UC San Diego Tritons Defeat Cal Poly Mustangs 80-64
Saturday, February 28, 2026, 10:00 PM ET · LionTree Arena
UC San Diego Tritons 80, Cal Poly Mustangs 64, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC San Diego Tritons?
UC San Diego Tritons beat Cal Poly Mustangs 80-64 at LionTree Arena on February 28, 2026.
Who was favored in Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC San Diego Tritons?
UC San Diego Tritons were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -325 (about 76% implied). The favorite won.
In a decisive matchup, the UC San Diego Tritons secured an 80-64 victory over the Cal Poly Mustangs at the LionTree Arena on March 1, 2026. This win marks the Tritons' fourth consecutive victory, solidifying their strong form as they head into the latter part of the season. With a home record of 21-9, UC San Diego has demonstrated their dominance on their home court, particularly evident in their recent performances where they averaged 72.4 points in their last five games while allowing 66.0 points.
The Tritons entered the game with a recent record of 6-4 over their last ten games, with their scoring average at 69.0 points and allowing 68.2 points. Their streak of four consecutive wins included notable victories against teams like Cal State Bakersfield and UC Irvine. In contrast, the Mustangs, with a record of 13-17, have also been performing well lately, boasting a 6-4 record in their last ten games. They have been particularly high-scoring, averaging 85.3 points while allowing 84.9 points during that stretch. However, their overall away record stands at 3-2, which reflects a mixed performance on the road.
Historically, the Tritons have had the upper hand in their recent meetings with the Mustangs, holding a 2-1 record in their last three encounters. Their most recent clash earlier in the season resulted in a narrow 67-65 defeat for UC San Diego, but they had previously triumphed with scores of 95-68 and 81-67 in earlier matchups. This context added an intriguing layer to the game, as the Tritons sought to avenge their earlier loss.
In terms of injuries, the block does not provide specific details, but both teams have been fielding their key players effectively, contributing to their recent form. The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Tritons favored by 7.5 points, indicating a strong belief in their ability to secure a win at home. The total points line was set at 164.5, suggesting expectations of a high-scoring affair given both teams' offensive capabilities.
The conditions at the LionTree Arena were conducive for basketball, with a lively atmosphere that often boosts home performance. Fans witnessed a thrilling display of athleticism and skill, particularly from the Tritons, who executed their game plan effectively. Key moments in the second half saw the Tritons extend their lead, with scoring plays like Tom Beattie's driving layup and Jaden Vance's pullup jump shot demonstrating their offensive fluidity.
As the game progressed, the Tritons maintained control, showcasing their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and defend effectively. The final score of 80-64 reflects not only their superior performance but also their resilience in bouncing back from earlier challenges in the season. This victory positions UC San Diego favorably as they look to build on their momentum moving forward.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | UCSD -7.5 | 164.5 o -112 / u -108 | Cal Poly Mustangs +260 · UC San Diego Tritons -325 |
Leaders
- PointsAlex Chaikin17UC San Diego Tritons
- AssistsLeo Beath5UC San Diego Tritons
- ReboundsLeo Beath7UC San Diego Tritons
- PointsHamad Mousa19Cal Poly Mustangs
- AssistsCayden Ward3Cal Poly Mustangs
- ReboundsCayden Ward10Cal Poly Mustangs
Recent form
UC San Diego Tritons
Last 10: 6-4Streak W469 scored · 68.2 allowed per game4-2 at home
- W84-72vs Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersFeb 27
- W71-69at UC Irvine AnteatersFeb 22
- W72-66vs UC Riverside HighlandersFeb 15
- W68-51vs UC Davis AggiesFeb 13
- L67-72at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsFeb 8
- W77-74vs Long Beach State BeachFeb 6
- L64-81at Cal State Northridge MatadorsFeb 1
- L48-62vs UC Santa Barbara GauchosJan 30
- L59-61vs UC Irvine AnteatersJan 25
- W80-74at UC Davis AggiesJan 23
Cal Poly Mustangs
Last 10: 6-4Streak W485.3 scored · 84.9 allowed per game3-2 away
- W102-92vs Long Beach State BeachFeb 27
- W86-75at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsFeb 20
- W89-79vs UC Santa Barbara GauchosFeb 15
- W79-73vs UC Irvine AnteatersFeb 13
- L58-67at UC Davis AggiesFeb 7
- L96-97vs Cal State Northridge MatadorsFeb 6
- W94-87at UC Riverside HighlandersFeb 1
- W104-79at Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersJan 30
- L78-93vs Cal State Fullerton TitansJan 25
- L67-107at UC Santa Barbara GauchosJan 23
Standings
| Team | Overall | Games behind | In conference |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine | 23-12 | - | 15-5 |
| Hawai'i | 24-9 | 1 | 14-6 |
| UC San Diego | 23-11 | 3 | 12-8 |
| Cal State Northridge | 20-14 | 3 | 12-8 |
| Cal State Fullerton | 18-16 | 3 | 12-8 |
| UC Davis | 19-14 | 4 | 11-9 |
| UC Santa Barbara | 18-14 | 4 | 11-9 |
| Cal Poly | 14-19 | 5 | 10-10 |
| Long Beach State | 10-22 | 9 | 6-14 |
| UC Riverside | 10-22 | 10 | 5-15 |
| Cal State Bakersfield | 8-24 | 13 | 2-18 |
Box score
| Stat | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC San Diego Tritons |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 22-58 | 31-67 |
| Field goal % | 38 | 46 |
| Three-pointers | 12-39 | 8-24 |
| Three-point % | 31 | 33 |
| Free throws | 8-8 | 10-16 |
| Free throw % | 100 | 63 |
| Rebounds | 38 | 39 |
| Offensive rebounds | 7 | 10 |
| Defensive rebounds | 31 | 29 |
| Assists | 14 | 18 |
| Steals | 3 | 10 |
| Blocks | 2 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 15 | 6 |
| Team turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 0 | 21 |
| Fast-break points | 4 | 23 |
| Points in the paint | 20 | 40 |
| Fouls | 15 | 14 |
| Largest lead | 5 | 18 |
| Lead changes | 4 | 4 |
| Time in front | 8 | 87 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Half29-42Hamad Mousa makes 4-foot floating jump shot
- 2nd Half30-42Hamad Mousa makes free throw 1 of 1
- 2nd Half30-44Emanuel Prospere II makes layup
- 2nd Half30-45Emanuel Prospere II makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half30-46Emanuel Prospere II makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half32-46Hamad Mousa makes 4-foot floating jump shot
- 2nd Half32-48Emanuel Prospere II makes driving layup
- 2nd Half35-48Jake Davis makes 23-foot three point jumper (Peter Bandelj assists)
- 2nd Half35-50Aidan Burke makes driving layup
- 2nd Half35-52Hudson Mayes makes driving layup
- 2nd Half36-52Troy Plumtree makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half37-52Troy Plumtree makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half37-54Hudson Mayes makes 16-foot pullup jump shot (Jaden Vance assists)
- 2nd Half40-54Cayden Ward makes 28-foot three point jumper (Jess Esso Essis assists)
- 2nd Half40-56Tom Beattie makes layup (Leo Beath assists)
- 2nd Half43-56Hamad Mousa makes 25-foot three point jumper (Troy Plumtree assists)
- 2nd Half44-56Jess Esso Essis makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half45-56Jess Esso Essis makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half45-59Alex Chaikin makes 24-foot three point jumper (Leo Beath assists)
- 2nd Half45-61Leo Beath makes 4-foot dunk
- 2nd Half48-61Cayden Ward makes 23-foot three point jumper
- 2nd Half48-64Leo Beath makes 25-foot three point jumper (Emanuel Prospere II assists)
- 2nd Half51-64Jake Davis makes 24-foot three point jumper (Hamad Mousa assists)
- 2nd Half53-64Cayden Ward makes driving layup
- 2nd Half53-67Alex Chaikin makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jaden Vance assists)
- 2nd Half55-67Hamad Mousa makes driving layup
- 2nd Half56-67Hamad Mousa makes free throw 1 of 1
- 2nd Half57-67Cayden Ward makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half58-67Cayden Ward makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half58-69Emanuel Prospere II makes layup
- 2nd Half60-69Cayden Ward makes driving layup
- 2nd Half60-70Alex Chaikin makes free throw 1 of 3
- 2nd Half60-71Alex Chaikin makes free throw 2 of 3
- 2nd Half60-72Alex Chaikin makes free throw 3 of 3
- 2nd Half60-74Tom Beattie makes driving layup (Hudson Mayes assists)
- 2nd Half62-74Guzman Vasilic makes driving layup
- 2nd Half62-76Tom Beattie makes 3-foot dunk (Alex Chaikin assists)
- 2nd Half62-78Leo Beath makes driving layup
- 2nd Half62-80Jaden Vance makes 10-foot pullup jump shot (Hudson Mayes assists)
- 2nd Half64-80Aaron Price Jr. makes 1-foot dunk (Jackson Mosley assists)
Win probability
Above the line favours UC San Diego Tritons, below favours Cal Poly Mustangs.
Venue
- LionTree ArenaSan Diego, CA
- Attendance3331
- OfficialsMark Cook, Roland Simmons, Michael Mojica
Elsewhere
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- Transfers, recruits and roster moves for key men's NCAA basketball teams
- Michigan 5-star freshman Brandon McCoy Jr. (knee) to miss season
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