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NFL · Final

Packers Edge Buccaneers in Close Contest

Sunday, October 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

Green Bay Packers 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Green Bay Packers beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17-14 at Raymond James Stadium on October 4, 2026.

Who was favored in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Green Bay Packers were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -148 (about 60% implied). The favorite won.

In a tightly contested matchup, the Green Bay Packers narrowly defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17-14 at Raymond James Stadium. This game was particularly noteworthy as it marked the Buccaneers' continued struggles at home, extending their losing streak to four games and pushing their home record to 0-4 this season. The Packers, on the other hand, improved their away record to 3-2, showcasing their resilience on the road.

The Buccaneers entered the game with a recent form of 2-8 over their last ten games, with an average of 19.0 points scored per game and 24.0 points allowed. Their last three games had all ended in defeats, including a close 16-23 loss to the Minnesota Vikings just a week prior. Tampa Bay's home performance has been particularly disappointing, with their last five games yielding only one win and an average scoring of 19.0 points while allowing 22.6 points.

The Packers, while not in peak form, had a record of 4-6 in their last ten games, averaging 20.7 points scored and 25.5 points allowed. They came into this game on a one-game losing streak, having lost to the Atlanta Falcons 14-35. Their away record of 2-4 prior to this matchup indicated that they had struggled on the road but were still capable of putting up a fight.

In terms of injuries, the Buccaneers faced significant challenges with multiple key players either out or questionable. Notably, quarterback Baker Mayfield was ruled out due to a thumb injury, which likely impacted the Buccaneers' offensive strategy. Other players such as Antoine Winfield Jr. and SirVocea Dennis were listed as questionable, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the team's lineup. The Packers also had their share of injury concerns, with Brandon Cisse, Edgerrin Cooper, and Chris Brooks all listed as questionable, while Kevin Zeitler and Jacob Monk were ruled out.

The betting market reflected the competitive nature of this matchup, with DraftKings listing the Packers as 2.5-point favorites. The total for the game was set at 38.5, indicating expectations for a relatively low-scoring affair. The odds for the Packers to win straight up were -148, while the Buccaneers were positioned at +124.

Conditions at Raymond James Stadium were typical for a fall afternoon in Florida, with clear skies and mild temperatures, setting the stage for an exciting game. Fans and analysts alike were watching closely to see how the Buccaneers would respond to their home struggles and whether the Packers could capitalize on their opponents' vulnerabilities.

Ultimately, the Packers managed to secure a narrow victory, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure and highlighting the ongoing challenges faced by the Buccaneers this season. The close score reflects the competitive spirit of both teams, but it also underscores the need for the Buccaneers to reassess their strategies moving forward.

What we said beforehand

The upcoming matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Green Bay Packers at Raymond James Stadium promises to be a compelling encounter, particularly as both teams are seeking to improve their standings. The Buccaneers enter this game with a home record of 0-3 and are currently on a three-game losing streak, having lost their last five games overall. In contrast, the Packers hold an away record of 1-2 and have recently struggled, losing their last game against the Atlanta Falcons.

In their last five games, the Buccaneers have managed only one win, which came against the Kansas City Chiefs with a narrow score of 16-15. Their other results include losses to the Jacksonville Jaguars (19-0), Cincinnati Bengals (33-27), Cleveland Browns (23-19), and Minnesota Vikings (23-16). This sequence highlights their struggles, particularly on offense, as they have averaged 19.0 points scored and allowed 24.0 points per game during this stretch.

The Packers have also faced challenges, recording a mixed bag of results in their last five outings. They secured victories against the Denver Broncos (33-13) and the Arizona Cardinals (42-38) but fell short against the Minnesota Vikings (39-22) and the Atlanta Falcons (35-14). Their most recent game ended in a hard-fought overtime win against the New York Jets (20-17). Overall, the Packers have averaged 20.7 points scored and allowed 25.5 points per game in their last ten games.

When it comes to home versus away performance, the Buccaneers have struggled at home with a record of 2-4 in their last ten games, while the Packers have a slightly better away record of 2-4. The Buccaneers' recent home form has seen them lose three consecutive games, which could impact their confidence heading into this matchup.

In terms of injuries, the Buccaneers will be without several key players, including Baker Mayfield, who is out due to a thumb injury, along with Billy Schrauth, Ko Kieft, Benjamin Morrison, and Luke Haggard. The Packers also face injury challenges, with Kevin Zeitler, Jacob Monk, Aaron Banks, and Anthony Campbell all ruled out for this game. Notably, Warren Brinson is on injured reserve, further impacting the Packers' depth.

The betting market has set the odds with Green Bay favored by 3 points according to DraftKings, with a total set at 38.5 points. The moneyline odds reflect a -155 for the Packers and +130 for the Buccaneers, indicating a slight edge for the visiting team.

Weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature around 87°F and a 49% chance of precipitation. Wind gusts could reach up to 10 mph, which may influence play, particularly in the passing game.

Viewers should watch for how the Buccaneers cope without their starting quarterback, Baker Mayfield, as they look to find offensive rhythm against a Packers defense that has shown vulnerability. Additionally, the performance of Jordan Love will be crucial for the Packers, as he has thrown for 844 yards with 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions this season. The matchup could also hinge on the effectiveness of the rushing attacks, with Bucky Irving leading the Buccaneers and MarShawn Lloyd for the Packers.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsGB -2.5 38.5 o -115 / u -105 Green Bay Packers -148 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +124

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Antoine Winfield Jr.QuestionableRibsTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • SirVocea DennisQuestionableAnkleTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Billy SchrauthOutCoach's DecisionTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Ko KieftOutElbowTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Baker MayfieldOutThumbTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Brandon CisseQuestionableNeckGreen Bay Packers
  • Edgerrin CooperQuestionableAchillesGreen Bay Packers
  • Chris BrooksQuestionableAnkleGreen Bay Packers
  • Kevin ZeitlerOutCoach's DecisionGreen Bay Packers
  • Jacob MonkOutQuadricepsGreen Bay Packers

Leaders

  • Passing yardsJalon Daniels19/27, 148 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INTTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Rushing yardsBucky Irving16 CAR, 61 YDSTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Receiving yardsCade Otton4 REC, 37 YDSTampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Passing yardsJordan Love22/30, 197 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INTGreen Bay Packers
  • Rushing yardsKaleb Johnson8 CAR, 42 YDSGreen Bay Packers
  • Receiving yardsChristian Watson3 REC, 47 YDSGreen Bay Packers

Recent form

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Last 10: 2-8Streak L319 scored · 24 allowed per game2-4 at home

  • L16-23vs Minnesota VikingsSep 27
  • L19-23vs Cleveland BrownsSep 20
  • L27-33at Cincinnati BengalsSep 13
  • W16-14vs Carolina PanthersJan 3
  • L17-20at Miami DolphinsDec 28
  • L20-23at Carolina PanthersDec 21
  • L28-29vs Atlanta FalconsDec 12
  • L20-24vs New Orleans SaintsDec 7
  • W20-17vs Arizona CardinalsNov 30
  • L7-34at Los Angeles RamsNov 24

Green Bay Packers

Last 10: 4-6Streak L120.7 scored · 25.5 allowed per game2-4 away

  • L14-35vs Atlanta FalconsSep 25
  • W20-17at New York JetsSep 20
  • L22-39at Minnesota VikingsSep 13
  • L3-16at Minnesota VikingsJan 4
  • L24-41vs Baltimore RavensDec 28
  • L16-22at Chicago BearsDec 21
  • L26-34at Denver BroncosDec 14
  • W28-21vs Chicago BearsDec 7
  • W31-24at Detroit LionsNov 27
  • W23-6vs Minnesota VikingsNov 23

Standings

TeamLostPoints againstPoints forTiedWin %WonOverall
Minnesota0417101.00033-0
Chicago1651120.75033-1
Detroit195930.66722-1
Green Bay2105730.50022-2
Carolina283890.33311-2
Atlanta268510.33311-2
New Orleans283810.33311-2
Tampa Bay496760.00000-4

Box score

StatGreen Bay PackersTampa Bay Buccaneers
First downs1519
First downs passing910
First downs rushing48
First downs by penalty21
Third downs2-105-12
Fourth downs3-32-3
Offensive plays5561
Total yards283275
Yards per play5.14.5
Drives109
Net passing yards197134
Completions22/3019/27
Yards per pass6.64.5
Interceptions thrown12
Sacks allowed0-03-14
Rushing yards86141
Rushing attempts2531
Yards per rush3.44.5
Red zone trips2-32-2
Penalties10-684-17
Turnovers22
Fumbles lost10
Defensive touchdowns00
Time of possession30:1029:50

Win probability

Above the line favours Tampa Bay Buccaneers, below favours Green Bay Packers.

Venue

  • Raymond James StadiumTampa, FL
  • Attendance61467
  • OfficialsRusty Baynes, Sean Petty, Scott Helverson, Jim Quirk, Alex Kemp, Mike Carr, Brandon Ellison

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.