Vikings Edge Buccaneers in Close Contest
Sunday, September 27, 2026, 4:05 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium
Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Minnesota Vikings beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-16 at Raymond James Stadium on September 27, 2026.
Who was favored in Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -115 (about 53% implied). The underdog won.
In a tightly contested matchup at Raymond James Stadium, the Minnesota Vikings triumphed over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a final score of 23-16. This victory extends the Vikings' impressive winning streak to eight games, while the Buccaneers continue to struggle, now holding a record of 0-4 this season.
The Buccaneers entered this game with a home record of 0-3 and have been unable to find their footing, losing their last two games. Over their last ten outings, they have managed only two wins, with an average of 20.6 points scored per game and 26.1 points allowed. Their recent form reflects a struggle to maintain defensive consistency, as evidenced by their last five games where they averaged 19.8 points scored and 22.6 points allowed.
Conversely, the Vikings have been on a roll, boasting a perfect away record of 3-0 this season and a 7-3 record over their last ten games. They have averaged 19.1 points scored and only 14.5 points allowed during this stretch, showcasing a formidable defense that has been key to their success. Their last five games have been particularly dominant, with an average of 20.6 points scored and just 10.2 points allowed.
In terms of previous meetings, the Vikings and Buccaneers have faced off numerous times, but this latest encounter highlighted the Vikings' current momentum and the Buccaneers' ongoing struggles. The Vikings' ability to secure wins on the road has been a significant factor in their success this season.
Injury concerns were notable for both teams heading into this game. The Buccaneers had several players listed as out, including Josiah Trotter (shoulder), Billy Schrauth, Rakeem Nunez-Roches, and Ayden Garnes, all due to coach's decisions. Additionally, Jalen McMillan was questionable with a knee injury. The Vikings also faced challenges, with key players like Justin Jefferson (ankle) and Charles Demmings (hamstring) both ruled out, which could have impacted their offensive strategy.
The betting market reflected the Vikings' strong form, with DraftKings listing the Buccaneers as 1.5-point favorites at home, indicating a level of confidence in the Buccaneers despite their struggles. The total for the game was set at 42.5, suggesting expectations for a moderately high-scoring affair.
Conditions at Raymond James Stadium were conducive to football, and fans witnessed a competitive game that showcased the Vikings' resilience and the Buccaneers' ongoing challenges. Viewers were treated to a display of defensive prowess from the Vikings, who managed to stifle the Buccaneers' offensive efforts, contributing to their victory.
In summary, the Vikings' win over the Buccaneers not only solidifies their position as a formidable contender this season but also raises questions about the Buccaneers' ability to turn their season around. With injuries impacting both teams and the Vikings riding high on momentum, this matchup served as a critical moment in the NFL season.
What we said beforehand
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face the Minnesota Vikings at Raymond James Stadium on September 27, 2026, in a matchup that highlights the stark contrast in their early season performances. The Buccaneers are currently winless at 0-2, while the Vikings boast an impressive 2-0 record. This game is pivotal for the Buccaneers, who are looking to turn their season around against a Vikings team that has shown resilience and effectiveness in their first two outings.
In their last five games, the Buccaneers have struggled significantly, recording a 1-4 record. Their recent performances include three consecutive losses, with scores of 19-0 against the Jacksonville Jaguars, 33-27 against the Cincinnati Bengals, and 23-19 against the Cleveland Browns. The Buccaneers have averaged 19.8 points scored and allowed 22.6 points per game during this stretch. In contrast, the Vikings have been on a winning streak, having won their last five games, including a 39-22 victory over the Green Bay Packers and a narrow 9-3 win against the Chicago Bears. The Vikings have averaged 20.6 points scored and allowed just 10.2 points per game in their last five outings.
When considering home and away records, the Buccaneers have a home record of 0-2 this season, while the Vikings are 2-0 on the road. The Buccaneers’ home performance has been concerning, with an overall home record of 2-3 in their last five games, averaging 20.6 points scored and 26.1 points allowed. The Vikings, however, have excelled away, with a recent away record of 3-2, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure in hostile environments.
In terms of previous meetings, the teams have not faced each other recently, making this matchup particularly intriguing as both squads bring different strengths and weaknesses to the field.
Injury reports show that the Buccaneers will be without several key players, including Josiah Trotter (shoulder), along with four others who are out due to coach's decisions. The Vikings also have notable absences, including Zemaiah Vaughn, Elijah Williams, Tavierre Thomas, Jakobe Thomas, and Brett Thorson, with Thorson out due to a hamstring injury. The absence of these players could significantly impact both teams' strategies and depth.
The betting lines from DraftKings indicate that the Vikings are favored by 1.5 points, with a total set at 42.5. The odds reflect the Vikings' strong start to the season and the Buccaneers' struggles. The over odds are at -112.0, while the under sits at -108.0. The moneyline shows the Buccaneers at -108.0 and the Vikings at -112.0, suggesting a closely contested matchup.
Weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature around 85°F and wind gusts reaching 16 mph. These conditions could play a role in the teams' offensive and defensive strategies, particularly in passing and kicking situations.
Viewers should watch for how the Buccaneers' offense, led by quarterback Baker Mayfield, responds to the pressure of their winless start, particularly against a Vikings defense that has been effective in limiting scoring opportunities. Mayfield has recorded 398 passing yards with one touchdown and one interception this season. Additionally, the performance of the Buccaneers' rushing attack, spearheaded by Bucky Irving, will be crucial as they aim to establish a balanced offensive game.
On the other side, the Vikings will look to capitalize on their offensive momentum, with quarterback Carson Wentz having thrown for 276 yards and three touchdowns in his last game. The Vikings' running back Aaron Jones Sr. has also been a key contributor, rushing for 145 yards and a touchdown. The connection between Wentz and standout receiver Justin Jefferson, who has 147 receiving yards and two touchdowns, will be essential for the Vikings as they seek to maintain their unbeaten streak.
This matchup not only carries significant implications for both teams' seasons but also showcases the contrasting trajectories of the Buccaneers and Vikings. With the stakes high, fans can expect an engaging contest as both teams vie for crucial early-season victories.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TB -1.5 | 42.5 o -112 / u -108 | Minnesota Vikings -105 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers -115 |
Injury report
- Jalen McMillanQuestionableKneeTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Josiah TrotterOutShoulderTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Billy SchrauthOutCoach's DecisionTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Rakeem Nunez-RochesOutCoach's DecisionTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Ayden GarnesOutCoach's DecisionTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Charles DemmingsOutHamstringMinnesota Vikings
- Justin JeffersonOutAnkleMinnesota Vikings
- Zemaiah VaughnOutCoach's DecisionMinnesota Vikings
- Elijah WilliamsOutCoach's DecisionMinnesota Vikings
- Tavierre ThomasOutCoach's DecisionMinnesota Vikings
Leaders
- Passing yardsBaker Mayfield17/34, 217 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INTTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Rushing yardsBucky Irving15 CAR, 46 YDSTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Receiving yardsEmeka Egbuka5 REC, 62 YDSTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Passing yardsKyler Murray15/29, 168 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INTMinnesota Vikings
- Rushing yardsAaron Jones Sr.17 CAR, 58 YDSMinnesota Vikings
- Receiving yardsJordan Addison5 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TDMinnesota Vikings
Recent form
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Last 10: 2-8Streak L220.6 scored · 26.1 allowed per game2-3 at home
- L19-23vs Cleveland BrownsSep 20
- L27-33at Cincinnati BengalsSep 13
- W16-14vs Carolina PanthersJan 3
- L17-20at Miami DolphinsDec 28
- L20-23at Carolina PanthersDec 21
- L28-29vs Atlanta FalconsDec 12
- L20-24vs New Orleans SaintsDec 7
- W20-17vs Arizona CardinalsNov 30
- L7-34at Los Angeles RamsNov 24
- L32-44at Buffalo BillsNov 16
Minnesota Vikings
Last 10: 7-3Streak W719.1 scored · 14.5 allowed per game3-2 away
- W9-3at Chicago BearsSep 20
- W39-22vs Green Bay PackersSep 13
- W16-3vs Green Bay PackersJan 4
- W23-10vs Detroit LionsDec 25
- W16-13at New York GiantsDec 21
- W34-26at Dallas CowboysDec 15
- W31-0vs Washington CommandersDec 7
- L0-26at Seattle SeahawksNov 30
- L6-23at Green Bay PackersNov 23
- L17-19vs Chicago BearsNov 16
Standings
| Team | Lost | Points against | Points for | Tied | Win % | Won | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 0 | 41 | 71 | 0 | 1.000 | 3 | 3-0 |
| Detroit | 1 | 95 | 93 | 0 | .667 | 2 | 2-1 |
| Chicago | 1 | 46 | 62 | 0 | .500 | 1 | 1-1 |
| Green Bay | 2 | 91 | 56 | 0 | .333 | 1 | 1-2 |
| New Orleans | 1 | 48 | 54 | 0 | .500 | 1 | 1-1 |
| Carolina | 2 | 83 | 89 | 0 | .333 | 1 | 1-2 |
| Atlanta | 2 | 68 | 51 | 0 | .333 | 1 | 1-2 |
| Tampa Bay | 3 | 79 | 62 | 0 | .000 | 0 | 0-3 |
Box score
| Stat | Minnesota Vikings | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 9 | 11 |
| First downs passing | 5 | 7 |
| First downs rushing | 4 | 2 |
| First downs by penalty | 0 | 2 |
| Third downs | 2-15 | 2-17 |
| Fourth downs | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Offensive plays | 55 | 64 |
| Total yards | 230 | 243 |
| Yards per play | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Drives | 13 | 15 |
| Net passing yards | 152 | 186 |
| Completions | 15/29 | 17/37 |
| Yards per pass | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks allowed | 3-16 | 6-31 |
| Rushing yards | 78 | 57 |
| Rushing attempts | 23 | 21 |
| Yards per rush | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| Red zone trips | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Penalties | 9-95 | 8-81 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 0 |
| Defensive touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 29:03 | 30:57 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Tampa Bay Buccaneers, below favours Minnesota Vikings.
Venue
- Raymond James StadiumTampa, FL
- OfficialsScott Novak, Mike Morton, Tony Josselyn, Mark Stewart, Don Willard, Brian Sakowski, Gabriel DeLeon
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