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NFL · Final

Falcons Secure Victory Over Bills at Home

Monday, October 13, 2025, 7:15 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta Falcons 24, Buffalo Bills 14, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons?

Atlanta Falcons beat Buffalo Bills 24-14 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 13, 2025.

In an intriguing matchup at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, the Atlanta Falcons triumphed over the Buffalo Bills with a final score of 24-14. This victory marks a significant moment for the Falcons, who improved their home record to 4-2 while the Bills fell to 4-3 on the season. Both teams entered the game with contrasting recent forms, making this fixture particularly noteworthy.

The Falcons, boasting a home record of 3-2 prior to this game, had been on a path of mixed results, with their last ten games yielding a record of 4-6. Their recent performance showed a slight upward trend, having won their last game against the Washington Commanders 34-27. On average, they scored 22.1 points while allowing 23.5 over their last ten outings. Their last five games, however, reflected a more concerning trend, with an average of 22.8 points scored and 26.0 points allowed, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

In contrast, the Buffalo Bills had been performing well on the road, holding a 4-2 record before the game and a robust overall record of 7-3 in their last ten games. They had been averaging 32.3 points scored and allowing 25.7 points during that span, showcasing their offensive prowess. However, they entered this game on a one-game losing streak, having lost to the New England Patriots 20-23 in their previous outing.

Historically, the Falcons and Bills have had competitive encounters, but this game was particularly significant as it showcased the Falcons' ability to capitalize on home advantage. The venue, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, has been a challenging place for visiting teams, and the Falcons managed to leverage this, especially given their improved home performance.

In terms of injuries, the Falcons were dealing with several key players on the injured reserve list, including Keshawn Banks and JD Bertrand, both of whom were listed as out due to undisclosed injuries. Additionally, Anterio Thompson was ruled out, while Billy Bowman Jr. was considered questionable with an Achilles injury. The Bills faced their own injury concerns, with Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, and Ty Johnson all listed as questionable, while Tyrell Shavers was ruled out due to a knee injury.

The betting market had the Falcons as the favorites in this matchup, reflecting a home win probability of 1.0 according to the latest odds. This indicated strong confidence in the Falcons' ability to secure a victory at home, which they ultimately did.

Weather conditions during the game were typical for a fall evening, which likely played a role in the gameplay. Fans witnessed a competitive atmosphere, with both teams showcasing their strengths and weaknesses. The Falcons' defense was particularly notable, managing to contain the Bills' high-scoring offense, which had been averaging over 30 points in recent games.

As the game unfolded, viewers were treated to a display of strategic football, with the Falcons effectively utilizing their home field advantage. The win not only boosts their confidence but also positions them favorably in the league standings as they move forward in the season.

Injury report

  • Keshawn BanksInjured ReserveUndisclosedAtlanta Falcons
  • JD BertrandInjured ReserveUndisclosedAtlanta Falcons
  • Anterio ThompsonOutUndisclosedAtlanta Falcons
  • Billy Bowman Jr.QuestionableAchillesAtlanta Falcons
  • Beaux CollinsInjured ReserveUndisclosedAtlanta Falcons
  • Khalil ShakirQuestionableUndisclosedBuffalo Bills
  • Keon ColemanQuestionableFootBuffalo Bills
  • Ty JohnsonQuestionableLower LegBuffalo Bills
  • Zane DurantInjured ReserveUndisclosedBuffalo Bills
  • Tyrell ShaversOutKnee - ACLBuffalo Bills

Leaders

  • Passing yardsMichael Penix Jr.20/32, 250 YDS, 1 TDAtlanta Falcons
  • Rushing yardsBijan Robinson19 CAR, 170 YDS, 1 TDAtlanta Falcons
  • Receiving yardsDrake London10 REC, 158 YDS, 1 TDAtlanta Falcons
  • Passing yardsJosh Allen15/26, 180 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INTBuffalo Bills
  • Rushing yardsJames Cook III17 CAR, 87 YDSBuffalo Bills
  • Receiving yardsJoshua Palmer2 REC, 60 YDSBuffalo Bills

Recent form

Atlanta Falcons

Last 10: 4-6Streak W122.1 scored · 23.5 allowed per game2-3 at home

  • W34-27vs Washington CommandersSep 28
  • L0-30at Carolina PanthersSep 21
  • W22-6at Minnesota VikingsSep 15
  • L20-23vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersSep 7
  • L38-44vs Carolina PanthersJan 5
  • L24-30at Washington CommandersDec 30
  • W34-7vs New York GiantsDec 22
  • W15-9at Las Vegas RaidersDec 17
  • L21-42at Minnesota VikingsDec 8
  • L13-17vs Los Angeles ChargersDec 1

Buffalo Bills

Last 10: 7-3Streak L132.3 scored · 25.7 allowed per game2-2 away

  • L20-23vs New England PatriotsOct 6
  • W31-19vs New Orleans SaintsSep 28
  • W31-21vs Miami DolphinsSep 19
  • W30-10at New York JetsSep 14
  • W41-40vs Baltimore RavensSep 8
  • L16-23at New England PatriotsJan 5
  • W40-14vs New York JetsDec 29
  • W24-21vs New England PatriotsDec 22
  • W48-42at Detroit LionsDec 15
  • L42-44at Los Angeles RamsDec 8

Standings

TeamLostPoints againstPoints forTiedWin %WonOverall
Buffalo0488801.00033-0
New England171501.50011-1-1
New York247390.33311-2
Miami363220.00000-3
Carolina189970.75033-1
Tampa Bay150400.66722-1
Atlanta145580.66722-1
New Orleans282470.33311-2

Box score

StatBuffalo BillsAtlanta Falcons
First downs1722
First downs passing810
First downs rushing79
First downs by penalty23
Third downs2-95-12
Fourth downs0-10-1
Offensive plays5466
Total yards291443
Yards per play5.46.7
Drives1112
Net passing yards157233
Completions15/2620/32
Yards per pass5.26.9
Interceptions thrown20
Sacks allowed4-232-17
Rushing yards134210
Rushing attempts2432
Yards per rush5.66.6
Red zone trips2-31-3
Penalties8-646-35
Turnovers20
Fumbles lost00
Defensive touchdowns00
Time of possession28:2131:39

Win probability

Above the line favours Atlanta Falcons, below favours Buffalo Bills.

Venue

  • Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta, GA
  • Attendance72067
  • OfficialsDino Paganelli, Dyrol Prioleau, Jeff Seeman, Boris Cheek, Shawn Smith, Tra Blake, Jay Bilbo

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.