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If the price has moved before you get there

Prices move, sometimes within minutes of a release. Two numbers go out with every pick for exactly this reason: the published price, which is what we could see at the moment we released it, and the minimum price, which is the floor below which we no longer think the bet is worth taking.

What to do when the number is different

  • Your book is at or above the minimum. The pick stands. You will not always get the published price, and that is normal — different books price the same market differently, all day long.
  • Your book is below the minimum. Skip it. That is what the number is published for, and skipping is not a failure of the day.
  • The price has gone up. Take it if you want it. A better price does not change the pick or the day.

What happens to your day either way

The day settles on the main pick, not on your bet. If the main pick wins, the winning day is delivered — whether you took the price, skipped the price, or never opened the app. What you bought is the pick, not the bet, and your counter has no way of knowing what you did with it.

The one case where the day comes off us

If the market was already below the published minimum at the moment we released it, the pick was not takeable as published. That is our mistake, not yours: the day is voided, your counter does not move, and it is recorded with that reason.

Chasing a price you missed The price is part of the pick. Taking the same selection at a materially worse number is a different bet from the one we published, and it is one we are not standing behind. The bet is yours to place or not to place, and so is the risk that comes with it.
Why we publish the price we saw Quoting a price nobody could still get would flatter the record. Quoting only a floor would hide how good the number was when it went out. Both are published, both are inside the commit hash, and neither can be edited afterwards.

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