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NCAAF · Final

Western Kentucky Tops Missouri State in Close Contest

Saturday, September 27, 2025, 7:00 PM ET · Robert W. Plaster Stadium

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 27, Missouri State Bears 22, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Missouri State Bears?

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers beat Missouri State Bears 27-22 at Robert W. Plaster Stadium on September 27, 2025.

In a tightly contested game at Robert W. Plaster Stadium, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers edged out the Missouri State Bears with a final score of 27-22. This matchup showcased the Hilltoppers' strong performance on the road, improving their away record to 2-3 for the season, while the Bears fell to 2-4 overall.

The Bears entered the game with a recent record of 6-4 over their last ten matches, but their performance in the last five games had been less impressive, with a record of 2-3 and an average of 19.0 points scored while allowing 35.2 points. Their most recent outing was a victory against the UT Martin Skyhawks, where they won decisively 42-10. However, prior to that, they suffered a loss to the SMU Mustangs, which ended their previous win streak.

On the other hand, the Hilltoppers came into this game with a 4-1 record for the season and a recent streak of 6-4 in their last ten games. They managed to secure a win in their latest match against the Nevada Wolf Pack, winning 31-16. Their last five games have shown a record of 3-2, scoring an average of 32.0 points while allowing 28.6.

When comparing home and away performances, Missouri State had a home record of 3-2, while Western Kentucky's away record stood at 1-3 before this game. This fixture was particularly interesting as it highlighted the contrasting fortunes of the two teams, with Missouri State having a solid home advantage historically but struggling to maintain consistency this season.

In terms of previous meetings, the two teams had not faced each other recently, making this game an intriguing encounter for fans. The injury report indicated that both teams were relatively healthy, which allowed for a full-strength lineup on both sides.

The market had priced the Hilltoppers as the favorites, reflecting their stronger overall record and recent form. The odds indicated a clear expectation of a Western Kentucky victory, with the home win probability for Missouri State at 0.0, emphasizing the challenges they faced going into this game.

Conditions during the match were favorable for football, with clear skies and a manageable temperature, allowing both teams to execute their game plans effectively. Fans were treated to a competitive atmosphere as both teams fought for every yard.

As the game unfolded, viewers were keen to watch the offensive strategies employed by both teams. Missouri State's ability to score an average of 30.8 points per game was a focal point, especially following their recent high-scoring affair against UT Martin. Conversely, Western Kentucky's balanced attack, averaging 27.9 points while maintaining a solid defense that allowed only 25.2 points, was a critical aspect of their success.

Ultimately, the game was a testament to the competitive nature of college football, with both teams showcasing their strengths and weaknesses. Western Kentucky's victory not only solidified their standing but also provided them with valuable momentum moving forward in the season.

Leaders

  • Passing yardsJacob Clark8/15, 143 YDSMissouri State Bears
  • Rushing yardsShomari Lawrence16 CAR, 78 YDS, 1 TDMissouri State Bears
  • Receiving yardsDash Luke3 REC, 71 YDSMissouri State Bears
  • Passing yardsMaverick McIvor26/39, 317 YDS, 1 TDWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers
  • Rushing yardsLa'Vell Wright10 CAR, 91 YDS, 2 TDWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers
  • Receiving yardsMatthew Henry5 REC, 73 YDSWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers

Recent form

Missouri State Bears

Last 10: 6-4Streak W130.8 scored · 34.6 allowed per game3-2 at home

  • W42-10vs UT Martin SkyhawksSep 20
  • L10-28vs SMU MustangsSep 13
  • W21-20at Marshall Thundering HerdSep 6
  • L13-73at USC TrojansAug 30
  • L9-45vs South Dakota State JackrabbitsNov 23
  • L21-59at North Dakota State BisonNov 16
  • W59-31at Murray State RacersNov 9
  • W38-17vs Southern Illinois SalukisNov 2
  • W49-42at Northern Iowa PanthersOct 26
  • W46-21vs Indiana State SycamoresOct 19

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Last 10: 6-4Streak W127.9 scored · 25.2 allowed per game1-3 away

  • W31-16vs Nevada Wolf PackSep 20
  • L21-45at Toledo RocketsSep 6
  • W55-6vs North Alabama LionsAug 30
  • W41-24vs Sam Houston BearkatsAug 23
  • L12-52at Jacksonville State GamecocksDec 7
  • W19-17vs Jacksonville State GamecocksNov 30
  • L21-38at Liberty FlamesNov 23
  • L7-12vs Louisiana Tech BulldogsNov 16
  • W41-28at New Mexico State AggiesNov 9
  • W31-14vs Kennesaw State OwlsOct 30

Standings

TeamOverallIn conference
Delaware0-00-0
Florida International0-00-0
Kennesaw State0-00-0
Liberty0-00-0
Middle Tennessee0-00-0
Missouri State0-00-0
Sam Houston0-00-0
Western Kentucky0-00-0
Jacksonville State0-10-0
New Mexico State0-10-0

Box score

StatWestern Kentucky HilltoppersMissouri State Bears
First downs2521
Third downs4-122-12
Fourth downs0-11-2
Total yards476414
Net passing yards317200
Completions26/3915/32
Yards per pass8.16.3
Rushing yards159214
Rushing attempts2934
Yards per rush5.56.3
Penalties9-948-70
Turnovers00
Fumbles lost00
Interceptions thrown00
Time of possession31:2828:32

Win probability

Above the line favours Missouri State Bears, below favours Western Kentucky Hilltoppers.

Venue

  • Robert W. Plaster StadiumSpringfield, MO
  • Attendance10068

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.