Falcons Edge Saints in Close Contest
Sunday, January 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta Falcons 19, New Orleans Saints 17, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?
Atlanta Falcons beat New Orleans Saints 19-17 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 4, 2026.
Who was favored in New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?
Atlanta Falcons were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -192 (about 66% implied). The favorite won.
The Atlanta Falcons secured a narrow victory over the New Orleans Saints, finishing the game with a score of 19-17 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This matchup was particularly significant as it showcased the rivalry between the two teams, with the Falcons having won two out of their last three meetings against the Saints. The previous encounter earlier in the season saw the Falcons triumph with a score of 24-10, indicating a competitive edge in recent matchups.
In terms of recent form, the Falcons entered this game with a record of 4-6 in their last ten games, riding a three-game winning streak. Their scoring average during this stretch was 22.4 points per game, while they allowed an average of 26.4 points. The Falcons had a mixed performance at home, recording a 1-3 record in their last four home games but managing to win three of their last five overall. In contrast, the Saints had a record of 5-5 in their last ten games and were on a four-game winning streak, averaging 17.8 points scored and 20.4 points allowed. They performed better away, with a 3-3 record on the road.
In terms of injuries, the Falcons had several key players affected, including Michael Penix Jr. and Billy Bowman Jr., both listed as questionable. Additionally, Keshawn Banks, JD Bertrand, and Anterio Thompson were on injured reserve. The Saints faced similar challenges, with Alvin Kamara and Kendre Miller also listed as questionable, while Lorenzo Styles Jr., Jaylan Ford, and David Long Jr. were on injured reserve.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Falcons favored by 3.5 points, with a total set at 43.5. The moneyline for the Falcons was -192.0, while the Saints were at 160.0.
Conditions during the game were typical for a January matchup, with both teams needing to adapt to the atmosphere at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons' ability to maintain their home advantage was crucial in this tightly contested game.
Viewers were treated to a hard-fought battle, with both defenses stepping up at critical moments. The Falcons' recent form and home-field advantage ultimately played a significant role in their victory, further solidifying their position in the rivalry against the Saints.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ATL -3.5 | 43.5 o -115 / u -105 | New Orleans Saints +160 · Atlanta Falcons -192 |
Injury report
- Michael Penix Jr.QuestionableKnee - ACLAtlanta Falcons
- Keshawn BanksInjured ReserveUndisclosedAtlanta Falcons
- JD BertrandInjured ReserveUndisclosedAtlanta Falcons
- Anterio ThompsonOutUndisclosedAtlanta Falcons
- Billy Bowman Jr.QuestionableAchillesAtlanta Falcons
- Alvin KamaraQuestionableKnee - MCLNew Orleans Saints
- Kendre MillerQuestionableUndisclosedNew Orleans Saints
- Lorenzo Styles Jr.Injured ReserveCalfNew Orleans Saints
- Jaylan FordInjured ReserveUndisclosedNew Orleans Saints
- David Long Jr.Injured ReserveUndisclosedNew Orleans Saints
Leaders
- Passing yardsKirk Cousins18/32, 180 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INTAtlanta Falcons
- Rushing yardsBijan Robinson15 CAR, 33 YDSAtlanta Falcons
- Receiving yardsDrake London4 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TDAtlanta Falcons
- Passing yardsTyler Shough23/35, 259 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INTNew Orleans Saints
- Rushing yardsAudric Estime21 CAR, 63 YDSNew Orleans Saints
- Receiving yardsJuwan Johnson3 REC, 61 YDSNew Orleans Saints
Recent form
Atlanta Falcons
Last 10: 4-6Streak W322.4 scored · 26.4 allowed per game1-3 at home
- W27-24vs Los Angeles RamsDec 30
- W26-19at Arizona CardinalsDec 21
- W29-28at Tampa Bay BuccaneersDec 12
- L9-37vs Seattle SeahawksDec 7
- L24-27at New York JetsNov 30
- W24-10at New Orleans SaintsNov 23
- L27-30vs Carolina PanthersNov 16
- L25-31at Indianapolis ColtsNov 9
- L23-24at New England PatriotsNov 2
- L10-34vs Miami DolphinsOct 26
New Orleans Saints
Last 10: 5-5Streak W417.8 scored · 20.4 allowed per game3-3 away
- W34-26at Tennessee TitansDec 28
- W29-6vs New York JetsDec 21
- W20-17vs Carolina PanthersDec 14
- W24-20at Tampa Bay BuccaneersDec 7
- L17-21at Miami DolphinsNov 30
- L10-24vs Atlanta FalconsNov 23
- W17-7at Carolina PanthersNov 9
- L10-34at Los Angeles RamsNov 2
- L3-23vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersOct 26
- L14-26at Chicago BearsOct 19
Standings
| Team | Lost | Points against | Points for | Tied | Win % | Won | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | 1 | 89 | 97 | 0 | .750 | 3 | 3-1 |
| Tampa Bay | 1 | 50 | 40 | 0 | .667 | 2 | 2-1 |
| Atlanta | 1 | 45 | 58 | 0 | .667 | 2 | 2-1 |
| New Orleans | 2 | 82 | 47 | 0 | .333 | 1 | 1-2 |
Box score
| Stat | New Orleans Saints | Atlanta Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 16 | 14 |
| First downs passing | 10 | 11 |
| First downs rushing | 5 | 2 |
| First downs by penalty | 1 | 1 |
| Third downs | 5-16 | 4-14 |
| Fourth downs | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Offensive plays | 65 | 61 |
| Total yards | 340 | 208 |
| Yards per play | 5.2 | 3.4 |
| Drives | 11 | 12 |
| Net passing yards | 232 | 159 |
| Completions | 23/35 | 18/32 |
| Yards per pass | 5.9 | 4.4 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks allowed | 4-27 | 4-21 |
| Rushing yards | 108 | 49 |
| Rushing attempts | 26 | 25 |
| Yards per rush | 4.2 | 2.0 |
| Red zone trips | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Penalties | 6-40 | 5-42 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Defensive touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 31:19 | 28:41 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Atlanta Falcons, below favours New Orleans Saints.
Venue
- Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta, GA
- Attendance69512
- OfficialsBarry Anderson, Ronald Torbert, Keith Washington, Ryan Dickson, Brian Bolinger, Frank LeBlanc, Courtney Brown
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These two, other days
- Falcons Defeat Saints 45-24 in NFL ShowdownOct 5, 2026
- Falcons Defeat Saints in Key NFC South MatchupNov 23, 2025