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NBA · Final

Rockets Edge Heat in Nail-Biting Finish

Saturday, March 21, 2026, 8:00 PM ET · Toyota Center (Houston)

Houston Rockets 123, Miami Heat 122, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets?

Houston Rockets beat Miami Heat 123-122 at Toyota Center (Houston) on March 21, 2026.

Who was favored in Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets?

Houston Rockets were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -142 (about 59% implied). The favorite won.

In a thrilling matchup at the Toyota Center, the Houston Rockets narrowly defeated the Miami Heat with a final score of 123-122. This game was particularly significant as it marked the third meeting of the season between the two teams, with the series now tied at 1-1. The Rockets, boasting a home record of 43-27, faced off against the Heat, who entered the game with an away record of 38-33. The contest showcased the competitive spirit of both teams as they battled for crucial playoff positioning.

The recent form of both teams sets the stage for this exciting encounter. The Rockets have had a mixed bag in their last ten games, holding a record of 5-5, with their most recent victory coming against the Atlanta Hawks, where they won decisively 117-95. However, they had also suffered losses to the Los Angeles Lakers in their previous two outings. On average, the Rockets scored 110.0 points while allowing 112.9 points during this stretch. At home, they have a record of 4-3 in their last seven games, with a scoring average of 105.0 points and an average of 110.6 points allowed over their last five games.

In contrast, the Miami Heat entered the game with a stronger recent record of 7-3 over their last ten games, although they were currently on a three-game losing streak. Their last game resulted in a 126-134 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. The Heat averaged 122.5 points scored and 116.8 points allowed during their last ten games. They have performed well at home, with a record of 6-2, but have struggled slightly on the road with a 1-1 record in their last two away games.

The matchup was also notable for its injury concerns. The Rockets had several key players listed as day-to-day, including Kevin Durant, Fred VanVleet, and Steven Adams, all of whom were dealing with various injuries. Similarly, the Heat had their own injury issues, with Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Keels, Ryan Conwell, and Myron Gardner all listed as day-to-day.

The betting market reflected the competitive nature of the game, with DraftKings pricing the Rockets as 2.5-point favorites. The total points line was set at 228.5, indicating expectations for a high-scoring affair. The moneyline odds were -142.0 for the Rockets and +120.0 for the Heat, further emphasizing the close nature of the contest.

As the game unfolded, fans witnessed a back-and-forth battle that kept everyone on the edge of their seats. The Rockets managed to maintain a slight lead in the fourth quarter, thanks to crucial plays from their key players. Notably, Amen Thompson's tip shot in the final moments sealed the victory for Houston, ensuring they held on to their narrow lead.

With the series now tied and both teams showing flashes of brilliance, this matchup underscored the intensity of NBA competition as the playoffs approach. Fans can expect both teams to continue to fight for every win as they aim for a strong finish to the season.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsHOU -2.5 228.5 o -110 / u -110 Miami Heat +120 · Houston Rockets -142

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Kevin DurantDay-To-DayAnkleHouston Rockets
  • Fred VanVleetDay-To-DayKneeHouston Rockets
  • Steven AdamsDay-To-DayAnkleHouston Rockets
  • Giannis AntetokounmpoDay-To-DayKneeMiami Heat
  • Bam AdebayoDay-To-DayBackMiami Heat
  • Trevor KeelsDay-To-DayKneeMiami Heat
  • Ryan ConwellDay-To-DayHipMiami Heat
  • Myron GardnerDay-To-DayAnkleMiami Heat

Leaders

  • PointsKevin Durant27Houston Rockets
  • AssistsReed Sheppard14Houston Rockets
  • ReboundsAmen Thompson18Houston Rockets
  • PointsBam Adebayo32Miami Heat
  • AssistsDavion Mitchell9Miami Heat
  • ReboundsBam Adebayo21Miami Heat

Recent form

Houston Rockets

Last 10: 5-5Streak W1110 scored · 112.9 allowed per game4-3 at home

  • W117-95vs Atlanta HawksMar 21
  • L116-124vs Los Angeles LakersMar 19
  • L92-100vs Los Angeles LakersMar 17
  • W107-105vs New Orleans PelicansMar 14
  • L93-129at Denver NuggetsMar 12
  • W113-99vs Toronto RaptorsMar 11
  • L120-145at San Antonio SpursMar 9
  • W106-99vs Portland Trail BlazersMar 7
  • L113-115vs Golden State WarriorsMar 6
  • W123-118at Washington WizardsMar 3

Miami Heat

Last 10: 7-3Streak L3122.5 scored · 116.8 allowed per game1-1 away

  • L126-134vs Los Angeles LakersMar 20
  • L106-136at Charlotte HornetsMar 17
  • L117-121vs Orlando MagicMar 15
  • W112-105vs Milwaukee BucksMar 12
  • W150-129vs Washington WizardsMar 10
  • W121-110vs Detroit PistonsMar 8
  • W128-120at Charlotte HornetsMar 7
  • W126-110vs Brooklyn NetsMar 6
  • W124-98vs Brooklyn NetsMar 4
  • W115-105vs Houston RocketsFeb 28

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Atlanta-36L1.56146
Orlando137L1.54945
Charlotte238W1.53744
Miami339W2.52443
Washington2965L10.20717
San Antonio-20L1.75662
Houston1030W1.63452
New Orleans3656L2.31726
Dallas3656W1.31726
Memphis3757L8.30525

Box score

StatMiami HeatHouston Rockets
Field goals47-9245-86
Field goal %5152
Three-pointers16-4116-35
Three-point %3946
Free throws12-1617-21
Free throw %7581
Rebounds4144
Offensive rebounds1113
Defensive rebounds3031
Assists3133
Steals65
Blocks13
Turnovers913
Team turnovers00
Technical fouls00
Technical fouls, total00
Flagrant fouls00
Points off turnovers1419
Fast-break points911
Points in the paint5850
Fouls1916
Largest lead128
Lead changes1616
Time in front4053

How the scoring went

  1. 3rd Quarter80-78Pelle Larsson makes 7-foot driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
  2. 3rd Quarter80-80Alperen Sengun makes two point shot
  3. 3rd Quarter83-80Simone Fontecchio makes 26-foot three point jumper (Tyler Herro assists)
  4. 3rd Quarter83-83Tari Eason makes 25-foot three pointer
  5. 3rd Quarter83-85Tari Eason makes driving layup (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
  6. 3rd Quarter85-85Tyler Herro makes 6-foot floating jump shot (Myron Gardner assists)
  7. 3rd Quarter88-85Myron Gardner makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
  8. 3rd Quarter88-87Kevin Durant makes 10-foot two point shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
  9. 3rd Quarter91-87Tyler Herro makes 27-foot three pointer (Myron Gardner assists)
  10. 3rd Quarter94-87Myron Gardner makes 26-foot three point jumper (Bam Adebayo assists)
  11. 3rd Quarter96-87Tyler Herro makes 14-foot pullup jump shot
  12. 4th Quarter97-87Bam Adebayo makes free throw 1 of 2
  13. 4th Quarter98-87Bam Adebayo makes free throw 2 of 2
  14. 4th Quarter98-89Alperen Sengun makes 13-foot driving floating jump shot
  15. 4th Quarter100-89Bam Adebayo makes 11-foot two point shot
  16. 4th Quarter100-91Amen Thompson makes driving layup
  17. 4th Quarter102-91Pelle Larsson makes 4-foot two point shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
  18. 4th Quarter102-92Josh Okogie makes free throw 2 of 2
  19. 4th Quarter102-95Jabari Smith Jr. makes 22-foot three point jumper (Reed Sheppard assists)
  20. 4th Quarter102-98Jabari Smith Jr. makes 26-foot running pullup jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)
  21. 4th Quarter102-101Reed Sheppard makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
  22. 4th Quarter102-103Amen Thompson makes 2-foot running dunk (Alperen Sengun assists)
  23. 4th Quarter102-106Aaron Holiday makes 29-foot three point jumper (Reed Sheppard assists)
  24. 4th Quarter105-106Simone Fontecchio makes 22-foot three point jumper (Davion Mitchell assists)
  25. 4th Quarter105-109Aaron Holiday makes 27-foot three point jumper (Reed Sheppard assists)
  26. 4th Quarter107-109Bam Adebayo makes 3-foot dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)
  27. 4th Quarter107-111Aaron Holiday makes 1-foot driving dunk
  28. 4th Quarter109-111Davion Mitchell makes 2-foot two point shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
  29. 4th Quarter109-114Kevin Durant makes 22-foot three point jumper (Reed Sheppard assists)
  30. 4th Quarter109-117Kevin Durant makes 23-foot three point jumper (Reed Sheppard assists)
  31. 4th Quarter112-117Davion Mitchell makes 25-foot three pointer (Simone Fontecchio assists)
  32. 4th Quarter112-119Alperen Sengun makes 4-foot two point shot (Aaron Holiday assists)
  33. 4th Quarter113-119Bam Adebayo makes free throw 1 of 2
  34. 4th Quarter116-119Simone Fontecchio makes 24-foot three point jumper (Davion Mitchell assists)
  35. 4th Quarter118-119Pelle Larsson makes 1-foot two point shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
  36. 4th Quarter118-121Reed Sheppard makes 15-foot driving floating jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
  37. 4th Quarter119-121Bam Adebayo makes free throw 1 of 2
  38. 4th Quarter120-121Bam Adebayo makes free throw 2 of 2
  39. 4th Quarter122-121Simone Fontecchio makes layup (Tyler Herro assists)
  40. 4th Quarter122-123Amen Thompson makes tip shot

Win probability

Above the line favours Houston Rockets, below favours Miami Heat.

Venue

  • Toyota Center (Houston)Houston, TX
  • Attendance18055
  • OfficialsJames Capers, Eric Lewis, Dedric Taylor

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.