Twins Triumph Over Guardians in Extra Innings
Thursday, July 23, 2026, 1:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
Minnesota Twins 3, Cleveland Guardians 1, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians?
Minnesota Twins beat Cleveland Guardians 3-1 at Progressive Field on July 23, 2026.
Who was favored in Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians?
Cleveland Guardians were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -149 (about 60% implied). The underdog won.
In a thrilling encounter at Progressive Field, the Minnesota Twins edged out the Cleveland Guardians with a final score of 3-1 after 12 innings. This victory allowed the Twins to take a 3-2 lead in the current series, which has been tightly contested, now standing at two wins apiece prior to this game.
The Guardians entered this matchup with a home record of 54-50, while the Twins had an away record of 51-53. Cleveland's recent form showed a record of 6-3-1 over their last ten games, although they were on a one-game losing streak after falling to the Twins the previous day by a score of 10-6. Their scoring average was 4.3 runs per game, with an average of 3.7 runs allowed. In contrast, Minnesota's recent form was more mixed, with a record of 5-5 in their last ten games, but they had just secured a win against the Guardians, which extended their winning streak to one game. The Twins averaged 4.0 runs scored and allowed 5.3 runs per game in that stretch.
At home, the Guardians had a record of 2-3 in their last five games, averaging 5.2 runs scored and 6.0 runs allowed. The Twins, meanwhile, had a 2-3 record in their last five away games, averaging 4.4 runs scored and 7.2 runs allowed. This matchup was particularly significant as both teams were looking to gain momentum in the series.
In terms of head-to-head performance, the Guardians had a slight edge with a record of 10 wins, 9 losses, and 1 draw against the Twins in their last 20 meetings. However, the recent games had seen a back-and-forth dynamic, with the Guardians winning two of the last three encounters prior to this match.
Injuries played a role in the game, with the Guardians missing Slade Cecconi (15-Day-IL, arm), Rhys Hoskins (10-Day-IL, back), and Shawn Armstrong (60-Day-IL, calf). The Twins were without Byron Buxton (10-Day-IL, hip), Joe Ryan (15-Day-IL, lower body), Austin Martin (10-Day-IL, hamstring), Mike Paredes (60-Day-IL, oblique), and Mick Abel (60-Day-IL, elbow). These absences impacted both teams' lineups and strategies.
The betting odds from DraftKings indicated that the Guardians were favored at -149, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 7.0 runs. The over was priced at -119, while the under was at -102. The odds reflected a competitive matchup, with the Guardians viewed as the more likely team to win.
As the game unfolded, the Guardians initially took the lead in the fifth inning when Bailey homered to right field, marking the only run for Cleveland. However, the Twins responded in the eighth inning with Roden's single that brought Lewis home, leveling the score at 1-1. The game remained tied through the ninth inning, pushing it into extra innings.
In the 12th inning, the Twins took control of the game. Larnach's single brought Jeffers home, putting Minnesota ahead 2-1. They extended their lead further when Keaschall's single resulted in another run after an error by Guardians' left fielder Kwan, making it 3-1.
The Guardians were unable to respond in the bottom of the 12th, sealing their fate with a loss and dropping their home record further. The final score of 3-1 reflected the Twins' resilience and ability to capitalize on late-game opportunities, while the Guardians will need to regroup as they look ahead to their next matchup.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | CLE -149 | 7 o -119 / u -102 | Minnesota Twins +123 · Cleveland Guardians -149 |
Injury report
- Slade Cecconi15-Day-ILArmCleveland Guardians
- Rhys Hoskins10-Day-ILBackCleveland Guardians
- Shawn Armstrong60-Day-ILCalfCleveland Guardians
- Byron Buxton10-Day-ILHipMinnesota Twins
- Joe Ryan15-Day-ILLower BodyMinnesota Twins
- Austin Martin10-Day-ILHamstringMinnesota Twins
- Mike Paredes60-Day-ILObliqueMinnesota Twins
- Mick Abel60-Day-ILElbowMinnesota Twins
Recent form
Cleveland Guardians
Last 10: 6-3-1Streak L14.3 scored · 3.7 allowed per game2-3 at home
- L6-10vs Minnesota TwinsJul 22
- W5-2vs Minnesota TwinsJul 21
- W13-4vs Minnesota TwinsJul 20
- L1-7vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 19
- L1-7vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 18
- D0-0vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 17
- W5-2at Miami MarlinsJul 12
- W4-1at Miami MarlinsJul 11
- W3-2at Miami MarlinsJul 10
- W5-2at Minnesota TwinsJul 9
Minnesota Twins
Last 10: 5-5Streak W14 scored · 5.3 allowed per game2-3 away
- W10-6at Cleveland GuardiansJul 22
- L2-5at Cleveland GuardiansJul 21
- L4-13at Cleveland GuardiansJul 20
- L1-10at Chicago CubsJul 19
- W5-2at Chicago CubsJul 18
- W4-2vs Los Angeles AngelsJul 12
- L3-4vs Los Angeles AngelsJul 11
- L2-5vs Cleveland GuardiansJul 9
- W6-5vs Cleveland GuardiansJul 8
- W3-1vs Cleveland GuardiansJul 7
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | - | 66 | L1 | .525 | 73 |
| Cleveland | 3 | 69 | L1 | .504 | 70 |
| Minnesota | 6.5 | 73 | L1 | .479 | 67 |
| Detroit | 9 | 75 | W1 | .460 | 64 |
| Kansas City | 11.5 | 78 | L3 | .443 | 62 |
How the scoring went
- 5th Inning0-1Bailey homered to right (420 feet).
- 8th Inning1-1Roden singled to center, Lewis scored, Keaschall to second.
- 12th Inning2-1Larnach singled to left, Jeffers scored, Lewis to second.
- 12th Inning3-1Keaschall singled to left, Lewis scored on error, Larnach to second, Larnach safe at third on throwing error by left fielder Kwan.
Win probability
Above the line favours Cleveland Guardians, below favours Minnesota Twins.
Venue
- Progressive FieldCleveland, Ohio
- Attendance27354
- OfficialsCharlie Ramos, David Rackley, Nestor Ceja, Willie Traynor
Elsewhere
Picks for MLB
MLB rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Cleveland Guardians Defeat Minnesota Twins 9-2Sep 13, 2026
- Twins Edge Guardians in Close ContestSep 12, 2026
- Cleveland Guardians Defeat Minnesota Twins 5-2Sep 11, 2026
- Twins Outlast Guardians in High-Scoring AffairJul 22, 2026
- Guardians Defeat Twins 5-2 in Key MatchupJul 21, 2026