NBA · Final

Miami Heat Defeat Houston Rockets 115-105

105

115

Saturday, February 28, 2026, 3:30 PM ET · Kaseya Center

Miami Heat 115, Houston Rockets 105, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat?

Miami Heat beat Houston Rockets 115-105 at Kaseya Center on February 28, 2026.

Who was favored in Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat?

Houston Rockets were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -142 (about 59% implied). The underdog won.

In a notable matchup, the Miami Heat secured a victory over the Houston Rockets with a final score of 115-105 at the Kaseya Center. This win marks the second meeting between the two teams in the current season, with Miami now leading the series 2-0 after previously defeating Houston 104-100 on December 30, 2025. The Heat's performance was particularly impressive given their recent struggles, as they entered the game with a record of 4-6 over their last ten games, having lost their last two contests. In contrast, the Rockets arrived with a stronger record of 6-4 in their last ten, riding a three-game winning streak.

Miami's recent form has been inconsistent, with an average of 119.3 points scored and 114.6 points allowed over their last ten games. Their home record stands at 1-3 in the last four games played at the Kaseya Center. In their most recent outing, they lost to the Philadelphia 76ers 117-124. The Heat's scoring average in their last five games improved slightly to 124.2 points, while they allowed 116.0 points.

On the other hand, the Rockets have shown a solid performance on the road, boasting a 3-1 record in their last four away games. Their scoring average during the last ten games is 108.5 points, with an average of 104.8 points allowed. They recently defeated the Orlando Magic 113-108, contributing to their current momentum.

In terms of injuries, both teams faced challenges. The Miami Heat had several players listed as day-to-day, including Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee), Bam Adebayo (back), Trevor Keels (knee), Ryan Conwell (hip), and Myron Gardner (ankle). The Houston Rockets also had key players in a similar situation, with Kevin Durant (ankle), Fred VanVleet (knee), and Steven Adams (ankle) all listed as day-to-day.

The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had the Rockets favored by 2.5 points, with a total set at 226.5 points. The odds for the Heat to win straight up were +120, while the Rockets were at -142.

The game was played under typical NBA conditions, and viewers were treated to a competitive atmosphere. Key moments included Bam Adebayo's driving floating jump shot that pushed the Heat's lead to 108-103 in the fourth quarter, followed by Andrew Wiggins' running dunk that extended Miami's lead to 110-103. Pelle Larsson contributed significantly as well, making several free throws to solidify the Heat's advantage.

Overall, Miami's victory not only showcased their resilience but also highlighted the importance of maintaining form as they head deeper into the season.

Odds

Book	Spread	Total	Moneyline
DraftKings	HOU -2.5	226.5 o -110 / u -110	Houston Rockets -142 · Miami Heat +120

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

Giannis AntetokounmpoDay-To-DayKneeMiami Heat
Bam AdebayoDay-To-DayBackMiami Heat
Trevor KeelsDay-To-DayKneeMiami Heat
Ryan ConwellDay-To-DayHipMiami Heat
Myron GardnerDay-To-DayAnkleMiami Heat
Kevin DurantDay-To-DayAnkleHouston Rockets
Fred VanVleetDay-To-DayKneeHouston Rockets
Steven AdamsDay-To-DayAnkleHouston Rockets

Leaders

PointsBam Adebayo24Miami Heat
AssistsDavion Mitchell5Miami Heat
ReboundsKel'el Ware15Miami Heat
PointsKevin Durant32Houston Rockets
AssistsKevin Durant8Houston Rockets
ReboundsAmen Thompson11Houston Rockets

Recent form

Miami Heat

Last 10: 4-6Streak L2119.3 scored · 114.6 allowed per game1-3 at home

L117-124at Philadelphia 76ersFeb 27
L117-128at Milwaukee BucksFeb 25
W136-120vs Memphis GrizzliesFeb 22
W128-97at Atlanta HawksFeb 21
W123-111at New Orleans PelicansFeb 12
L111-115vs Utah JazzFeb 10
W132-101at Washington WizardsFeb 8
L96-98at Boston CelticsFeb 7
L115-127vs Atlanta HawksFeb 4
L118-125vs Chicago BullsFeb 1

Houston Rockets

Last 10: 6-4Streak W3108.5 scored · 104.8 allowed per game3-1 away

W113-108at Orlando MagicFeb 27
W128-97vs Sacramento KingsFeb 26
W125-105vs Utah JazzFeb 24
L106-108at New York KnicksFeb 22
W105-101at Charlotte HornetsFeb 20
L102-105vs LA ClippersFeb 12
W102-95vs LA ClippersFeb 11
W112-106at Oklahoma City ThunderFeb 7
L99-109vs Charlotte HornetsFeb 6
L93-114vs Boston CelticsFeb 5

Standings

Team	Games behind	Lost	Streak	Win %	Won
San Antonio	-	20	L1	.756	62
Houston	10	30	W1	.634	52
New Orleans	36	56	L2	.317	26
Dallas	36	56	W1	.317	26
Memphis	37	57	L8	.305	25
Atlanta	-	36	L1	.561	46
Orlando	1	37	L1	.549	45
Charlotte	2	38	W1	.537	44
Miami	3	39	W2	.524	43
Washington	29	65	L10	.207	17

Box score

Stat	Houston Rockets	Miami Heat
Field goals	41-95	45-90
Field goal %	43	50
Three-pointers	9-36	11-31
Three-point %	25	35
Free throws	14-21	14-20
Free throw %	67	70
Rebounds	47	47
Offensive rebounds	15	14
Defensive rebounds	32	33
Assists	26	22
Steals	6	3
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers	10	13
Team turnovers	1	1
Technical fouls	1	1
Technical fouls, total	1	1
Flagrant fouls	0	0
Points off turnovers	13	10
Fast-break points	18	16
Points in the paint	50	66
Fouls	18	18
Largest lead	10	13
Lead changes	14	14
Time in front	23	68

How the scoring went

3rd Quarter77-75Clint Capela makes 1-foot layup (Kevin Durant assists)
3rd Quarter77-77Tyler Herro makes 5-foot driving floating jump shot
3rd Quarter77-79Kel'el Ware makes tip in dunk
3rd Quarter77-81Tyler Herro makes 11-foot running pullup jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
3rd Quarter77-83Tyler Herro makes 15-foot driving floating jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
3rd Quarter79-83Kevin Durant makes 9-foot pullup jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
3rd Quarter81-83Reed Sheppard makes 1-foot running dunk
3rd Quarter82-83Kevin Durant makes free throw 1 of 2
3rd Quarter83-83Kevin Durant makes free throw 2 of 2
3rd Quarter83-85Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes driving layup
4th Quarter85-85Alperen Sengun makes 12-foot turnaround jump shot
4th Quarter85-87Kel'el Ware makes dunk (Pelle Larsson assists)
4th Quarter85-89Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes 5-foot two point shot
4th Quarter86-89Amen Thompson makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter87-89Amen Thompson makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter87-91Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes 7-foot driving floating jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
4th Quarter87-93Pelle Larsson makes driving layup
4th Quarter90-93Tari Eason makes 22-foot three point jumper (Amen Thompson assists)
4th Quarter92-93Jeff Green makes tip shot
4th Quarter92-94Andrew Wiggins makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter92-95Andrew Wiggins makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter92-97Kel'el Ware makes alley oop dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists)
4th Quarter92-100Pelle Larsson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Andrew Wiggins assists)
4th Quarter94-100Kevin Durant makes 4-foot driving floating jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
4th Quarter96-100Kevin Durant makes running layup (Tari Eason assists)
4th Quarter96-101Pelle Larsson makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter98-101Tari Eason makes tip shot
4th Quarter98-104Davion Mitchell makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
4th Quarter99-104Amen Thompson makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter101-104Kevin Durant makes 10-foot turnaround jump shot
4th Quarter101-106Kel'el Ware makes tip shot
4th Quarter103-106Alperen Sengun makes 14-foot floating jump shot (Tari Eason assists)
4th Quarter103-108Bam Adebayo makes 5-foot driving floating jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
4th Quarter103-110Andrew Wiggins makes running dunk
4th Quarter103-111Andrew Wiggins makes free throw 1 of 1
4th Quarter103-112Pelle Larsson makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter103-113Pelle Larsson makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter103-114Pelle Larsson makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter103-115Pelle Larsson makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter105-115Aaron Holiday makes 8-foot floating jump shot