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MLB · Final/11

Twins Edge Guardians in Extra Innings Thriller

Saturday, May 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET · Progressive Field

Minnesota Twins 2, Cleveland Guardians 1, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians?

Minnesota Twins beat Cleveland Guardians 2-1 at Progressive Field on May 9, 2026.

Who was favored in Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians?

Cleveland Guardians were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -127 (about 56% implied). The underdog won.

In a closely contested game at Progressive Field, the Minnesota Twins triumphed over the Cleveland Guardians with a final score of 2-1 after 11 innings. This victory allowed the Twins to win the series 2-1 against the Guardians, highlighting a significant moment in their season. The game was marked by a standout performance from Byron Buxton, who not only homered in the first inning but also doubled in the 11th to drive in the decisive run.

Both teams entered this matchup with contrasting recent forms. The Guardians had a record of 5-5 in their last ten games, currently riding a three-game winning streak. They averaged 3.6 runs scored and 3.8 runs allowed during this stretch. Their last five games showed a slight uptick in performance, with an average of 4.4 runs scored and 4.2 runs allowed. In contrast, the Twins struggled with a 4-6 record in their last ten games and were on a three-game losing streak. They averaged 5.1 runs scored but allowed 5.8 runs per game, indicating vulnerabilities in their pitching staff.

At home, the Guardians had a record of 21-20, while the Twins were 17-23 on the road. This game was crucial for both teams as they aimed to improve their standings in the league. The Guardians had a mixed home record of 2-2 in their last four games, while the Twins were 1-3 in their last four away games, reflecting their struggles on the road.

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Guardians had a favorable record against the Twins, with a 7-4-1 record in their last twelve meetings. The most recent encounter prior to this game was on May 8, 2026, where the Guardians won 6-4. However, the Twins' victory in this game suggests a shift in momentum.

Injuries played a role in both teams' lineups. The Guardians were missing key players such as Slade Cecconi (15-Day IL, arm), Rhys Hoskins (10-Day IL, back), and Shawn Armstrong (60-Day IL, calf). The Twins were also impacted by injuries, including Byron Buxton (10-Day IL, hip), Joe Ryan (15-Day IL, lower body), Austin Martin (10-Day IL, hamstring), Mike Paredes (60-Day IL, oblique), and Mick Abel (60-Day IL, elbow). Buxton's presence was particularly felt as he contributed significantly to the Twins' offense.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Guardians favored at -127, with a spread of 1.5 and a total set at 8.0 runs. The odds for the over were -105.0, while the under was priced at -115.0. This context illustrates the expectations and uncertainties surrounding this matchup, especially given the recent forms of both teams.

The game conditions were typical for a spring evening, with clear skies and moderate temperatures, creating an ideal atmosphere for baseball. Fans at Progressive Field witnessed a tightly contested game that showcased both teams' strengths and weaknesses.

Viewers were treated to a thrilling display of pitching and defense, with the scoring plays highlighting the intensity of the matchup. Buxton's early homer gave the Twins a brief lead, but the Guardians responded in the fourth inning with a single from Manzardo that allowed Ramírez to score, tying the game at 1-1. The tension built as both teams battled through the innings, leading to Buxton's crucial double in the 11th that ultimately secured the victory for the Twins.

This game serves as a reminder of the unpredictability of baseball, where a single play can change the outcome. The Guardians will look to regroup from this loss, while the Twins aim to build on this momentum as they progress through the season.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsCLE -127 8 o -105 / u -115 Minnesota Twins +105 · Cleveland Guardians -127

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Slade Cecconi15-Day-ILArmCleveland Guardians
  • Rhys Hoskins10-Day-ILBackCleveland Guardians
  • Shawn Armstrong60-Day-ILCalfCleveland Guardians
  • Byron Buxton10-Day-ILHipMinnesota Twins
  • Joe Ryan15-Day-ILLower BodyMinnesota Twins
  • Austin Martin10-Day-ILHamstringMinnesota Twins
  • Mike Paredes60-Day-ILObliqueMinnesota Twins
  • Mick Abel60-Day-ILElbowMinnesota Twins

Recent form

Cleveland Guardians

Last 10: 5-5Streak W33.6 scored · 3.8 allowed per game2-2 at home

  • W6-4vs Minnesota TwinsMay 8
  • W8-5at Kansas City RoyalsMay 7
  • W3-1at Kansas City RoyalsMay 6
  • L3-5at Kansas City RoyalsMay 5
  • L2-6at Kansas City RoyalsMay 4
  • L1-7at AthleticsMay 3
  • W8-5at AthleticsMay 2
  • W3-1vs Tampa Bay RaysApr 29
  • L0-1vs Tampa Bay RaysApr 28
  • L2-3vs Tampa Bay RaysApr 27

Minnesota Twins

Last 10: 4-6Streak L35.1 scored · 5.8 allowed per game1-3 away

  • L4-6at Cleveland GuardiansMay 8
  • L5-7at Washington NationalsMay 7
  • L2-15at Washington NationalsMay 6
  • W11-3at Washington NationalsMay 5
  • W4-3vs Toronto Blue JaysMay 3
  • L3-7vs Toronto Blue JaysMay 2
  • W7-1vs Toronto Blue JaysApr 30
  • L3-5vs Seattle MarinersApr 29
  • L1-7vs Seattle MarinersApr 28
  • W11-4vs Seattle MarinersApr 27

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Chicago-66L1.52573
Cleveland369L1.50470
Minnesota6.573L1.47967
Detroit975W1.46064
Kansas City11.578L3.44362

How the scoring went

  1. 1st Inning1-0Buxton homered to left (378 feet).
  2. 4th Inning1-1Manzardo singled to right, Ramírez scored.
  3. 11th Inning2-1Buxton doubled to center, Wallner scored.

Win probability

Above the line favours Cleveland Guardians, below favours Minnesota Twins.

Venue

  • Progressive FieldCleveland, Ohio
  • Attendance28230
  • OfficialsPaul Clemons, Quinn Wolcott, Brock Ballou, Ramon De Jesus

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.