Maple Leafs Edge Islanders 2-1 in Close Contest
Wednesday, September 30, 2026, 7:30 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, New York Islanders 1, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
Toronto Maple Leafs beat New York Islanders 2-1 at Scotiabank Arena on September 30, 2026.
Who was favored in New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
Toronto Maple Leafs were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -142 (about 59% implied). The favorite won.
In a tightly contested matchup at Scotiabank Arena, the Toronto Maple Leafs secured a narrow 2-1 victory over the New York Islanders. This win marks the Maple Leafs' second victory in their last three games against the Islanders, as they now lead the series 1-0 for the current season. The game was characterized by strong defensive plays and timely scoring, with both teams showcasing their capabilities despite their recent struggles.
The Maple Leafs entered this game with a record of 1-1-0, while the Islanders were still seeking their first win of the season, holding a record of 0-1-0. Toronto has struggled in recent outings, with a dismal 1-9 record over their last ten games, including an eight-game losing streak. Their scoring average during this stretch has been 2.6 goals per game, while they have allowed an average of 4.7 goals against. In contrast, the Islanders have fared slightly better, with a 3-7 record in their last ten games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 3.5 goals allowed.
At home, the Maple Leafs have struggled, with a record of 0-4 in their last four home games. They have shown a tendency to allow more goals than they score, which has contributed to their recent poor form. The Islanders, on the other hand, have a home record of 3-5 but have yet to secure a win on the road this season, falling to 0-2 away from home.
The previous meetings between these two teams have favored the Islanders, who had won all three encounters earlier in the year. The most recent matchup prior to this game took place on April 9, 2026, where the Islanders defeated the Maple Leafs 5-3. However, the Maple Leafs were able to turn the tide in this latest encounter, showcasing their resilience and ability to adapt.
In terms of injuries, the Maple Leafs were without several key players, including Dakota Joshua, Max Domi, Cade Webber, Elvis Merzlikins, and William Villeneuve, all of whom were on injured reserve. The Islanders also faced challenges, with Mathew Barzal sidelined due to a knee injury. The absence of these players undoubtedly impacted both teams' strategies and lineups.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Maple Leafs as favorites at -142, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 5.5. The odds for the over were -135, while the under was priced at 114. This indicates that the market anticipated a closely matched game, which was reflected in the final score.
The conditions for the game were typical for early-season hockey, with both teams adjusting to the pace and physicality that comes with the NHL. Fans watched for standout performances and strategic adjustments, particularly in how each team responded to their recent form and the challenges posed by their opponents.
The scoring plays in the game highlighted the Maple Leafs' ability to capitalize on their opportunities. Colton Sissons opened the scoring for Toronto with a tip-in goal in the first period, assisted by Nicholas Paul and Easton Cowan. Easton Cowan then doubled the lead with a wrist shot, assisted by Jack Roslovic and Morgan Rielly. The Islanders managed to pull one back in the third period with a goal from Emil Heineman, assisted by Bo Horvat, but it was not enough to overcome the deficit.
Overall, this matchup not only showcased the competitive spirit of both teams but also highlighted the Maple Leafs' determination to break their losing streak and assert themselves in the early season.
What we said beforehand
The Toronto Maple Leafs will face the New York Islanders at Scotiabank Arena on September 30, 2026, in a matchup that promises to be intriguing given both teams' recent struggles. The Maple Leafs enter the game with a home record of 0-1-0, while the Islanders have yet to play an away game this season, holding an away record of 0-0-0.
Toronto has had a challenging start to their season, losing their last five games. Their most recent outing ended in a 3-2 defeat against the Montreal Canadiens on September 29, 2026. Prior to that, they lost to the Canadiens 4-1 and 4-3 in overtime on September 19, 2026, and also managed a couple of wins against the Ottawa Senators, winning 4-2 and 6-1 on September 23, 2026. Over their last five games, the Maple Leafs have averaged 2.6 goals scored and allowed 4.6 goals, highlighting their defensive struggles.
In contrast, the New York Islanders have also faced difficulties, losing their last three games. Their last match resulted in a 4-1 loss to the New Jersey Devils on September 26, 2026. The Islanders have a recent record of 1-4, with their only win coming against the New York Rangers, where they triumphed 4-3 on September 22, 2026. They have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 3.2 goals allowed in their last five games, indicating their own offensive challenges.
When it comes to home and away performance, the Maple Leafs have struggled significantly at home, with a record of 0-4 in their last ten home games and a streak of eight consecutive losses at home. They have averaged 2.6 goals scored and allowed 4.7 goals per game during this stretch. The Islanders, while having a home record of 3-5, have not yet played away this season, making this game a critical test for them.
In their previous meetings this season, the Islanders have had the upper hand against the Maple Leafs, winning all three encounters. The last matchup took place on April 9, 2026, where the Islanders won 5-3. Earlier in the season, they also defeated the Maple Leafs 3-1 on March 17, 2026, and 4-3 on January 4, 2026. This trend of the Islanders dominating the head-to-head series could add pressure on the Maple Leafs to turn the tide.
In terms of injuries, the Maple Leafs are dealing with several key players on Injured Reserve, including Dakota Joshua (abdomen), Max Domi (back), Cade Webber (elbow), Elvis Merzlikins (shoulder), and William Villeneuve (knee). The Islanders are also missing Mathew Barzal, who is on Injured Reserve with a knee injury. The absence of these players could significantly impact both teams' performance.
According to DraftKings, the odds for the game are set with the Maple Leafs at -142 on the money line, while the Islanders are at +120. The spread is set at -1.5 for the Maple Leafs, with a total of 5.5 goals for the game. The over odds are -135, and the under odds are 114.
As the game approaches, viewers should watch for how the Maple Leafs respond to their recent home struggles and whether they can break their losing streak. The performance of William Nylander will be crucial, as he leads the Maple Leafs with 2 goals and 2 points this season. Additionally, the Islanders will need to find a way to generate offense without Barzal, who is a significant part of their attack. The outcome of this matchup could hinge on which team can better adapt to their current challenges.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TOR -142 | 5.5 o -135 / u +114 | New York Islanders +120 · Toronto Maple Leafs -142 |
Injury report
- Dakota JoshuaInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs
- Max DomiInjured ReserveBackToronto Maple Leafs
- Cade WebberInjured ReserveElbowToronto Maple Leafs
- Elvis MerzlikinsInjured ReserveShoulderToronto Maple Leafs
- William VilleneuveInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs
- Mathew BarzalInjured ReserveKneeNew York Islanders
Leaders
- GoalsEaston Cowan1Toronto Maple Leafs
- AssistsEaston Cowan1Toronto Maple Leafs
- PointsEaston Cowan2Toronto Maple Leafs
- GoalsEmil Heineman1New York Islanders
- AssistsBo Horvat1New York Islanders
- PointsEmil Heineman1New York Islanders
Recent form
Toronto Maple Leafs
Last 10: 1-9Streak L82.6 scored · 4.7 allowed per game0-4 at home
- L2-3vs Montreal CanadiensSep 29
- L1-3at Ottawa SenatorsApr 15
- L5-6vs Dallas StarsApr 13
- L2-6vs Florida PanthersApr 11
- L3-5at New York IslandersApr 9
- L0-4vs Washington CapitalsApr 8
- L6-7at Los Angeles KingsApr 4
- L1-4at San Jose SharksApr 3
- W5-4at Anaheim DucksMar 31
- L1-5at St. Louis BluesMar 28
New York Islanders
Last 10: 3-7Streak L32.4 scored · 3.5 allowed per game0-2 away
- L1-2vs Carolina HurricanesApr 14
- L1-4vs Montreal CanadiensApr 12
- L0-3vs Ottawa SenatorsApr 11
- W5-3vs Toronto Maple LeafsApr 9
- L3-4at Carolina HurricanesApr 4
- L1-4vs Philadelphia FlyersApr 3
- L3-4at Buffalo SabresMar 31
- L3-8vs Pittsburgh PenguinsMar 30
- W5-2vs Florida PanthersMar 28
- W2-1vs Dallas StarsMar 26
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Carolina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Washington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| New Jersey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Columbus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NY Islanders | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| NY Rangers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Philadelphia | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Boston | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Montreal | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Florida | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Toronto | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Detroit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Buffalo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ottawa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Box score
| Stat | New York Islanders | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 11 | 21 |
| Hits | 24 | 19 |
| Takeaways | 4 | 4 |
| Shots total | 27 | 26 |
| Power play goals | 0 | 1 |
| Power play opportunities | 4 | 4 |
| Power play pct | 0.0 | 25.0 |
| Short handed goals | 1 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 20 | 30 |
| Faceoff percent | 40.0 | 60.0 |
| Giveaways | 12 | 15 |
| Penalties | 4 | 4 |
| Penalty minutes | 8 | 8 |
How the scoring went
- 1st0-1Colton Sissons Goal (1) Tip-In, assists: Nicholas Paul (1), Easton Cowan (2)
- 1st0-2Easton Cowan Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: John (Jack) Roslovic (1), Morgan Rielly (2)
- 3rd1-2Emil Heineman Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Bo Horvat (1)
Venue
- Scotiabank ArenaToronto
- OfficialsKiel Murchison, Trevor Hanson, Brandon Gawryletz, Brandon Blandina
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