Missouri State Bears Upset Liberty Flames 77-69
Wednesday, March 11, 2026, 6:30 PM ET · Propst Arena
Missouri State Bears 77, Liberty Flames 69, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Missouri State Bears vs Liberty Flames?
Missouri State Bears beat Liberty Flames 77-69 at Propst Arena on March 11, 2026.
Who was favored in Missouri State Bears vs Liberty Flames?
Liberty Flames were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -245 (about 71% implied). The underdog won.
In a surprising turn of events, the Missouri State Bears defeated the Liberty Flames 77-69 at Propst Arena, marking a significant upset in the NCAAB season. This victory not only showcased the Bears' resilience but also highlighted the Flames' struggles in the latter part of the season. The Flames entered the game with a strong home record of 25-7, while the Bears had a more modest away record of 16-17. Despite Liberty's higher standing, Missouri State's recent form proved to be a critical factor in the outcome of the match.
In their last ten games, Liberty had a record of 7-3, with an average of 76.3 points scored and 76.7 points allowed per game. They had been riding a one-game winning streak, having recently defeated the Sam Houston Bearkats 79-72. However, their performance had been inconsistent, as evidenced by their last five games where they managed only a 2-3 record with an average of 73.8 points scored and 78.8 points allowed. In contrast, Missouri State's recent form was less impressive, with a record of 2-8 over their last ten games and an average of 75.1 points scored against 77.4 points allowed. They entered the game with a one-game winning streak, having won against the Florida International Panthers 75-72.
The game was particularly noteworthy as it was a rematch of a previous encounter on February 7, 2026, where Liberty had narrowly edged out Missouri State with a score of 79-76. This added an extra layer of intrigue to the matchup, as the Bears sought to even the score. The Flames had a home record of 3-2 in their last five games, while Missouri State had struggled on the road, posting a 1-4 record in their recent away games.
In terms of injuries, the block does not provide specific details, but the overall performance of both teams suggests that they were fielding their best available players. The market had Liberty favored by 4.5 points according to DraftKings, with a total set at 142.5. The odds indicated a strong belief in Liberty's ability to perform at home, but the Bears' victory defied those expectations.
The conditions at Propst Arena were conducive to a competitive game, and the atmosphere was charged as both teams vied for an important win. As the game unfolded, Missouri State took control in the second half, with key scoring plays that shifted the momentum in their favor. Notable contributions included Michael Osei-Bonsu making crucial free throws and Trey Williams Jr. hitting a significant three-point jumper that extended the Bears' lead to 73-67.
As the game drew to a close, Missouri State maintained their composure, with free throws from Zaxton King and Kobi Williams sealing the deal and ensuring that the Flames could not mount a comeback. This victory for the Bears not only boosts their confidence but also serves as a reminder of the unpredictability of college basketball, where any team can emerge victorious on any given night.
Overall, the matchup between the Liberty Flames and Missouri State Bears was a testament to the competitive nature of NCAAB, showcasing how momentum and determination can lead to unexpected outcomes.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | LIB -4.5 | 142.5 o -110 / u -110 | Missouri State Bears +200 · Liberty Flames -245 |
Leaders
- PointsZach Cleveland20Liberty Flames
- AssistsColin Porter5Liberty Flames
- ReboundsZach Cleveland14Liberty Flames
- PointsMichael Osei-Bonsu31Missouri State Bears
- AssistsMichael Osei-Bonsu4Missouri State Bears
- ReboundsKeith Palek III9Missouri State Bears
Recent form
Liberty Flames
Last 10: 7-3Streak W176.3 scored · 76.7 allowed per game3-2 at home
- W79-72vs Sam Houston BearkatsMar 7
- L71-76vs Louisiana Tech BulldogsMar 6
- W81-78at Jacksonville State GamecocksFeb 28
- L65-74at Kennesaw State OwlsFeb 27
- L73-94vs Western Kentucky HilltoppersFeb 21
- W90-89vs Florida International PanthersFeb 19
- W73-64at UTEP MinersFeb 14
- W77-75at New Mexico State AggiesFeb 12
- W79-76vs Missouri State BearsFeb 7
- W75-69at Delaware Blue HensFeb 5
Missouri State Bears
Last 10: 2-8Streak W175.1 scored · 77.4 allowed per game1-4 away
- W75-72at Florida International PanthersMar 10
- L63-75vs Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMar 7
- W87-74vs Western Kentucky HilltoppersMar 6
- L81-86at Sam Houston BearkatsFeb 28
- L70-72at Louisiana Tech BulldogsFeb 27
- L67-70at Florida International PanthersFeb 21
- L87-91vs Kennesaw State OwlsFeb 19
- L67-76vs Delaware Blue HensFeb 14
- L78-79vs Louisiana Tech BulldogsFeb 13
- L76-79at Liberty FlamesFeb 7
Standings
| Team | Overall | Games behind | In conference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 26-8 | - | 17-3 |
| Sam Houston | 22-12 | 4 | 13-7 |
| Louisiana Tech | 20-14 | 6 | 11-9 |
| Western Kentucky | 18-14 | 6 | 11-9 |
| Middle Tennessee | 17-15 | 6 | 11-9 |
| Kennesaw State | 21-14 | 7 | 10-10 |
| Jacksonville State | 15-17 | 7 | 10-10 |
| New Mexico State | 16-16 | 9 | 8-12 |
| Missouri State | 16-18 | 9 | 8-12 |
| Florida International | 15-17 | 9 | 8-12 |
| UTEP | 11-20 | 8 | 7-13 |
| Delaware | 10-21 | 11 | 6-14 |
Box score
| Stat | Missouri State Bears | Liberty Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 28-50 | 27-63 |
| Field goal % | 56 | 43 |
| Three-pointers | 8-16 | 9-31 |
| Three-point % | 50 | 29 |
| Free throws | 13-22 | 6-9 |
| Free throw % | 59 | 67 |
| Rebounds | 34 | 30 |
| Offensive rebounds | 7 | 11 |
| Defensive rebounds | 27 | 19 |
| Assists | 14 | 15 |
| Steals | 3 | 7 |
| Blocks | 3 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 10 | 8 |
| Team turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 1 |
| Points off turnovers | 10 | 20 |
| Fast-break points | 5 | 9 |
| Points in the paint | 38 | 34 |
| Fouls | 13 | 18 |
| Largest lead | 8 | 10 |
| Lead changes | 2 | 2 |
| Time in front | 49 | 45 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Half37-40Kobi Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half37-43JJ Harper makes 23-foot three point jumper (Colin Porter assists)
- 2nd Half37-45Brett Decker Jr. makes layup
- 2nd Half37-47Zach Cleveland makes layup
- 2nd Half40-47Keith Palek III makes 24-foot three point jumper (Trey Williams Jr. assists)
- 2nd Half42-47Michael Osei-Bonsu makes layup (Kobi Williams assists)
- 2nd Half42-50Brett Decker Jr. makes 22-foot three point jumper (Colin Porter assists)
- 2nd Half44-50Michael Osei-Bonsu makes layup
- 2nd Half46-50Michael Osei-Bonsu makes layup (Keith Palek III assists)
- 2nd Half48-50Michael Osei-Bonsu makes layup
- 2nd Half51-50Kobi Williams makes 25-foot three point jumper (Keith Palek III assists)
- 2nd Half53-50Michael Osei-Bonsu makes 5-foot hook shot
- 2nd Half55-50Michael Osei-Bonsu makes layup
- 2nd Half57-50Keith Palek III makes 13-foot turnaround jump shot (Kobi Williams assists)
- 2nd Half57-52Josh Smith makes layup (Brett Decker Jr. assists)
- 2nd Half58-52Melakih Cunningham makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half58-55Kaden Metheny makes 24-foot three point jumper (Colin Porter assists)
- 2nd Half58-57Zach Cleveland makes 0-foot tip in layup
- 2nd Half59-57Michael Osei-Bonsu makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half61-57Michael Osei-Bonsu makes layup
- 2nd Half62-57Kobi Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half63-57Kobi Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half63-58Kaden Metheny makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half63-59Kaden Metheny makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half63-61Zach Cleveland makes 5-foot hook shot
- 2nd Half66-61Trey Williams Jr. makes 24-foot three point jumper (Michael Osei-Bonsu assists)
- 2nd Half68-61Michael Osei-Bonsu makes 5-foot hook shot
- 2nd Half68-62Brett Decker Jr. makes free throw 2 of 3
- 2nd Half68-63Brett Decker Jr. makes free throw 3 of 3
- 2nd Half69-63Michael Osei-Bonsu makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half69-64Zach Cleveland makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half69-65Zach Cleveland makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half70-65Michael Osei-Bonsu makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half70-67Zach Cleveland makes 0-foot tip in layup
- 2nd Half73-67Trey Williams Jr. makes 23-foot three point jumper (Keith Palek III assists)
- 2nd Half74-67Trey Williams Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half75-67Keith Palek III makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half75-69Colin Porter makes driving layup
- 2nd Half76-69Zaxton King makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half77-69Kobi Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
Win probability
Above the line favours Liberty Flames, below favours Missouri State Bears.
Venue
- Propst ArenaHuntsville, AL
- Attendance3233
- OfficialsDoug Shows, Chris Ford, James Curran
Elsewhere
- Carson Crawford, No. 46 in '27 class, commits to Arizona St.
- Tennessee's Ralph Scott to have knee surgery, out at least 6 months
- Men's NCAA basketball 2026-27 Way-Too-Early Top 25 rankings
- Transfers, recruits and roster moves for key men's NCAA basketball teams
- Michigan 5-star freshman Brandon McCoy Jr. (knee) to miss season
- With $6.5 million left on deal, UCLA fires AD Martin Jarmond