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NFL · Final

Falcons Edge Buccaneers in Thrilling Finish

Thursday, December 11, 2025, 8:15 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

Atlanta Falcons 29, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Atlanta Falcons beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29-28 at Raymond James Stadium on December 11, 2025.

Who was favored in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -285 (about 74% implied). The underdog won.

In a closely contested matchup, the Atlanta Falcons narrowly defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a final score of 29-28 at Raymond James Stadium. This game was particularly significant as it showcased the struggles of both teams, with the Buccaneers holding a home record of 7-7 and the Falcons at 5-9 for the season.

The Buccaneers entered this game with a recent form of 4 wins and 6 losses over their last ten games, but they were on a one-game losing streak after a defeat to the New Orleans Saints on December 7, where they lost 20-24. On average, the Buccaneers scored 22.7 points per game while allowing 25.9 points during this stretch. Their home performance had been a mixed bag, with a record of 2-3 at home and an average of 20.4 points scored and 29.4 points allowed over their last five games.

Conversely, the Falcons had a record of 3 wins and 7 losses in their last ten games, also on a two-game losing streak following a heavy defeat to the Seattle Seahawks, where they lost 9-37. The Falcons averaged 21.0 points scored and allowed 25.4 points during this recent stretch, with a 1-4 record in away games.

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Buccaneers had won only 1 of the last 3 meetings against the Falcons, with the previous encounter earlier in the season resulting in a 23-20 victory for Atlanta. The last two seasons have seen the Buccaneers struggle against the Falcons, losing both meetings in 2024.

Injury concerns loomed over the Buccaneers with several players listed as questionable, including Sean Tucker, Emeka Egbuka, and Jalen McMillan, all of whom could have impacted the team's performance. Additionally, Xavier Williams and Mohamed Kamara were on injured reserve, further complicating the Buccaneers' depth. The Falcons also faced injury challenges, with Keshawn Banks and JD Bertrand on injured reserve, and Anterio Thompson ruled out. Billy Bowman Jr. was listed as questionable due to an Achilles injury.

The odds for this matchup were set by DraftKings, with the Buccaneers favored at -6.0 on the spread, and the total points set at 43.5, indicating expectations for a moderately high-scoring game. The moneyline odds were -285 for the Buccaneers and +230 for the Falcons, reflecting the perceived strength of the home team.

Conditions for the game were not detailed in the block, but given the time of year, it can be assumed that the teams faced typical late-season weather in Florida, which can vary but often includes mild temperatures and humidity.

Viewers were likely to watch for the performance of key offensive players and how the injuries might affect the strategies employed by both teams. The ability of the Buccaneers to bounce back from their recent slump and the Falcons' need to find consistency were critical elements in this matchup. Ultimately, the Falcons' victory in this game adds another chapter to their rivalry with the Buccaneers, showcasing the competitive nature of the NFL.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsTB -6 43.5 o -110 / u -110 Atlanta Falcons +230 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers -285

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Sean TuckerQuestionableUndisclosedTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Emeka EgbukaQuestionableToeTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Jalen McMillanQuestionableKneeTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Xavier WilliamsInjured ReserveHipTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Mohamed KamaraInjured ReserveKneeTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Keshawn BanksInjured ReserveUndisclosedAtlanta Falcons
  • JD BertrandInjured ReserveUndisclosedAtlanta Falcons
  • Anterio ThompsonOutUndisclosedAtlanta Falcons
  • Billy Bowman Jr.QuestionableAchillesAtlanta Falcons
  • Beaux CollinsInjured ReserveUndisclosedAtlanta Falcons

Leaders

  • Passing yardsBaker Mayfield19/34, 277 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INTTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Rushing yardsBucky Irving16 CAR, 60 YDSTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Receiving yardsMike Evans6 REC, 132 YDSTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Passing yardsKirk Cousins30/44, 373 YDS, 3 TDAtlanta Falcons
  • Rushing yardsBijan Robinson19 CAR, 93 YDS, 1 TDAtlanta Falcons
  • Receiving yardsKyle Pitts Sr.11 REC, 166 YDS, 3 TDAtlanta Falcons

Recent form

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Last 10: 4-6Streak L122.7 scored · 25.9 allowed per game2-3 at home

  • L20-24vs New Orleans SaintsDec 7
  • W20-17vs Arizona CardinalsNov 30
  • L7-34at Los Angeles RamsNov 24
  • L32-44at Buffalo BillsNov 16
  • L23-28vs New England PatriotsNov 9
  • W23-3at New Orleans SaintsOct 26
  • L9-24at Detroit LionsOct 20
  • W30-19vs San Francisco 49ersOct 12
  • W38-35at Seattle SeahawksOct 5
  • L25-31vs Philadelphia EaglesSep 28

Atlanta Falcons

Last 10: 3-7Streak L221 scored · 25.4 allowed per game1-4 away

  • L9-37vs Seattle SeahawksDec 7
  • L24-27at New York JetsNov 30
  • W24-10at New Orleans SaintsNov 23
  • L27-30vs Carolina PanthersNov 16
  • L25-31at Indianapolis ColtsNov 9
  • L23-24at New England PatriotsNov 2
  • L10-34vs Miami DolphinsOct 26
  • L10-20at San Francisco 49ersOct 20
  • W24-14vs Buffalo BillsOct 13
  • W34-27vs Washington CommandersSep 28

Standings

TeamLostPoints againstPoints forTiedWin %WonOverall
Carolina189970.75033-1
Tampa Bay150400.66722-1
Atlanta145580.66722-1
New Orleans282470.33311-2

Box score

StatAtlanta FalconsTampa Bay Buccaneers
First downs2728
First downs passing1916
First downs rushing65
First downs by penalty27
Third downs5-114-9
Fourth downs1-10-0
Offensive plays6661
Total yards476338
Yards per play7.25.5
Drives1010
Net passing yards365250
Completions30/4419/34
Yards per pass8.16.4
Interceptions thrown01
Sacks allowed1-85-27
Rushing yards11188
Rushing attempts2122
Yards per rush5.34.0
Red zone trips4-43-3
Penalties19-1254-25
Turnovers11
Fumbles lost10
Defensive touchdowns00
Time of possession31:5128:09

Win probability

Above the line favours Tampa Bay Buccaneers, below favours Atlanta Falcons.

Venue

  • Raymond James StadiumTampa, FL
  • Attendance64917
  • OfficialsCarl Cheffers, Martin Hankins, Greg Bradley, Eugene Hall, Nathan Jones, Daniel Gallagher, Derek Anderson

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.