State Hornets are +1300.

What are the spread and the over/under for Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets?

DraftKings has TOL -25.5, with the total at 53.5.

How are Toledo Rockets and Sacramento State Hornets playing lately?

Sacramento State Hornets are 2-8 in their last 10, Toledo Rockets 8-2.

The Toledo Rockets, boasting a strong away record of 6-2, will face the Sacramento State Hornets, who have struggled with a 2-7 record, in a matchup that promises to be intriguing given the contrasting forms of both teams. This game will take place at Hornet Stadium on November 5, 2026.

Toledo comes into this game with a recent record of 8-2 over their last ten games, currently riding a two-game winning streak. Their scoring average stands at 35.8 points per game, while they have allowed an average of 21.5 points. In their last five games, Toledo has won four, scoring an average of 33.4 points and allowing 23.0 points. Their most recent game saw them defeat the Western Michigan Broncos with a score of 45-38.

In contrast, Sacramento State has had a challenging season, with a record of 2-8 over their last ten games and a single win in their last five, which came against Kent State with a score of 31-10. Overall, the Hornets have averaged 18.0 points scored and 30.4 points allowed per game. Their last five games reflect a record of 1-4, with an average of 14.2 points scored and 33.0 points allowed.

When it comes to home versus away performance, Sacramento State holds a home record of 2-3, while their away performance has been less favorable at 0-5. Toledo, on the other hand, has a solid away record of 3-1, complementing their overall strong performance this season.

The two teams have not met recently, which adds an element of unpredictability to this fixture. The injury status for both teams has not been detailed in the provided information, so it remains unclear how player availability may impact the game.

The market has set the odds with DraftKings, listing Toledo as the favorites with a spread of 25.5. The total points line is set at 53.5, with odds of -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Sacramento State's moneyline is listed at 1300.0, while Toledo's is significantly lower at -2800. These odds reflect a strong expectation for Toledo to perform well against the struggling Hornets.

Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for football, with a temperature of 68°F and no precipitation forecasted. Wind gusts are expected to reach 7 mph, which should not significantly affect gameplay.

Viewers should watch for the performance of Toledo's quarterback John Alan Richter, who has thrown for 2,244 yards with 17 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions this season. Additionally, the Rockets' running back CJ Miller has been a key contributor, rushing for 609 yards and 7 touchdowns. For Sacramento State, quarterback Jackson Sharman has thrown for 1,363 yards with 8 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, while running back Isaiah Ene has contributed 410 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. The matchup between these players could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the game.

The final score for this game has not been recorded here yet.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsTOL -25.5 53.5 o -105 / u -115 Toledo Rockets -2800 · Sacramento State Hornets +1300

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Leaders

  • Passing yardsJackson Sharman136/242, 1,363 YDS, 8 TD, 6 INTSacramento State Hornets
  • Rushing yardsIsaiah Ene77 CAR, 410 YDS, 3 TDSacramento State Hornets
  • Receiving yardsMatt Coleman41 REC, 492 YDS, 5 TDSacramento State Hornets
  • Passing yardsJohn Alan Richter173/259, 2,244 YDS, 17 TD, 2 INTToledo Rockets
  • Rushing yardsCJ Miller109 CAR, 609 YDS, 7 TDToledo Rockets
  • Receiving yardsAdjatay Dabbs40 REC, 592 YDS, 7 TDToledo Rockets

Recent form

Sacramento State Hornets

Last 10: 2-8Streak W118 scored · 30.4 allowed per game2-3 at home

  • L35-6vs Massachusetts MinutemenSep 26
  • L38-10vs Bowling Green FalconsOct 10
  • L48-7vs Ohio BobcatsOct 17
  • L34-17vs Ball State CardinalsOct 24
  • W31-10vs Kent State Golden FlashesOct 30

Toledo Rockets

Last 10: 8-2Streak W235.8 scored · 21.5 allowed per game3-1 away

  • W41-16vs San Diego State AztecsSep 26
  • W39-24vs Ball State CardinalsOct 3
  • L23-8vs Buffalo BullsOct 10
  • W34-14vs Eastern Michigan EaglesOct 17
  • W45-38vs Western Michigan BroncosOct 24

Standings

TeamOverallIn conference
Ohio6-24-0
Western Michigan6-34-1
Buffalo5-33-1
Toledo6-23-1
Miami (OH)5-33-1
Eastern Michigan4-53-2
Ball State3-52-2
Kent State3-62-3
Bowling Green2-72-3
Massachusetts4-41-3
Central Michigan3-51-3
Sacramento State2-71-5
Akron1-70-4

Box score

StatToledo RocketsSacramento State Hornets
Total points per game37.417.0
Yards per game475.5295.9
Passing yards per game288.1188.3
Rushing yards per game187.4107.6
Total points per game allowed25.430.3
Yards per game allowed325.6363.8
Passing yards per game allowed198.3196.1
Rushing yards per game allowed127.4167.7

Venue

  • Hornet StadiumSacramento, CA

Elsewhere

Picks for NCAAF

NCAAF rules and settlement

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.