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MLB · Final

Twins Edge Guardians in Thrilling Finish at Target Field

Wednesday, July 8, 2026, 7:40 PM ET · Target Field

Minnesota Twins 6, Cleveland Guardians 5, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins?

Minnesota Twins beat Cleveland Guardians 6-5 at Target Field on July 8, 2026.

Who was favored in Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins?

Minnesota Twins were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -131 (about 57% implied). The favorite won.

In a tightly contested game at Target Field, the Minnesota Twins triumphed over the Cleveland Guardians with a final score of 6-5, securing the series victory 2-1. This match showcased the resilience of the Twins, who have been in solid form, winning three consecutive games and boasting a record of 7-3 over their last 10 outings. The Twins averaged 5.4 runs scored while allowing 3.8 runs during this stretch, indicating a robust offensive and defensive performance.

The Guardians, on the other hand, have struggled recently, losing their last three games and holding a 5-5 record over their last 10. They averaged 4.2 runs scored but allowed 4.3 runs, reflecting a more balanced but less effective overall performance compared to their opponents. The Guardians' away record stands at 47-46, while the Twins' home record is slightly lower at 46-47, highlighting the competitive nature of both teams in this matchup.

In their previous meetings this season, the Twins have had the upper hand, winning two of the three games played against the Guardians. Their last encounter prior to this game was also a victory for the Twins, where they won 3-1 on July 7, 2026. Historically, the teams have faced each other 15 times in the last two seasons, with the record standing at 7-7-1 in favor of the home team.

In terms of injuries, the Twins were missing key players, including Byron Buxton, Joe Ryan, and Austin Martin, all of whom are on the injured list. Buxton is on the 10-Day IL due to a hip issue, while Ryan is on the 15-Day IL with a lower body injury. The Guardians also faced injury challenges, with Slade Cecconi and Rhys Hoskins on the 15-Day and 10-Day IL respectively, affecting their depth and performance.

The betting odds provided by DraftKings indicated that the Twins were favored to win at -131, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 8.5. The over odds were listed at -112.0, while the under odds were at -107.0, reflecting the competitive nature of the matchup.

The game conditions were conducive to a thrilling contest, with both teams displaying strong offensive capabilities. The scoring plays were pivotal, with the Twins rallying in the later innings to secure their victory. Key moments included a series of walks and singles that allowed the Twins to capitalize on their opportunities, particularly in the 9th inning when Roden's single brought in the decisive run.

Fans watching the game were treated to a display of strategic plays, including sacrifice flies and bunts that showcased the teams' tactical approaches. The Twins' ability to execute in high-pressure situations ultimately led to their victory, demonstrating their current form and resilience despite the injury setbacks.

Overall, this matchup not only highlighted the competitive spirit of both teams but also set the stage for future encounters as they continue to vie for position in the league.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsMIN -131 8.5 o -112 / u -107 Cleveland Guardians +108 · Minnesota Twins -131

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Byron Buxton10-Day-ILHipMinnesota Twins
  • Joe Ryan15-Day-ILLower BodyMinnesota Twins
  • Austin Martin10-Day-ILHamstringMinnesota Twins
  • Mike Paredes60-Day-ILObliqueMinnesota Twins
  • Mick Abel60-Day-ILElbowMinnesota Twins
  • Slade Cecconi15-Day-ILArmCleveland Guardians
  • Rhys Hoskins10-Day-ILBackCleveland Guardians
  • Shawn Armstrong60-Day-ILCalfCleveland Guardians

Recent form

Minnesota Twins

Last 10: 7-3Streak W35.4 scored · 3.8 allowed per game3-1 at home

  • W3-1vs Cleveland GuardiansJul 7
  • W6-1at New York YankeesJul 5
  • W11-4at New York YankeesJul 4
  • L2-5at New York YankeesJul 3
  • W8-3at Houston AstrosJul 2
  • L4-6at Houston AstrosJul 1
  • W5-4at Houston AstrosJun 30
  • W3-2vs Colorado RockiesJun 28
  • W9-8vs Colorado RockiesJun 27
  • L3-4vs Los Angeles DodgersJun 24

Cleveland Guardians

Last 10: 5-5Streak L34.2 scored · 4.3 allowed per game0-1 away

  • L1-3at Minnesota TwinsJul 7
  • L6-7vs Chicago White SoxJul 5
  • L1-3vs Chicago White SoxJul 4
  • W4-3vs Chicago White SoxJul 3
  • W6-5vs Chicago White SoxJul 2
  • W9-4vs Texas RangersJul 1
  • L2-4vs Texas RangersJun 30
  • L3-6vs Texas RangersJun 29
  • W6-5vs Seattle MarinersJun 28
  • W4-3vs Seattle MarinersJun 27

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Chicago-66L1.52573
Cleveland369L1.50470
Minnesota6.573L1.47967
Detroit975W1.46064
Kansas City11.578L3.44362

How the scoring went

  1. 4th Inning2-0Rocchio homered to left (401 feet), DeLauter scored.
  2. 4th Inning3-0Hoskins homered to left (383 feet).
  3. 4th Inning3-1Lewis walked, Lee scored, Bell to second, Clemens to third.
  4. 4th Inning3-2Keaschall hit sacrifice fly to center, Clemens scored.
  5. 4th Inning3-3Roden singled to center, Bell scored, Lewis to third.
  6. 7th Inning4-3DeLauter singled to right, Watson scored, Kwan to third.
  7. 7th Inning5-3Rocchio hit sacrifice bunt, Kwan scored, Rocchio to first on fielding error by pitcher Rogers, DeLauter to second.
  8. 7th Inning5-4Lee walked, Keaschall scored, Martin to second, Kreidler to third.
  9. 7th Inning5-5Clemens walked, Kreidler scored, Lee to second, Martin to third.
  10. 9th Inning5-6Roden singled to center, Lewis scored, Keaschall to second, Jackson to third.

Win probability

Above the line favours Minnesota Twins, below favours Cleveland Guardians.

Venue

  • Target FieldMinneapolis, Minnesota
  • Attendance14901
  • OfficialsRyan Additon, Ryan Blakney, Nick Mahrley, Marvin Hudson

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.