Twins Edge Guardians in Close Contest at Progressive Field
Sunday, May 10, 2026, 1:40 PM ET · Progressive Field
Minnesota Twins 5, Cleveland Guardians 4, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians?
Minnesota Twins beat Cleveland Guardians 5-4 at Progressive Field on May 10, 2026.
Who was favored in Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians?
Cleveland Guardians were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -163 (about 62% implied). The underdog won.
In a tightly contested matchup at Progressive Field, the Minnesota Twins narrowly defeated the Cleveland Guardians with a final score of 5-4. This victory allowed the Twins to win the series 2-1 against the Guardians, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure. The game highlighted key moments, particularly in the fifth inning, where the Twins scored four runs, significantly impacting the outcome.
The Guardians entered the game with a home record of 21-21, while the Twins had an away record of 18-23. Cleveland's recent form showed a mixed bag, with a record of 5-5 in their last ten games, averaging 3.5 runs scored and 3.7 runs allowed. They had lost their last game against the Twins on May 9, with a score of 1-2, and were looking to bounce back. In contrast, Minnesota had a record of 4-6 in their last ten games, but they were riding a one-game winning streak after their recent victory over Cleveland.
In terms of home and away performance, the Guardians had a home record of 2-2 in their last four games at Progressive Field, while the Twins were 2-3 in their last five away games. The Guardians' scoring average at home was 4.2 runs in their last five games, while the Twins struggled defensively, allowing an average of 6.4 runs during the same span.
The matchup also featured notable injuries impacting both teams. The Guardians were missing Slade Cecconi (15-Day IL, arm), Rhys Hoskins (10-Day IL, back), and Shawn Armstrong (60-Day IL, calf). The Twins were without key players such as Byron Buxton (10-Day IL, hip), Joe Ryan (15-Day IL, lower body), Austin Martin (10-Day IL, hamstring), Mike Paredes (60-Day IL, oblique), and Mick Abel (60-Day IL, elbow). These absences undoubtedly affected team dynamics and performance.
From a betting perspective, DraftKings set the odds with the Guardians at -163 on the money line and the Twins at +135. The spread was set at -1.5 for the Guardians, with a total of 7.0 runs for the game. The over odds were listed at -123.0, while the under odds were at 102.0, reflecting the expected competitive nature of the game.
The conditions at Progressive Field were conducive to baseball, and fans witnessed a thrilling game. The scoring plays were pivotal, with the Twins taking a commanding lead in the fifth inning. They scored four runs during this inning, with contributions from Lee, Lewis, Bell, and Martin. The Guardians, however, fought back with runs from Martínez and DeLauter in the sixth and eighth innings, respectively, but ultimately fell short.
As the game unfolded, viewers noted the resilience of both teams. The Guardians showed determination in their attempts to claw back into the game, but the Twins' early lead proved too much to overcome. The final score of 5-4 reflected the competitive spirit of both teams, with the Twins managing to secure the win despite a late surge from the Guardians.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | CLE -163 | 7 o -123 / u +102 | Minnesota Twins +135 · Cleveland Guardians -163 |
Injury report
- Slade Cecconi15-Day-ILArmCleveland Guardians
- Rhys Hoskins10-Day-ILBackCleveland Guardians
- Shawn Armstrong60-Day-ILCalfCleveland Guardians
- Byron Buxton10-Day-ILHipMinnesota Twins
- Joe Ryan15-Day-ILLower BodyMinnesota Twins
- Austin Martin10-Day-ILHamstringMinnesota Twins
- Mike Paredes60-Day-ILObliqueMinnesota Twins
- Mick Abel60-Day-ILElbowMinnesota Twins
Recent form
Cleveland Guardians
Last 10: 5-5Streak L13.5 scored · 3.7 allowed per game2-2 at home
- L1-2vs Minnesota TwinsMay 9
- W6-4vs Minnesota TwinsMay 8
- W8-5at Kansas City RoyalsMay 7
- W3-1at Kansas City RoyalsMay 6
- L3-5at Kansas City RoyalsMay 5
- L2-6at Kansas City RoyalsMay 4
- L1-7at AthleticsMay 3
- W8-5at AthleticsMay 2
- W3-1vs Tampa Bay RaysApr 29
- L0-1vs Tampa Bay RaysApr 28
Minnesota Twins
Last 10: 4-6Streak W14.2 scored · 5.5 allowed per game2-3 away
- W2-1at Cleveland GuardiansMay 9
- L4-6at Cleveland GuardiansMay 8
- L5-7at Washington NationalsMay 7
- L2-15at Washington NationalsMay 6
- W11-3at Washington NationalsMay 5
- W4-3vs Toronto Blue JaysMay 3
- L3-7vs Toronto Blue JaysMay 2
- W7-1vs Toronto Blue JaysApr 30
- L3-5vs Seattle MarinersApr 29
- L1-7vs Seattle MarinersApr 28
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | - | 66 | L1 | .525 | 73 |
| Cleveland | 3 | 69 | L1 | .504 | 70 |
| Minnesota | 6.5 | 73 | L1 | .479 | 67 |
| Detroit | 9 | 75 | W1 | .460 | 64 |
| Kansas City | 11.5 | 78 | L3 | .443 | 62 |
How the scoring went
- 3rd Inning1-0Clemens scored on Williams wild pitch, Lee to second on wild pitch by Williams.
- 3rd Inning1-0Clemens scored on Williams wild pitch, Lee to second on wild pitch by Williams.
- 3rd Inning1-1Ramírez singled to center, Rocchio scored, DeLauter to third.
- 5th Inning2-1Lee singled to center, Clemens scored.
- 5th Inning3-1Lewis doubled to left, Lee scored.
- 5th Inning4-1Bell singled to center, Lewis scored, Buxton to third.
- 5th Inning5-1Martin singled to center, Buxton scored, Bell to second.
- 5th Inning5-2Martínez singled to right, Manzardo scored, Schneemann to third.
- 6th Inning5-3DeLauter singled to center, Rocchio scored.
- 8th Inning5-4DeLauter grounded out to first, Fry scored, Rocchio to third.
Win probability
Above the line favours Cleveland Guardians, below favours Minnesota Twins.
Venue
- Progressive FieldCleveland, Ohio
- Attendance22475
- OfficialsQuinn Wolcott, Brock Ballou, Ramon De Jesus, Paul Clemons
Elsewhere
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These two, other days
- Cleveland Guardians Defeat Minnesota Twins 9-2Sep 13, 2026
- Twins Edge Guardians in Close ContestSep 12, 2026
- Cleveland Guardians Defeat Minnesota Twins 5-2Sep 11, 2026
- Twins Triumph Over Guardians in Extra InningsJul 23, 2026
- Twins Outlast Guardians in High-Scoring AffairJul 22, 2026