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NFL · Final

Colts Dominate Commanders in NFL Clash

Sunday, October 4, 2026, 9:30 AM ET · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Indianapolis Colts 30, Washington Commanders 13, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders?

Indianapolis Colts beat Washington Commanders 30-13 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on October 4, 2026.

Who was favored in Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders?

Indianapolis Colts were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -225 (about 69% implied). The favorite won.

In a decisive victory, the Indianapolis Colts defeated the Washington Commanders 30-13 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. This matchup was particularly significant as it highlighted the struggles of both teams, with the Colts improving their record to 3-2 while the Commanders fell to 1-4.

The Colts entered the game with an away record of 2-2, while the Commanders had a home record of 1-3. Both teams have faced challenges in their recent performances, with the Colts having a record of 1-9 in their last ten games, and the Commanders at 3-7 over the same span. The Colts averaged 21.7 points scored per game and allowed 29.7 points, while the Commanders scored an average of 20.8 and allowed 26.3.

In terms of recent form, the Colts managed to secure a win in their last outing against the Houston Texans, while the Commanders also found a victory against the Seattle Seahawks in their previous game. However, the Colts had been on a downward trend prior to their latest win, struggling to find consistency. The Commanders, on the other hand, had shown some resilience, but their overall performance this season has left much to be desired.

The injury report played a crucial role in this game. The Commanders had several key players listed as questionable, including Marcus Mariota, Tyler Owens, Jaylin Lane, Jeremy Reaves, and Charles Omenihu. The Colts were without Riley Leonard, Darius Slayton, Dalton Tucker, DJ Giddens, and George Gumbs Jr., all out due to coach's decisions. The absence of these players undoubtedly impacted the dynamics of the game.

From a betting perspective, DraftKings had the Colts favored by 4.5 points, with a total set at 46.5. The moneyline odds were +185 for the Commanders and -225 for the Colts, indicating a strong belief in the Colts' chances of winning.

Weather conditions at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium were favorable for football, providing a suitable backdrop for the game. Fans witnessed a competitive atmosphere, but the Colts quickly established control, showcasing their offensive capabilities.

As the game unfolded, viewers were treated to a display of the Colts' offensive strength, which proved too much for the Commanders to handle. The Colts' ability to capitalize on the Commanders' defensive weaknesses was evident, leading to a comfortable victory that reflects their potential moving forward in the season.

What we said beforehand

The upcoming NFL matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Indianapolis Colts at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is noteworthy as both teams enter the game with a record of 1-2. This fixture promises to be a critical contest for both sides as they seek to turn their seasons around. The game is scheduled to start on October 4, 2026, at 13:30 UTC.

In their recent form, the Washington Commanders have struggled, with their last five games resulting in four losses and a single win. Their most recent outing saw them defeat the Seattle Seahawks 33-31 on September 27, 2026. Prior to that, they faced defeats against the Detroit Lions (17-13), Baltimore Ravens (41-3), Philadelphia Eagles (24-22), and Dallas Cowboys (37-20). The Commanders have averaged 24.4 points scored in their last five games but have allowed an average of 27.8 points, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. At home, they have a record of 1-3 this season, averaging 20.8 points scored while allowing 26.3 points per game.

The Indianapolis Colts also come into this game with a recent win, having defeated the Houston Texans 19-17 on September 27, 2026. However, their previous four games resulted in losses to the Atlanta Falcons (34-6), Detroit Lions (25-16), Baltimore Ravens (41-23), and Kansas City Chiefs (33-30 in overtime). The Colts have averaged 21.7 points scored in their last ten games, with an average of 29.7 points allowed. Their away record this season stands at 0-5, which highlights their struggles outside of their home stadium.

The matchup will take place at a neutral venue, the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, which adds an interesting dynamic as neither team will have a home-field advantage. In terms of previous meetings, there are no specific details provided in the block regarding past encounters between the Commanders and Colts, making this game a fresh chapter in their competitive history.

Injury concerns may also play a significant role in the outcome of the game. The Washington Commanders will be without Luke McCaffrey, Rachaad White, Javontae Jean-Baptiste, Sam Cosmi, and Nick Cross, all of whom are listed as out for various reasons, including coach's decisions and injuries. Similarly, the Indianapolis Colts have Riley Leonard, Darius Slayton, Dalton Tucker, DJ Giddens, and George Gumbs Jr. all listed as out due to coach's decisions. The absence of key players on both sides could impact the strategies employed by each team.

The betting market has priced the Colts as 4.5-point favorites according to DraftKings, with a moneyline of -230 for Indianapolis and +190 for Washington. The total points line is set at 46.5, with odds of -108 for the over and -112 for the under. These figures suggest that the market anticipates a competitive game, albeit with a slight edge towards the Colts.

As for conditions, the game will be played in London, where weather can often be unpredictable. However, no specific details about the expected weather conditions have been provided in the block. Fans watching the game should keep an eye on the performances of key players such as Marcus Mariota for the Commanders, who has thrown for 294 yards and 4 touchdowns this season, and Daniel Jones for the Colts, who has accumulated 611 passing yards with 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Additionally, the rushing capabilities of Jonathan Taylor, who has 258 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns, will be crucial for the Colts' offensive strategy.

In summary, this matchup between the Commanders and Colts is set to be an intriguing contest, with both teams looking to improve their records and gain momentum in the season. The absence of several key players due to injuries adds an extra layer of complexity to the game, making it a must-watch for fans eager to see how these teams adapt and perform under pressure.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsIND -4.5 46.5 o -105 / u -115 Indianapolis Colts -225 · Washington Commanders +185

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Marcus MariotaDoubtfulKneeWashington Commanders
  • Tyler OwensQuestionableHamstringWashington Commanders
  • Jaylin LaneQuestionableAnkleWashington Commanders
  • Jeremy ReavesQuestionableFingerWashington Commanders
  • Charles OmenihuQuestionableGroinWashington Commanders
  • Riley LeonardOutCoach's DecisionIndianapolis Colts
  • Darius SlaytonOutCoach's DecisionIndianapolis Colts
  • Dalton TuckerOutCoach's DecisionIndianapolis Colts
  • DJ GiddensOutCoach's DecisionIndianapolis Colts
  • George Gumbs Jr.OutCoach's DecisionIndianapolis Colts

Leaders

  • Passing yardsAthan Kaliakmanis15/33, 186 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INTWashington Commanders
  • Rushing yardsMarcus Mariota1 CAR, 35 YDSWashington Commanders
  • Receiving yardsDyami Brown3 REC, 65 YDSWashington Commanders
  • Passing yardsDaniel Jones19/34, 143 YDS, 1 INTIndianapolis Colts
  • Rushing yardsJonathan Taylor20 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TDIndianapolis Colts
  • Receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell5 REC, 42 YDSIndianapolis Colts

Recent form

Washington Commanders

Last 10: 3-7Streak W120.8 scored · 26.3 allowed per game1-3 at home

  • W33-31vs Seattle SeahawksSep 27
  • L20-37at Dallas CowboysSep 20
  • L22-24at Philadelphia EaglesSep 13
  • W24-17at Philadelphia EaglesJan 4
  • L23-30vs Dallas CowboysDec 25
  • L18-29vs Philadelphia EaglesDec 20
  • W29-21at New York GiantsDec 14
  • L0-31at Minnesota VikingsDec 7
  • L26-27vs Denver BroncosDec 1
  • L13-16at Miami DolphinsNov 16

Indianapolis Colts

Last 10: 1-9Streak W121.7 scored · 29.7 allowed per game0-5 away

  • W19-17vs Houston TexansSep 27
  • L30-33at Kansas City ChiefsSep 21
  • L23-41vs Baltimore RavensSep 13
  • L30-38at Houston TexansJan 4
  • L17-23vs Jacksonville JaguarsDec 28
  • L27-48vs San Francisco 49ersDec 23
  • L16-18at Seattle SeahawksDec 14
  • L19-36at Jacksonville JaguarsDec 7
  • L16-20vs Houston TexansNov 30
  • L20-23at Kansas City ChiefsNov 23

Standings

TeamLostPoints againstPoints forTiedWin %WonOverall
Jacksonville136820.66722-1
Indianapolis21041020.50022-2
Houston375540.00000-3
Tennessee359370.00000-3
New York155460.66722-1
Philadelphia169550.66722-1
Dallas282880.33311-2
Washington3122880.25011-3

Box score

StatIndianapolis ColtsWashington Commanders
First downs1712
First downs passing67
First downs rushing104
First downs by penalty11
Third downs5-162-15
Fourth downs1-11-4
Offensive plays6661
Total yards257317
Yards per play3.95.2
Drives1312
Net passing yards129217
Completions19/3418/37
Yards per pass3.65.6
Interceptions thrown11
Sacks allowed2-142-15
Rushing yards128100
Rushing attempts3022
Yards per rush4.34.5
Red zone trips3-30-2
Penalties1-510-84
Turnovers21
Fumbles lost10
Defensive touchdowns00
Time of possession30:4029:20

Win probability

Above the line favours Washington Commanders, below favours Indianapolis Colts.

Venue

  • Tottenham Hotspur StadiumLondon
  • Attendance60907
  • OfficialsGreg Bradley, Paul King, Dale Shaw, Alan Eck, David Oliver, Grantis Bell, Anthony Flemming

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.