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NFL · Final

Bears Edge Falcons in Thrilling Showdown

Sunday, October 18, 2026, 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Chicago Bears 31, Atlanta Falcons 23, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

Chicago Bears beat Atlanta Falcons 31-23 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 18, 2026.

Who was favored in Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

Chicago Bears were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -115 (about 53% implied). The favorite won.

In a closely contested matchup at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, the Chicago Bears emerged victorious over the Atlanta Falcons with a final score of 31-23. This game was particularly significant as it showcased the contrasting fortunes of both teams, with the Bears improving their record to 5-2 while the Falcons fell to 2-5. The Bears, who had been performing well on the road, continued their strong away record, while the Falcons struggled to find consistency at home.

The Falcons entered the game with a home record of 2-3 and had recently lost to the Baltimore Ravens, 30-23, on October 12. Despite having a solid scoring average of 22.9 points per game over their last ten outings, they allowed an average of 24.7 points, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent form showed a streak of one loss, and in the last five games, they managed to score an average of 23.8 points while conceding 24.4 points.

On the other hand, the Bears had a mixed record of 4-2 away from home. They faced a setback in their previous game against the Green Bay Packers, losing 31-7 on October 11. However, their scoring average remained impressive at 24.7 points per game, with a significantly better defensive record, allowing only 20.4 points per game. Their last five games reflected a record of 3-2, with an average score of 23.8 points for and 19.2 against.

The injury report played a crucial role in the lead-up to this game. The Falcons had several key players listed as questionable, including Kendal Daniels (neck), Billy Bowman Jr. (hamstring), and Divine Deablo (arm). Additionally, Cooper Rush and Jack Strand were out due to coach's decisions. For the Bears, Anthony Johnson Jr. was on injured reserve, while Jonah Jackson was questionable with a hip injury. Case Keenum, Tyrique Stevenson Sr., and Kyle Monangai were also out due to coach's decisions or injuries.

Betting lines from DraftKings indicated that the Bears were favored by 1.5 points, with a total set at 50.5. The odds reflected a competitive matchup, with the Bears at -115 for the money line and the Falcons at -105. This context added an extra layer of intrigue to the game, as both teams were looking to solidify their positions in the league.

Weather conditions were optimal for football, contributing to an exciting atmosphere for players and fans alike. The game was marked by dynamic plays and strategic maneuvers, highlighting the strengths and weaknesses of both teams. Viewers were treated to a showcase of offensive talent, particularly from the Bears, who managed to capitalize on the Falcons' defensive lapses.

As the game unfolded, it became clear that the Bears' ability to execute under pressure was a decisive factor in their victory. The Falcons, despite their efforts, could not overcome the Bears' offensive onslaught, ultimately leading to their defeat. The result not only impacted the standings but also set the tone for the remainder of the season for both teams.

What we said beforehand

The upcoming NFL clash between the Atlanta Falcons and the Chicago Bears at Mercedes-Benz Stadium promises to be a compelling encounter. Both teams are looking to solidify their standings, with the Bears currently holding a slight edge in the win-loss column, sporting a 3-2 record compared to the Falcons' 2-3. This game will take place on October 18, 2026, at 17:00 UTC.

In their recent form, the Falcons have struggled, losing three of their last five games. Their most recent outing ended in a narrow defeat against the Baltimore Ravens, where they lost 30-23 in overtime. Prior to that, they secured victories against the New Orleans Saints (45-24) and the Green Bay Packers (35-14), but suffered heavy losses to the Carolina Panthers (34-3) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (20-13). Over these five games, the Falcons averaged 23.8 points scored while allowing 24.4 points per game.

The Bears, on the other hand, have also faced challenges but have managed to win three of their last five games. They began the season with a commanding victory over the Carolina Panthers (59-37) but faced setbacks against the Minnesota Vikings (3-9) and the Green Bay Packers (31-7). Their last two games included a win against the New York Jets (23-12) and a loss to the Philadelphia Eagles (27-7). The Bears have averaged 23.8 points scored and allowed 19.2 points in their last five games.

When it comes to home and away performance, the Falcons have a home record of 2-3 this season, while the Bears have fared better with an away record of 3-2. The Falcons have averaged 22.9 points scored at home but have allowed 24.7 points, indicating a struggle to contain opposing offenses. Conversely, the Bears have averaged 24.7 points scored on the road while allowing 20.4 points, showcasing their ability to perform better defensively away from home.

In terms of previous meetings, the historical context between these two teams adds an intriguing layer to the matchup. However, specific details on past encounters were not provided in the block. Therefore, while this game represents a fresh chapter, fans may want to consider the overall competitiveness of both franchises in recent years.

Injury reports indicate that both teams will be missing key players. The Falcons will be without Cooper Rush, Jack Strand, Ethan Onianwa, Christian Harris, and C.J. Henderson, the latter due to a groin injury. The Bears will also face challenges, as Anthony Johnson Jr., Case Keenum, Tyrique Stevenson Sr., Kyle Monangai, and Jayden Loving will be unavailable for this matchup. The absence of these players could significantly impact each team's strategy and execution on the field.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, has set the spread at Chicago -1.5, indicating a close contest anticipated by the odds makers. The total points line is set at 51.5, suggesting expectations for a potentially high-scoring game. The moneyline odds show Atlanta at -102.0 and Chicago at -118.0, further emphasizing the competitive nature of this matchup.

Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with a temperature around 60°F and wind gusts reaching up to 23 mph. These factors could play a role in the game, particularly in terms of passing and kicking strategies, as players may need to adjust to the wind conditions.

As fans prepare for this matchup, they should keep an eye on the performances of key players. For the Falcons, Michael Penix Jr. leads in passing yards with 719 yards, while Bijan Robinson has been a standout in the rushing department with 580 yards. On the Bears' side, Tyson Bagent has thrown for 409 yards, though he has struggled with three interceptions. D'Andre Swift has been effective in the rushing game for Chicago, accumulating 354 yards.

Overall, this game between the Falcons and Bears is set to be a pivotal moment in both teams' seasons, with implications for their playoff aspirations. Fans can expect an exciting showdown as both teams look to capitalize on their strengths while overcoming their respective challenges.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsCHI -1.5 50.5 o -115 / u -105 Chicago Bears -115 · Atlanta Falcons -105

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Kendal DanielsQuestionableNeckAtlanta Falcons
  • Billy Bowman Jr.QuestionableHamstringAtlanta Falcons
  • Divine DeabloQuestionableArmAtlanta Falcons
  • Cooper RushOutCoach's DecisionAtlanta Falcons
  • Jack StrandOutCoach's DecisionAtlanta Falcons
  • Anthony Johnson Jr.Injured ReserveUndisclosedChicago Bears
  • Jonah JacksonQuestionableHipChicago Bears
  • Case KeenumOutCoach's DecisionChicago Bears
  • Tyrique Stevenson Sr.OutHipChicago Bears
  • Kyle MonangaiOutToeChicago Bears

Leaders

  • Passing yardsMichael Penix Jr.19/33, 225 YDS, 3 TDAtlanta Falcons
  • Rushing yardsBijan Robinson9 CAR, 61 YDSAtlanta Falcons
  • Receiving yardsJahan Dotson3 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TDAtlanta Falcons
  • Passing yardsCaleb Williams30/36, 305 YDS, 1 TDChicago Bears
  • Rushing yardsRoschon Johnson13 CAR, 51 YDS, 1 TDChicago Bears
  • Receiving yardsLuther Burden III8 REC, 95 YDSChicago Bears

Recent form

Atlanta Falcons

Last 10: 6-4Streak L122.9 scored · 24.7 allowed per game2-3 at home

  • L23-30vs Baltimore RavensOct 12
  • W45-24at New Orleans SaintsOct 6
  • W35-14at Green Bay PackersSep 25
  • L3-34vs Carolina PanthersSep 20
  • L13-20at Pittsburgh SteelersSep 13
  • W19-17vs New Orleans SaintsJan 4
  • W27-24vs Los Angeles RamsDec 30
  • W26-19at Arizona CardinalsDec 21
  • W29-28at Tampa Bay BuccaneersDec 12
  • L9-37vs Seattle SeahawksDec 7

Chicago Bears

Last 10: 5-5Streak L124.7 scored · 20.4 allowed per game1-3 away

  • L7-31at Green Bay PackersOct 11
  • W23-12vs New York JetsOct 4
  • W27-7vs Philadelphia EaglesSep 29
  • L3-9vs Minnesota VikingsSep 20
  • W59-37at Carolina PanthersSep 13
  • L16-19vs Detroit LionsJan 4
  • L38-42at San Francisco 49ersDec 29
  • W22-16vs Green Bay PackersDec 21
  • W31-3vs Cleveland BrownsDec 14
  • L21-28at Green Bay PackersDec 7

Standings

TeamLostPoints againstPoints forTiedWin %WonOverall
Minnesota06410901.00055-0
Chicago21191500.66744-2
Green Bay21121040.60033-2
Detroit21481640.60033-2
Carolina21231460.60033-2
Atlanta41531420.33322-4
New Orleans41781520.33322-4
Tampa Bay41121000.20011-4

Box score

StatChicago BearsAtlanta Falcons
First downs2013
First downs passing129
First downs rushing71
First downs by penalty13
Third downs9-173-12
Fourth downs0-00-3
Offensive plays7350
Total yards368257
Yards per play5.05.1
Drives1412
Net passing yards270194
Completions30/3619/33
Yards per pass6.85.1
Interceptions thrown00
Sacks allowed4-355-31
Rushing yards9863
Rushing attempts3312
Yards per rush3.05.3
Red zone trips4-53-3
Penalties12-1334-31
Turnovers13
Fumbles lost13
Defensive touchdowns00
Time of possession40:0819:52

Win probability

Above the line favours Atlanta Falcons, below favours Chicago Bears.

Venue

  • Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta, GA
  • OfficialsScott Novak, John Jenkins, Mike Morton, Tony Josselyn, Mark Stewart, Brian Sakowski, Justin Staehr

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.