NFL Picks
One main pick a day across NFL, published with a hash before kick-off and settled in public.
You buy winning days, not calendar days
A day comes off your package only when that day's main pick wins. A losing day is voided and replaced at no extra charge — you still risk your own stake with your own bookmaker.
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Today's free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Today's board
Nothing on today’s board has cleared our published minimum yet. Plays appear here as the prices move, usually within a few hours of kick-off.
The selection itself is for package holders. The fixture, the commitment hash and the result are public.
The record
Across 159 settled days. Counts, not rates — a percentage from a small sample says more than it knows.
That total counts every day delivered, in Telegram, by hand or here. Only the days published here have a row and a hash in the archive.
One record for the whole product, not one per sport. A per-sport record would describe where a pick was published rather than how the product does.
See every settled day →Questions people ask
- Do you publish NFL picks every day?
- No. One main pick goes out a day, chosen across every competition we cover, so on most days it is not NFL. When nothing qualifies anywhere, the day goes out empty — and an empty day costs you nothing, because a day only comes off your balance when a main pick wins.
- How is the NFL pick chosen?
- From one analyst's feed, among games that have not started and start within twenty-four hours, and only from bets that are actually placeable: a market, a side, a price, a kick-off time and two named teams. The full rule, including what it refuses to publish, is on the methodology page.
- How do I know the pick was not changed after the game?
- Every pick is published with a hash before kick-off, and the string that hash was made from is released when the day settles. Recompute it yourself and compare it with the hash published before the whistle. The recipe and a worked example are on the verification page.
- What happens if the NFL pick loses?
- Your balance does not move. A day comes off it only when that day's main pick wins, so a losing day, a voided day and an empty day all leave every day you paid for intact.
- Is the record on this page NFL only?
- No — it is the whole product's. A per-sport record would describe where a pick appeared rather than how the product has done.
- What arrives with the NFL pick?
- The main pick, plus the side picks published that day. Side picks settle on their own and never touch your counter: one that loses costs you nothing, and one that wins does not use a day up.
The archive
What the published price did in the NFL
276 games in the NFL that are over and carried a price when we wrote them up, between November 25, 2025 and November 6, 2026. Each count sits beside what it is out of, and the share is the one divided by the other.
| What | How often | Out of | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| The shorter price won | 155 | 263 | 58.9% |
| The favourite covered the handicap | 117 | 276 | 42.4% |
| The total went over | 143 | 274 | 52.2% |
| The home side won | 134 | 276 | 48.6% |
- Points in a game, on average
- 44.26
- Winning margin, on average
- 11.25
How wide the games were
Over 457 finished games in the NFL with a score — a margin needs no price, so this sample is wider than the one above.
- Half were decided by this or less
- 8
- One in ten by this or more
- 24
- The widest
- 38
How they ended
Over 457 finished games in the NFL whose result line says how it ended — the feed's own one-line verdict, not a reading of the play.
| What | How often | Out of | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Went past regulation | 27 | 457 | 5.9% |
8 games landed exactly on the number — the handicap or the total — so they are in the counts they are out of and in neither result.
The prices counted here are DraftKings', as they stood when we last wrote each game up — one snapshot per game, near kick-off for almost all of them, and never a closing line. So this says what the published line did, not how it moved on the way there.
A season that happened. Nothing here predicts the next game, and none of it is advice.
Counted November 6, 2026.
The last settled day
NFL teams
- AFC
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Baltimore Ravens
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Chicago Bears
- Cincinnati Bengals
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- Green Bay Packers
- Houston Texans
- Indianapolis Colts
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Los Angeles Rams
- Miami Dolphins
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- NFC
- New England Patriots
- New Orleans Saints
- New York Giants
- New York Jets
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- San Francisco 49ers
- Seattle Seahawks
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Tennessee Titans
- Washington Commanders