Buccaneers Edge Panthers in Close Contest
Saturday, January 3, 2026, 4:30 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16, Carolina Panthers 14, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Carolina Panthers 16-14 at Raymond James Stadium on January 3, 2026.
Who was favored in Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -155 (about 61% implied). The favorite won.
In a tightly contested matchup, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers narrowly defeated the Carolina Panthers 16-14 at Raymond James Stadium. This victory was crucial for both teams, who entered the game with identical records of 8-9, highlighting the significance of this fixture in the NFL landscape.
The Buccaneers have struggled in recent weeks, finishing their last ten games with a record of 2-8, including a four-game losing streak. Over this period, they averaged 19.9 points scored per game while allowing 24.6 points. Their last five games showed a slight improvement in scoring, with an average of 21.0 points, but they still faced challenges on the defensive side, allowing an average of 22.6 points. In contrast, the Panthers, who have also been inconsistent, recorded a 5-5 record in their last ten games, but they are currently on a one-game losing streak. They managed to score an average of 16.5 points while conceding 21.8 points during this stretch.
When looking at home and away performances, the Buccaneers had a home record of 1-3, while the Panthers fared slightly better on the road with a 3-2 record. This matchup was particularly interesting as the Buccaneers and Panthers have faced each other multiple times recently, with the Buccaneers leading the head-to-head record 2-1 over the last three meetings. Their previous encounter this season on December 21, 2025, ended in a 20-23 loss for the Buccaneers.
In terms of injuries, both teams were dealing with key player absences. The Buccaneers had several players listed as questionable, including Sean Tucker, Emeka Egbuka, and Jalen McMillan. Additionally, Xavier Williams and Mohamed Kamara were on injured reserve. The Panthers also faced injury concerns, with Jonathon Brooks and Chuba Hubbard listed as questionable, while Brady Christensen and Bam Martin-Scott were on injured reserve, and Taylor Moton was ruled out due to illness.
As for the betting lines, DraftKings set the spread at TB -3, with a total of 42.5 points. The odds reflected a competitive atmosphere, with the Buccaneers listed at -155.0 for the money line and the Panthers at 130.0.
The weather conditions for the game were not detailed in the provided facts, but the matchup was expected to draw significant attention due to the stakes involved for both teams. Fans watching the game were likely to focus on the performance of the quarterbacks and the effectiveness of each team's defense, especially given the close nature of their previous encounters.
Overall, this game showcased the competitive spirit of both teams as they fought for a crucial win in the final stretch of the season.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TB -3 | 42.5 o -115 / u -105 | Carolina Panthers +130 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers -155 |
Injury report
- Sean TuckerQuestionableUndisclosedTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Emeka EgbukaQuestionableToeTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Jalen McMillanQuestionableKneeTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Xavier WilliamsInjured ReserveHipTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Mohamed KamaraInjured ReserveKneeTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Jonathon BrooksQuestionableGeneral SorenessCarolina Panthers
- Brady ChristensenInjured ReserveHamstringCarolina Panthers
- Chuba HubbardQuestionableHamstringCarolina Panthers
- Bam Martin-ScottInjured ReserveHamstringCarolina Panthers
- Taylor MotonOutIllnessCarolina Panthers
Leaders
- Passing yardsBaker Mayfield16/22, 203 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INTTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Rushing yardsBucky Irving26 CAR, 85 YDSTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Receiving yardsCade Otton7 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TDTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Passing yardsBryce Young24/35, 266 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INTCarolina Panthers
- Rushing yardsRico Dowdle7 CAR, 10 YDSCarolina Panthers
- Receiving yardsTetairoa McMillan4 REC, 85 YDSCarolina Panthers
Recent form
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Last 10: 2-8Streak L419.9 scored · 24.6 allowed per game1-3 at home
- L17-20at Miami DolphinsDec 28
- L20-23at Carolina PanthersDec 21
- L28-29vs Atlanta FalconsDec 12
- L20-24vs New Orleans SaintsDec 7
- W20-17vs Arizona CardinalsNov 30
- L7-34at Los Angeles RamsNov 24
- L32-44at Buffalo BillsNov 16
- L23-28vs New England PatriotsNov 9
- W23-3at New Orleans SaintsOct 26
- L9-24at Detroit LionsOct 20
Carolina Panthers
Last 10: 5-5Streak L116.5 scored · 21.8 allowed per game3-2 away
- L10-27vs Seattle SeahawksDec 28
- W23-20vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersDec 21
- L17-20at New Orleans SaintsDec 14
- W31-28vs Los Angeles RamsNov 30
- L9-20at San Francisco 49ersNov 25
- W30-27at Atlanta FalconsNov 16
- L7-17vs New Orleans SaintsNov 9
- W16-13at Green Bay PackersNov 2
- L9-40vs Buffalo BillsOct 26
- W13-6at New York JetsOct 19
Standings
| Team | Lost | Points against | Points for | Tied | Win % | Won | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | 1 | 89 | 97 | 0 | .750 | 3 | 3-1 |
| Tampa Bay | 1 | 50 | 40 | 0 | .667 | 2 | 2-1 |
| Atlanta | 1 | 45 | 58 | 0 | .667 | 2 | 2-1 |
| New Orleans | 2 | 82 | 47 | 0 | .333 | 1 | 1-2 |
Box score
| Stat | Carolina Panthers | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 16 | 21 |
| First downs passing | 13 | 12 |
| First downs rushing | 1 | 7 |
| First downs by penalty | 2 | 2 |
| Third downs | 1-8 | 8-15 |
| Fourth downs | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Offensive plays | 49 | 66 |
| Total yards | 285 | 338 |
| Yards per play | 5.8 | 5.1 |
| Drives | 10 | 9 |
| Net passing yards | 266 | 198 |
| Completions | 24/35 | 16/22 |
| Yards per pass | 7.6 | 8.3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks allowed | 0-0 | 2-5 |
| Rushing yards | 19 | 140 |
| Rushing attempts | 14 | 42 |
| Yards per rush | 1.4 | 3.3 |
| Red zone trips | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Penalties | 5-46 | 6-45 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 2 | 0 |
| Defensive touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 22:35 | 37:25 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Tampa Bay Buccaneers, below favours Carolina Panthers.
Venue
- Raymond James StadiumTampa, FL
- Attendance65082
- OfficialsRick Patterson, Sarah Thomas, Brad Allen, Chad Hill, Walter Flowers, Tyree Walton, Marcus Woods
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These two, other days
- Buccaneers Dominate Panthers in Convincing WinOct 25, 2026
- Panthers Edge Buccaneers in Close ContestDec 21, 2025