Arizona State Edges Baylor in Thrilling Finish
Tuesday, March 10, 2026, 12:30 PM ET · T-Mobile Center
Arizona State Sun Devils 83, Baylor Bears 79, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils?
Arizona State Sun Devils beat Baylor Bears 83-79 at T-Mobile Center on March 10, 2026.
Who was favored in Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils?
Baylor Bears were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -250 (about 71% implied). The underdog won.
In a closely contested matchup, the Arizona State Sun Devils triumphed over the Baylor Bears with a final score of 83-79. This victory marks a significant moment for Arizona State, as they had previously lost both of their encounters against Baylor this season and last, including a narrow defeat earlier in the season on February 21, 2026, where they fell 68-73. The game took place at the T-Mobile Center, showcasing the intensity of NCAA basketball.
Both teams entered the game with fluctuating recent forms. Arizona State had a record of 5-5 in their last ten games, with an average of 72.6 points scored and 74.0 points allowed. Their last outing resulted in a loss against Iowa State, where they were defeated 65-86. However, they had shown resilience at home, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five home games. In contrast, Baylor had a record of 4-6 in their last ten games, averaging 79.9 points scored and 80.3 points allowed. They came into this game on a winning streak, having won against Utah 101-75 in their previous match.
When considering home and away performances, Arizona State had been stronger at home, while Baylor struggled on the road, holding a 1-3 record in their last four away games. The matchup was also significant due to the betting lines provided by DraftKings, which favored Baylor with a spread of 5.5 points and a moneyline of -250, while Arizona State was listed at +205.
In terms of injuries, the block does not provide specific details, but both teams had been navigating the challenges typical of a late-season stretch. The conditions of the game were likely to be influenced by the atmosphere at the T-Mobile Center, where fans expected a high-energy contest.
As the game progressed, key moments defined the outcome. Cameron Carr emerged as a crucial player for Arizona State, making a pivotal 25-foot three-point jumper in the second half, contributing to the Sun Devils' lead. The final moments were tense, with both teams exchanging free throws as they battled for control. Ultimately, Arizona State's ability to capitalize on critical scoring opportunities allowed them to secure the win, finishing the game with a 1.0 probability of victory as the final buzzer sounded.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | BAY -5.5 | 152.5 o -110 / u -110 | Baylor Bears -250 · Arizona State Sun Devils +205 |
Leaders
- PointsAnthony Johnson19Arizona State Sun Devils
- AssistsNoah Meeusen3Arizona State Sun Devils
- ReboundsSantiago Trouet9Arizona State Sun Devils
- PointsCameron Carr25Baylor Bears
- AssistsIsaac Williams IV4Baylor Bears
- ReboundsCameron Carr7Baylor Bears
Recent form
Arizona State Sun Devils
Last 10: 5-5Streak L172.6 scored · 74 allowed per game4-1 at home
- L65-86at Iowa State CyclonesMar 7
- W70-60vs Kansas JayhawksMar 4
- W73-60vs Utah UtesFeb 28
- L78-90at TCU Horned FrogsFeb 25
- L68-73at Baylor BearsFeb 21
- W72-67vs Texas Tech Red RaidersFeb 18
- W85-76vs Oklahoma State CowboysFeb 11
- L70-78at Colorado BuffaloesFeb 8
- W71-63at Utah UtesFeb 5
- L74-87vs Arizona WildcatsJan 31
Baylor Bears
Last 10: 4-6Streak W179.9 scored · 80.3 allowed per game1-3 away
- W101-75vs Utah UtesMar 7
- L64-77at Houston CougarsMar 5
- W87-86at UCF KnightsMar 1
- L80-87vs Arizona WildcatsFeb 25
- W73-68vs Arizona State Sun DevilsFeb 21
- L74-90at Kansas State WildcatsFeb 18
- L71-82vs Louisville CardinalsFeb 14
- L94-99vs BYU CougarsFeb 11
- L69-72at Iowa State CyclonesFeb 7
- W86-67vs Colorado BuffaloesFeb 5
Standings
| Team | Overall | Games behind | In conference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 36-3 | - | 16-2 |
| Houston | 30-7 | 2 | 14-4 |
| Iowa State | 29-8 | 4 | 12-6 |
| Kansas | 24-11 | 4 | 12-6 |
| Texas Tech | 23-11 | 4 | 12-6 |
| TCU | 23-12 | 5 | 11-7 |
| BYU | 23-12 | 7 | 9-9 |
| UCF | 21-12 | 7 | 9-9 |
| West Virginia | 21-14 | 7 | 9-9 |
| Cincinnati | 18-15 | 7 | 9-9 |
| Colorado | 17-16 | 9 | 7-11 |
| Arizona State | 17-16 | 9 | 7-11 |
| Oklahoma State | 20-15 | 10 | 6-12 |
| Baylor | 17-17 | 10 | 6-12 |
| Kansas State | 12-20 | 13 | 3-15 |
| Utah | 10-22 | 14 | 2-16 |
Box score
| Stat | Baylor Bears | Arizona State Sun Devils |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 28-67 | 31-54 |
| Field goal % | 42 | 57 |
| Three-pointers | 8-33 | 8-22 |
| Three-point % | 24 | 36 |
| Free throws | 13-17 | 13-22 |
| Free throw % | 76 | 59 |
| Rebounds | 36 | 33 |
| Offensive rebounds | 16 | 9 |
| Defensive rebounds | 20 | 24 |
| Assists | 12 | 11 |
| Steals | 9 | 9 |
| Blocks | 2 | 2 |
| Turnovers | 12 | 15 |
| Team turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 17 | 15 |
| Fast-break points | 9 | 8 |
| Points in the paint | 40 | 42 |
| Fouls | 20 | 14 |
| Largest lead | 2 | 15 |
| Lead changes | 1 | 1 |
| Time in front | 2 | 94 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Half42-56Anthony Johnson makes layup (Maurice Odum assists)
- 2nd Half43-56Dan Skillings Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half44-56Dan Skillings Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half45-56Tounde Yessoufou makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half45-59Bryce Ford makes 26-foot three point jumper (Noah Meeusen assists)
- 2nd Half47-59Isaac Williams IV makes 0-foot tip in layup
- 2nd Half47-61Anthony Johnson makes layup
- 2nd Half50-61Isaac Williams IV makes 26-foot three point jumper (Dan Skillings Jr. assists)
- 2nd Half52-61Dan Skillings Jr. makes layup
- 2nd Half52-62Anthony Johnson makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half52-63Anthony Johnson makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half54-63Caden Powell makes 1-foot dunk (Dan Skillings Jr. assists)
- 2nd Half54-65Maurice Odum makes layup
- 2nd Half56-65Tounde Yessoufou makes driving layup
- 2nd Half58-65Tounde Yessoufou makes driving layup
- 2nd Half58-67Anthony Johnson makes 8-foot jumper
- 2nd Half60-67Tounde Yessoufou makes 8-foot jumper
- 2nd Half62-67Isaac Williams IV makes layup (Tounde Yessoufou assists)
- 2nd Half64-67team makes 87-foot shot
- 2nd Half64-69Santiago Trouet makes 4-foot hook shot
- 2nd Half64-72Noah Meeusen makes 24-foot three point jumper (Massamba Diop assists)
- 2nd Half64-74Maurice Odum makes 12-foot jumper
- 2nd Half64-75Noah Meeusen makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half66-75Cameron Carr makes layup
- 2nd Half66-76Massamba Diop makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half66-77Massamba Diop makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half66-78Santiago Trouet makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half69-78Obi Agbim makes 24-foot three point jumper
- 2nd Half71-78Dan Skillings Jr. makes layup
- 2nd Half71-79Anthony Johnson makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half71-80Massamba Diop makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half71-81Maurice Odum makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half71-82Maurice Odum makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half72-82Cameron Carr makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half73-82Cameron Carr makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half73-83Maurice Odum makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half76-83Cameron Carr makes 25-foot three point jumper
- 2nd Half77-83Cameron Carr makes free throw 1 of 3
- 2nd Half78-83Cameron Carr makes free throw 2 of 3
- 2nd Half79-83Cameron Carr makes free throw 3 of 3
Win probability
Above the line favours Arizona State Sun Devils, below favours Baylor Bears.
Venue
- T-Mobile CenterKansas City, MO
- Attendance7283
- OfficialsDoug Sirmons, Chris Merlo, Chance Moore
Elsewhere
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- Tennessee's Ralph Scott to have knee surgery, out at least 6 months
- Men's NCAA basketball 2026-27 Way-Too-Early Top 25 rankings
- Transfers, recruits and roster moves for key men's NCAA basketball teams
- Michigan 5-star freshman Brandon McCoy Jr. (knee) to miss season