NBA · Final

Miami Heat Defeat Toronto Raptors 129-105

129

105

Saturday, October 3, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · Videotron Centre

Miami Heat 129, Toronto Raptors 105, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors?

Miami Heat beat Toronto Raptors 129-105 at Videotron Centre on October 3, 2026.

In a decisive matchup, the Miami Heat triumphed over the Toronto Raptors with a final score of 129-105 at the Videotron Centre. This victory marks the Heat's second consecutive win, while the Raptors are left searching for their first victory of the season, now holding a record of 0-2.

The Heat entered the game with a record of 1-0, having recently defeated the Atlanta Hawks 143-117. Their performance in the last ten games has been mixed, with a record of 5-5, but they have shown a strong offensive capability, averaging 125.8 points scored per game while allowing 126.2 points. The Raptors, on the other hand, had a solid recent form with a 6-4 record in their last ten games, averaging 119.8 points scored and allowing 107.6 points. However, they have struggled to find their rhythm at the start of the season, losing their first two games.

The Raptors have had a strong home record in their last ten games, going 5-1 at home, but their recent performance against the Heat has been troubling. In their last four meetings, the Raptors have won all four, including two recent victories in April 2026, where they defeated the Heat 128-114 and 121-95. This history of success against the Heat added an interesting layer to the matchup.

In terms of injuries, the Raptors faced significant challenges. Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jamison Battle, Kyle Anderson, Allen Graves, and Kawhi Leonard were all listed as Day-To-Day, with varying issues including undisclosed reasons, back, knee, groin, and non-injury related concerns. The Heat's Keshad Johnson was ruled out due to a hamstring injury, while Dru Smith was listed as Day-To-Day with a calf issue. The injury situation for the Raptors likely contributed to their struggles in this game.

The betting market had set the odds for this matchup, with the Heat favored by 4 points according to the provider. The conditions in the arena were typical for a basketball game, with a charged atmosphere as fans gathered to witness the matchup.

Throughout the game, viewers were treated to a display of the Heat's offensive prowess, particularly in the fourth quarter. Notable scoring plays included Jaden Bradley making a two-point shot with an assist from Jamal Shead, and Ian Schieffelin executing a running dunk assisted by Bez Mbeng. Bez Mbeng also showcased his shooting ability with a 24-foot three-point step-back jump shot, further extending the Heat's lead.

As the game progressed, the Heat maintained control, with their lead ballooning to as much as 24 points at one stage. The Raptors struggled to keep pace, and despite some efforts to close the gap, they were unable to mount a significant challenge in the final quarter.

In summary, the Miami Heat's victory over the Toronto Raptors was marked by a strong offensive performance and effective teamwork, while the Raptors will need to regroup and address their injury concerns as they look to find their footing in the early part of the season.

What we said beforehand

The Toronto Raptors and Miami Heat are set to face off at the Videotron Centre on October 3, 2026, marking the start of their series on January 15. This matchup is intriguing as both teams enter the game with a fresh slate, holding records of 0-0. The Raptors are coming off a mixed bag of results in their last five games, with a record of 3-2, while the Heat have also shown variability, finishing their last five with a similar record of 3-2.

The Raptors' recent form includes notable wins against the Cleveland Cavaliers, with scores of 126-104 and 93-89, but they also suffered a close loss in their last encounter against the Cavaliers, 114-102. Their overall scoring average in the last ten games stands at 119.8 points per game, while they allowed an average of 107.6 points. At home, the Raptors have a solid record of 5-1 in their last six games, showcasing their strength at the Videotron Centre.

In contrast, the Miami Heat's recent performances have been highlighted by a couple of strong victories against the Washington Wizards and Atlanta Hawks, scoring 140-117 and 143-117, respectively. However, they have also faced defeats against the Raptors, losing 121-95 and 128-114 in their last two meetings. The Heat's average scoring in their last ten games is 125.8 points, but they have allowed an average of 126.2 points, indicating a need for defensive improvement.

Historically, the Raptors have dominated their recent encounters with the Heat, boasting a 4-0 record in their last four meetings. This includes two victories earlier in the 2026 season, where they outscored the Heat by significant margins. The Raptors' ability to maintain this dominance will be a key point of interest in this matchup.

In terms of injuries, the Raptors have several players listed as day-to-day, including Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jamison Battle, Kyle Anderson, and Allen Graves, all of whom could impact the team's performance if unable to play. Additionally, Kawhi Leonard is also listed as day-to-day but noted as not injury-related. On the Heat's side, Keshad Johnson is confirmed out due to a hamstring issue, while Dru Smith is day-to-day with a calf injury.

The betting market has not yet established lines for this matchup, given that both teams are starting the season fresh. However, the Raptors' home advantage and their recent head-to-head success against the Heat may influence early betting sentiments.

As the game approaches, conditions at the Videotron Centre will be closely monitored, as they can affect player performance and overall game dynamics. Fans should watch for how the Raptors' offensive strategy unfolds against the Heat's defense, particularly given the scoring averages of both teams. The health status of key players will also play a crucial role in determining the effectiveness of each team's game plan.

Overall, this matchup promises to be an exciting start to the season for both teams, with the Raptors looking to continue their winning streak against the Heat and the Miami squad eager to turn the tide in their favor.

Injury report

Trayce Jackson-DavisDay-To-DayUndisclosedToronto Raptors
Jamison BattleDay-To-DayBackToronto Raptors
Kyle AndersonDay-To-DayKneeToronto Raptors
Allen GravesDay-To-DayGroinToronto Raptors
Kawhi LeonardDay-To-DayNot Injury RelatedToronto Raptors
Keshad JohnsonOutHamstringMiami Heat
Dru SmithDay-To-DayCalfMiami Heat

Leaders

PointsRJ Barrett15Toronto Raptors
AssistsJamal Shead8Toronto Raptors
ReboundsCollin Murray-Boyles9Toronto Raptors
PointsTim Hardaway Jr.14Miami Heat
AssistsGiannis Antetokounmpo7Miami Heat
ReboundsNikola Jovic7Miami Heat

Recent form

Toronto Raptors

Last 10: 6-4Streak W1119.8 scored · 107.6 allowed per game5-1 at home

W136-101vs Brooklyn NetsApr 12
L95-112at New York KnicksApr 10
W128-114vs Miami HeatApr 9
W121-95vs Miami HeatApr 7
L101-115at Boston CelticsApr 5
W128-96at Memphis GrizzliesApr 4
L115-123vs Sacramento KingsApr 2
L116-127at Detroit PistonsApr 1
W139-87vs Orlando MagicMar 29
W119-106vs New Orleans PelicansMar 28

Miami Heat

Last 10: 5-5Streak W2125.8 scored · 126.2 allowed per game2-4 away

W143-117vs Atlanta HawksApr 12
W140-117at Washington WizardsApr 10
L114-128at Toronto RaptorsApr 9
L95-121at Toronto RaptorsApr 7
W152-136vs Washington WizardsApr 4
L129-147vs Boston CelticsApr 1
W119-109vs Philadelphia 76ersMar 30
L118-135at Indiana PacersMar 29
L128-149at Cleveland CavaliersMar 27
W120-103at Cleveland CavaliersMar 25

Standings

Team	Games behind	Lost	Streak	Win %	Won
Miami	-	0	W1	1.000	1
Atlanta	0.5	0	-	.000	0
Orlando	0.5	0	-	.000	0
Washington	0.5	0	-	.000	0
Charlotte	0.5	0	-	.000	0
Boston	-	0	-	.000	0
Brooklyn	-	0	-	.000	0
New York	-	0	-	.000	0
Philadelphia	-	0	-	.000	0
Toronto	0.5	1	L1	.000	0

Box score

Stat	Miami Heat	Toronto Raptors
Field goals	42-86	37-94
Field goal %	49	39
Three-pointers	14-40	12-41
Three-point %	35	29
Free throws	31-36	19-30
Free throw %	86	63
Rebounds	55	43
Offensive rebounds	10	13
Defensive rebounds	45	30
Assists	33	26
Steals	9	17
Blocks	7	2
Turnovers	25	19
Team turnovers	0	0
Technical fouls	0	0
Technical fouls, total	0	0
Flagrant fouls	0	0
Points off turnovers	15	17
Fast-break points	27	28
Points in the paint	48	50
Fouls	24	30
Largest lead	24	2
Lead changes	3	3
Time in front	97	2

How the scoring went

3rd Quarter86-71Tre Donaldson makes free throw 2 of 2
3rd Quarter86-72Jaden Bradley makes free throw 1 of 2
3rd Quarter86-73Jaden Bradley makes free throw 2 of 2
3rd Quarter88-73Ian Schieffelin makes 1-foot layup (Tre Donaldson assists)
3rd Quarter88-75Jamal Shead makes 11-foot driving floating jump shot (Jaden Bradley assists)
3rd Quarter90-75J'Vonne Hadley makes 2-foot dunk (Ian Schieffelin assists)
3rd Quarter92-75Tre Donaldson makes 18-foot pullup jump shot
3rd Quarter92-78Tyreke Key makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jamal Shead assists)
3rd Quarter94-78Bez Mbeng makes running layup
3rd Quarter94-80Malachi Smith makes 5-foot two point shot
3rd Quarter95-80Tre Donaldson makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter96-80Ian Schieffelin makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter97-80Ian Schieffelin makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter100-80Ian Schieffelin makes 24-foot three point jumper (Bez Mbeng assists)
4th Quarter102-80Bez Mbeng makes two point shot (Ryan Conwell assists)
4th Quarter102-83Tyreke Key makes 23-foot three point jumper (Malachi Smith assists)
4th Quarter102-85Chucky Hepburn makes 2-foot two point shot
4th Quarter104-85Vladislav Goldin makes 1-foot two point shot
4th Quarter106-85Vladislav Goldin makes 1-foot reverse layup (Myron Gardner assists)
4th Quarter106-87Chucky Hepburn makes driving layup
4th Quarter108-87Ryan Conwell makes 13-foot two point shot
4th Quarter110-87Bez Mbeng makes two point shot (Myron Gardner assists)
4th Quarter110-90Tyreke Key makes 25-foot three point jumper (Malachi Smith assists)
4th Quarter113-90Myron Gardner makes 30-foot three point jumper (Bez Mbeng assists)
4th Quarter113-93Jaden Bradley makes 23-foot three point step back jumpshot (Chucky Hepburn assists)
4th Quarter114-93Myron Gardner makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter115-93Myron Gardner makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter115-96Tyreke Key makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jamal Shead assists)
4th Quarter117-96Vladislav Goldin makes 2-foot layup (Tre Donaldson assists)
4th Quarter117-98Chucky Hepburn makes two point shot
4th Quarter117-99Tyreke Key makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter118-99Tre Donaldson makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter118-101Jaden Bradley makes two point shot (Jamal Shead assists)
4th Quarter120-101Ian Schieffelin makes running dunk (Bez Mbeng assists)
4th Quarter123-101Bez Mbeng makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshot (Ryan Conwell assists)
4th Quarter123-103Tyreke Key makes 1-foot layup (Jamal Shead assists)
4th Quarter125-103Ryan Conwell makes 2-foot two point shot (Tre Donaldson assists)
4th Quarter127-103Ian Schieffelin makes two point shot
4th Quarter127-105Jaden Bradley makes 1-foot two point shot
4th Quarter129-105Myron Gardner makes 9-foot two point shot (Tre Donaldson assists)