What happens if we are wrong about a settlement
The rules that decide a day are published and served as data — the source, the tiebreak, and the moment a result counts as final. What is not automated is the reading: today somebody here looks up the public result and marks the row. The rule is declared; the reading is ours. Which means we can be wrong, and there has to be a way to say so.
The rules that are already fixed
- The competition decides, not a bookmaker. If a bookmaker's settlement disagrees with the official result, the official result wins — including when that costs us the day.
- Official confirmation, not the final whistle. A review or a post-match ruling still counts.
- Every ambiguous case resolves in your favour. That costs days, and it is affordable for the same reason the losses are.
- Rules move forward only. Each day records which version of the rules judged it, so tightening a rule later can never reach back and take a day off somebody who already bought.
If you think a day closed wrongly
- Write to [email protected] with the date of the day. That is enough; nothing else is needed.
- We send back that day's receipt: fixture, market, published price, minimum price, release time, and which source the result came from.
- If we got it wrong, we reverse it. The day goes back on your counter, and the correction stays visible in the archive rather than the row being quietly deleted.
You have three days to raise it. A dispute still unresolved past that window resolves in your favour and we carry the cost — the ceiling is the point: it removes any reason to go to your bank, and a chargeback costs everyone far more than a day of picks.
What a correction cannot do
It puts the day back on your counter. It does not touch your bet: your stake sits at your bookmaker, with your money, and we neither see it nor move it. If a settlement went against you at your bookmaker as well, that part is between you and them — we have no standing there and no way to intervene.
The archive
What the published price did in US sports
11,262 games in US sports that are over and carried a price when we wrote them up, between November 24, 2025 and November 6, 2026. Each count sits beside what it is out of, and the share is the one divided by the other.
| What | How often | Out of | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| The shorter price won | 7,058 | 10,936 | 64.5% |
| The favourite covered the handicap | 3,373 | 7,003 | 48.2% |
| The total went over | 5,518 | 11,236 | 49.1% |
| The home side won | 6,361 | 11,262 | 56.5% |
How they ended
Over 16,021 finished games in US sports whose result line says how it ended — the feed's own one-line verdict, not a reading of the play.
| What | How often | Out of | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Went past regulation | 1,212 | 16,021 | 7.6% |
| Settled on a shootout | 161 | 16,021 | 1.0% |
| Called before the end | 9 | 16,021 | 0.1% |
286 games landed exactly on the number — the handicap or the total — so they are in the counts they are out of and in neither result.
The prices counted here are DraftKings', as they stood when we last wrote each game up — one snapshot per game, near kick-off for almost all of them, and never a closing line. So this says what the published line did, not how it moved on the way there.
A season that happened. Nothing here predicts the next game, and none of it is advice.
Counted November 6, 2026.
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