NBA · Final

Raptors Defeat Heat 106-96 in Miami Showdown

106

Monday, December 15, 2025, 7:30 PM ET · Kaseya Center

Toronto Raptors 106, Miami Heat 96, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat?

Toronto Raptors beat Miami Heat 106-96 at Kaseya Center on December 15, 2025.

Who was favored in Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat?

Miami Heat were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -185 (about 65% implied). The underdog won.

In a tightly contested NBA matchup, the Toronto Raptors emerged victorious against the Miami Heat with a final score of 106-96 at the Kaseya Center. This win allowed the Raptors to take a 2-0 lead in the season series, having previously defeated the Heat 120-111 in their last meeting on February 22, 2025. The Raptors now hold a 3-1 advantage in their recent head-to-head matchups against Miami, showcasing their ability to perform well against this opponent.

The Raptors entered the game with a record of 16-11, while the Heat stood at 14-12. Both teams have struggled recently, with Miami on a four-game losing streak, averaging 114.4 points scored and allowing 118.2 points in their last five games. The Heat's recent form included losses to teams like the Orlando Magic and the Sacramento Kings. On the other hand, Toronto has also faced challenges, losing their last four games, with an average of 107.2 points scored and 112.7 points allowed in their last ten games.

At home, the Heat had a record of 3-2 in their last five games, while their away record was 2-3. In contrast, the Raptors had a home record of 4-4 and were struggling with a 0-2 away record in their recent outings. The matchup was anticipated to be competitive given the teams' recent performances and standings.

In terms of injuries, both teams faced challenges with several players listed as day-to-day. For the Heat, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Keels, Ryan Conwell, and Myron Gardner were all dealing with various injuries. The Raptors also had key players such as Nate Bittle, Alijah Martin, Chucky Hepburn, Collin Murray-Boyles, and Immanuel Quickley listed as day-to-day, impacting their lineup decisions.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Heat favored by 4.5 points, with a total set at 233.5. The odds reflected the expectation of a competitive game, but the Raptors managed to defy those expectations with their strong performance.

Throughout the game, the Raptors showcased their depth and resilience. Key scoring plays in the fourth quarter included a driving layup by Norman Powell, who also made three free throws to extend the Raptors' lead. Scottie Barnes contributed with a two-point shot, and Jakob Poeltl capped off the scoring with a layup, solidifying the Raptors' lead.

The conditions in Miami were typical for a December evening, with fans filling the Kaseya Center to support the home team. However, the Heat's inability to capitalize on their home advantage ultimately led to their defeat.

As the game concluded, the Heat's win probability was at 0.0%, highlighting the Raptors' control over the match in the final moments. The Raptors' victory not only adds to their confidence but also places them in a favorable position as they continue their season.

Odds

Book	Spread	Total	Moneyline
DraftKings	MIA -4.5	233.5 o -115 / u -105	Toronto Raptors +154 · Miami Heat -185

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

Giannis AntetokounmpoDay-To-DayKneeMiami Heat
Bam AdebayoDay-To-DayBackMiami Heat
Trevor KeelsDay-To-DayKneeMiami Heat
Ryan ConwellDay-To-DayHipMiami Heat
Myron GardnerDay-To-DayAnkleMiami Heat
Nate BittleDay-To-DayKneeToronto Raptors
Alijah MartinDay-To-DayKneeToronto Raptors
Chucky HepburnDay-To-DayKneeToronto Raptors
Collin Murray-BoylesDay-To-DayFingerToronto Raptors
Immanuel QuickleyDay-To-DayHamstringToronto Raptors

Leaders

PointsBam Adebayo20Miami Heat
AssistsNorman Powell4Miami Heat
ReboundsKel'el Ware13Miami Heat
PointsBrandon Ingram28Toronto Raptors
AssistsJamal Shead10Toronto Raptors
ReboundsScottie Barnes10Toronto Raptors

Recent form

Miami Heat

Last 10: 5-5Streak L4118.9 scored · 115.8 allowed per game3-2 at home

L108-117at Orlando MagicDec 9
L111-127vs Sacramento KingsDec 7
L105-106at Orlando MagicDec 6
L108-118at Dallas MavericksDec 4
W140-123vs LA ClippersDec 2
L135-138vs Detroit PistonsNov 30
W106-103vs Milwaukee BucksNov 27
W106-102vs Dallas MavericksNov 25
W127-117at Philadelphia 76ersNov 23
W143-107at Chicago BullsNov 22

Toronto Raptors

Last 10: 4-6Streak L4107.2 scored · 112.7 allowed per game0-2 away

L101-117vs New York KnicksDec 10
L113-121vs Boston CelticsDec 7
L86-111vs Charlotte HornetsDec 6
L120-123vs Los Angeles LakersDec 5
W121-118vs Portland Trail BlazersDec 3
L94-116at New York KnicksNov 30
L111-118at Charlotte HornetsNov 29
W97-95vs Indiana PacersNov 27
W110-99vs Cleveland CavaliersNov 25
W119-109vs Brooklyn NetsNov 23

Standings

Team	Games behind	Lost	Streak	Win %	Won
Boston	-	26	W2	.683	56
New York	3	29	L1	.646	53
Toronto	10	36	W1	.561	46
Philadelphia	11	37	W2	.549	45
Brooklyn	36	62	L3	.244	20
Atlanta	-	36	L1	.561	46
Orlando	1	37	L1	.549	45
Charlotte	2	38	W1	.537	44
Miami	3	39	W2	.524	43
Washington	29	65	L10	.207	17

Box score

Stat	Toronto Raptors	Miami Heat
Field goals	42-88	35-83
Field goal %	48	42
Three-pointers	16-40	9-31
Three-point %	40	29
Free throws	6-9	17-23
Free throw %	67	74
Rebounds	45	45
Offensive rebounds	11	11
Defensive rebounds	34	34
Assists	33	20
Steals	9	12
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers	19	18
Team turnovers	2	1
Technical fouls	0	0
Technical fouls, total	0	0
Flagrant fouls	0	0
Points off turnovers	29	22
Fast-break points	9	19
Points in the paint	44	42
Fouls	20	14
Largest lead	11	11
Lead changes	7	7
Time in front	26	63

How the scoring went

3rd Quarter61-62Norman Powell makes free throw 1 of 2
3rd Quarter61-63Norman Powell makes free throw 2 of 2
3rd Quarter63-63Brandon Ingram makes 15-foot step back jumpshot
3rd Quarter63-65Davion Mitchell makes driving layup
3rd Quarter65-65Sandro Mamukelashvili makes two point shot (Collin Murray-Boyles assists)
3rd Quarter65-68Simone Fontecchio makes 24-foot three point shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
3rd Quarter67-68Collin Murray-Boyles makes driving layup (Brandon Ingram assists)
3rd Quarter70-68Gradey Dick makes 26-foot three point jumper (Brandon Ingram assists)
3rd Quarter72-68Collin Murray-Boyles makes 2-foot layup (Brandon Ingram assists)
3rd Quarter72-70Kel'el Ware makes 1-foot alley oop dunk shot (Dru Smith assists)
3rd Quarter72-72Keshad Johnson makes tip shot
3rd Quarter72-74Norman Powell makes 4-foot two point shot
3rd Quarter72-77Dru Smith makes 25-foot running pullup jump shot
3rd Quarter74-77Scottie Barnes makes driving layup (Jamal Shead assists)
4th Quarter74-79Kel'el Ware makes dunk
4th Quarter76-79Immanuel Quickley makes 2-foot layup (Scottie Barnes assists)
4th Quarter79-79Sandro Mamukelashvili makes 25-foot three point jumper (Ja'Kobe Walter assists)
4th Quarter81-79Gradey Dick makes two point shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)
4th Quarter83-79Immanuel Quickley makes 1-foot two point shot
4th Quarter83-81Dru Smith makes driving layup
4th Quarter85-81Sandro Mamukelashvili makes driving layup (Jamal Shead assists)
4th Quarter86-81Sandro Mamukelashvili makes free throw 1 of 1
4th Quarter88-81Scottie Barnes makes 12-foot jumper (Jamal Shead assists)
4th Quarter91-81Jamal Shead makes 25-foot three point jumper (Immanuel Quickley assists)
4th Quarter91-83Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes 1-foot two point shot
4th Quarter93-83Jakob Poeltl makes 5-foot two point shot (Jamal Shead assists)
4th Quarter93-85Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot
4th Quarter95-85Brandon Ingram makes 17-foot two point shot
4th Quarter95-87Davion Mitchell makes two point shot
4th Quarter97-87Scottie Barnes makes two point shot
4th Quarter97-89Bam Adebayo makes driving floating jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
4th Quarter100-89Brandon Ingram makes 23-foot three point jumper (Immanuel Quickley assists)
4th Quarter100-91Bam Adebayo makes 3-foot two point shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
4th Quarter100-93Norman Powell makes driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)
4th Quarter100-94Norman Powell makes free throw 1 of 3
4th Quarter100-95Norman Powell makes free throw 2 of 3
4th Quarter100-96Norman Powell makes free throw 3 of 3
4th Quarter102-96Jamal Shead makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot
4th Quarter104-96Scottie Barnes makes two point shot
4th Quarter106-96Jakob Poeltl makes layup (Scottie Barnes assists)