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What minimum odds mean, and why they are published

Every pick goes out with a minimum price. It is the floor below which we no longer think that bet is worth taking. It is not a target, and it is not a prediction of where the price will go.

Why a pick needs a floor

A selection is not good or bad on its own — it is good or bad at a price. The same side at 1.90 and at 1.35 are two different bets, and only one of them may be worth making. Publishing a selection without a floor would leave "we said take it" with no boundary at all, which is convenient for us and useless to you.

How to use it

  • Check your bookmaker's number against the minimum before you place anything.
  • At or above it — the bet is the bet we published.
  • Below it — skip it. Nothing is owed and nothing is lost by skipping; the day settles the same way.

Why it cannot be moved afterwards

The minimum price is part of what goes into the pick's commit hash, published before kick-off. That means it cannot be quietly lowered after a result to make a pick look reasonable, or raised to explain a loss away. Whatever floor we set is the floor the record shows.

It is also the one number that can cost us a day: if the market was already under our published minimum when we released the pick, the day is voided and your counter does not move.

It is not a promise about the price A minimum price says what we would take, not what you will find. Books disagree with each other constantly, and a book pricing below our floor is not an error — by anyone. It is a reason to leave that bet alone.
And it is not a promise about the result A pick above its minimum can lose. The floor is about whether the bet is worth making, not about how it will end — and the money on it is yours, at your bookmaker, either way.

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