Islanders Edge Maple Leafs in Overtime Thriller
Saturday, January 3, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · UBS Arena
New York Islanders 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders?
New York Islanders beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 at UBS Arena on January 3, 2026.
Who was favored in Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders?
Toronto Maple Leafs were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -115 (about 53% implied). The underdog won.
In a thrilling overtime showdown, the New York Islanders triumphed over the Toronto Maple Leafs with a final score of 4-3 at UBS Arena. This victory marked the Islanders' second consecutive win against the Maple Leafs this season, having previously defeated them 6-3 in December. The Islanders now lead the season series 1-0.
The game showcased a competitive spirit, with both teams demonstrating their offensive capabilities. The Islanders, who have a home record of 23-15-4, have been inconsistent lately, going 5-5 in their last ten games. They have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.8 goals allowed during this stretch. Their recent form includes a tough 2-7 loss to the Utah Mammoth on January 1, followed by a 3-2 win against the Chicago Blackhawks on December 31. The Islanders' home performance has been slightly better, with a record of 4-2 in their last six home games, though they are currently on a one-game losing streak.
On the other hand, the Maple Leafs, with an away record of 19-15-7, have also struggled for consistency, posting a 5-5 record in their last ten games. They have averaged 3.5 goals scored and 3.8 goals allowed in that span. Their most recent outing was a high-scoring 6-5 victory over the Winnipeg Jets on January 2, which followed a 4-0 win against the New Jersey Devils on December 31. Despite their offensive prowess, the Maple Leafs have faced challenges on the road, suffering four consecutive losses prior to their recent win.
In terms of injuries, the Maple Leafs were significantly impacted, missing key players such as Auston Matthews, who is out due to a knee injury, and Max Domi, who is sidelined with a back issue. Additionally, Zack MacEwen and Chris Tanev are on injured reserve, while Dakota Joshua is also out with an upper body injury. These absences undoubtedly affected the Maple Leafs' lineup and overall performance.
The betting market reflected a close contest, with DraftKings setting the odds at Toronto -115 and New York Islanders at -105 for the money line. The spread was set at 1.5, with a total of 5.5 goals, indicating expectations of a competitive game. The over odds were listed at -120, while the under was at 100.
The game conditions were conducive to an exciting matchup, with both teams looking to capitalize on their scoring opportunities. The scoring plays unfolded dramatically, beginning with Adam Pelech's goal for the Islanders in the second period, followed by two quick goals from Auston Matthews, giving the Maple Leafs a brief lead. However, the Islanders responded with goals from Matthew Schaefer and Emil Heineman, tying the game and forcing overtime.
In the overtime period, Matthew Schaefer netted the game-winner, sealing the victory for the Islanders. This game not only highlighted the resilience of the Islanders but also the challenges faced by the Maple Leafs, particularly with their injury-riddled roster. Fans can expect continued intensity in the upcoming matchups as both teams strive to improve their standings in the league.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TOR -115 | 5.5 o -120 / u +100 | Toronto Maple Leafs -115 · New York Islanders -105 |
Injury report
- Zack MacEwenInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs
- Max DomiOutBackToronto Maple Leafs
- Dakota JoshuaOutUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
- Auston MatthewsOutKneeToronto Maple Leafs
- Chris TanevInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs
Leaders
- GoalsMatthew Schaefer2New York Islanders
- AssistsMathew Barzal2New York Islanders
- PointsMatthew Schaefer2New York Islanders
- GoalsAuston Matthews2Toronto Maple Leafs
- AssistsMax Domi1Toronto Maple Leafs
- PointsAuston Matthews2Toronto Maple Leafs
Recent form
New York Islanders
Last 10: 5-5Streak L12.4 scored · 2.8 allowed per game4-2 at home
- L2-7vs Utah MammothJan 1
- W3-2at Chicago BlackhawksDec 31
- L2-4at Columbus Blue JacketsDec 28
- W2-0vs New York RangersDec 27
- W2-1vs New Jersey DevilsDec 24
- L2-3at Buffalo SabresDec 20
- L1-4vs Vancouver CanucksDec 20
- L2-3at Detroit Red WingsDec 17
- W3-2vs Tampa Bay LightningDec 13
- W5-2vs Anaheim DucksDec 12
Toronto Maple Leafs
Last 10: 5-5Streak W23.5 scored · 3.8 allowed per game0-4 away
- W6-5vs Winnipeg JetsJan 2
- W4-0vs New Jersey DevilsDec 31
- L2-3at Detroit Red WingsDec 29
- W7-5vs Ottawa SenatorsDec 28
- W6-3vs Pittsburgh PenguinsDec 23
- L1-5at Dallas StarsDec 22
- L3-5at Nashville PredatorsDec 21
- L0-4at Washington CapitalsDec 19
- W3-2vs Chicago BlackhawksDec 17
- L3-6vs Edmonton OilersDec 14
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 9 | 23 | 109 | 50 |
| Tampa Bay | 6 | 26 | 106 | 50 |
| Montreal | 10 | 24 | 106 | 48 |
| Boston | 10 | 27 | 100 | 45 |
| Ottawa | 11 | 27 | 99 | 44 |
| Detroit | 10 | 31 | 92 | 41 |
| Florida | 4 | 38 | 84 | 40 |
| Toronto | 14 | 36 | 78 | 32 |
| Carolina | 7 | 22 | 113 | 53 |
| Pittsburgh | 16 | 25 | 98 | 41 |
| Philadelphia | 12 | 27 | 98 | 43 |
| Washington | 9 | 30 | 95 | 43 |
| Columbus | 12 | 30 | 92 | 40 |
| NY Islanders | 5 | 34 | 91 | 43 |
| New Jersey | 3 | 37 | 87 | 42 |
| NY Rangers | 9 | 39 | 77 | 34 |
Box score
| Stat | Toronto Maple Leafs | New York Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 11 | 11 |
| Hits | 19 | 21 |
| Takeaways | 2 | 6 |
| Shots total | 21 | 25 |
| Power play goals | 0 | 0 |
| Power play opportunities | 1 | 1 |
| Power play pct | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Short handed goals | 0 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 32 | 24 |
| Faceoff percent | 57.1 | 42.9 |
| Giveaways | 19 | 17 |
| Penalties | 2 | 2 |
| Penalty minutes | 4 | 4 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd0-1Adam Pelech Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Jonathan Drouin (15)
- 2nd1-1Auston Matthews Goal (19) Wrist Shot, assists: none
- 2nd2-1Auston Matthews Goal (20) Snap Shot, assists: Bobby McMann (10), Max Domi (15)
- 3rd2-2Matthew Schaefer Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Jonathan Drouin (16), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (10)
- 3rd3-2Nicholas Robertson Goal (9) Snap Shot, assists: Nicolas Roy (11)
- 3rd3-3Emil Heineman Goal (13) Snap Shot, assists: Mathew Barzal (21), Tony DeAngelo (13)
- OT3-4Matthew Schaefer Goal (12) Snap Shot, assists: Mathew Barzal (22), Emil Heineman (7)
Venue
- UBS ArenaElmont, NY
- Attendance17255
- OfficialsJean Hebert, Peter MacDougall, Libor Suchanek, Shawn Oliver
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These two, other days
- Islanders Defeat Maple Leafs 4-1 in NHL ClashOct 17, 2026
- Maple Leafs Edge Islanders 2-1 in Close ContestSep 30, 2026
- Islanders Defeat Maple Leafs 5-3 in Thrilling MatchupApr 9, 2026
- Islanders Defeat Maple Leafs 3-1 in TorontoMar 17, 2026