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NCAAB · Final

Old Dominion Monarchs Upset Arkansas State Red Wolves

Wednesday, January 28, 2026, 8:00 PM ET · First National Bank Arena

Old Dominion Monarchs 75, Arkansas State Red Wolves 71, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Old Dominion Monarchs vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

Old Dominion Monarchs beat Arkansas State Red Wolves 75-71 at First National Bank Arena on January 28, 2026.

Who was favored in Old Dominion Monarchs vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

Arkansas State Red Wolves were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -575 (about 85% implied). The underdog won.

In a surprising turn of events, the Old Dominion Monarchs defeated the Arkansas State Red Wolves 75-71 at the First National Bank Arena. This victory marks a significant achievement for Old Dominion, who came into the game with a record of 7-15, while Arkansas State held a 13-9 record. The Monarchs' performance is particularly noteworthy given their recent struggles, as they had lost their last game against the Troy Trojans and had only won three of their last ten matches.

Old Dominion's recent form shows a record of 3-7 over their last ten games, averaging 74.3 points scored and allowing 77.0 points. In contrast, Arkansas State had a record of 6-4 in their last ten games, averaging 85.9 points scored while allowing 79.3 points. Despite the Red Wolves having a higher scoring average, they faced a tough challenge from the Monarchs, who managed to execute their game plan effectively.

At home, Arkansas State had a record of 3-1 in their last four games, while Old Dominion struggled more on the road, with a record of 1-4 in their last five away games. This game was crucial for both teams, as they looked to improve their standings in the league. The previous meeting between these two teams took place on January 3, 2025, where Arkansas State emerged victorious with a score of 78-59.

In terms of injuries, the block does not specify any noteworthy absences that impacted the game, suggesting both teams were at full strength. The market had Arkansas State favored by 9.5 points, according to DraftKings, with a total set at 159.5. The odds indicated a strong expectation for Arkansas State to win, but Old Dominion defied those expectations.

The game conditions were conducive to a competitive atmosphere, with both teams showing determination and skill. Viewers were treated to a thrilling contest, highlighted by key scoring plays in the second half. Christian Harmon made a crucial 25-foot three-point step-back jumper, extending Old Dominion's lead to 70-67. He followed this up with a free throw, further solidifying their advantage.

As the game progressed, KC Shaw and LJ Thomas contributed from the free-throw line, helping Old Dominion maintain their lead. The Monarchs' ability to capitalize on free throws in the closing moments proved decisive, as they secured a 75-71 victory, showcasing their resilience and strategic execution against a higher-ranked opponent.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsARST -9.5 159.5 o -108 / u -112 Old Dominion Monarchs +425 · Arkansas State Red Wolves -575

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Leaders

  • PointsChristian Harmon20Arkansas State Red Wolves
  • AssistsChandler Jackson8Arkansas State Red Wolves
  • ReboundsJalen Hampton12Arkansas State Red Wolves
  • PointsJordan Battle20Old Dominion Monarchs
  • AssistsJordan Battle6Old Dominion Monarchs
  • ReboundsCaelum Swanton-Rodger9Old Dominion Monarchs

Recent form

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Last 10: 6-4Streak L185.9 scored · 79.3 allowed per game3-1 at home

  • L81-82at Georgia State PanthersJan 24
  • W85-68at Georgia Southern EaglesJan 23
  • L74-99at Troy TrojansJan 17
  • L87-91at South Alabama JaguarsJan 16
  • W83-82vs Texas State BobcatsJan 10
  • W86-74vs Troy TrojansJan 8
  • L74-78vs James Madison DukesJan 3
  • W107-63vs Arkansas Tech Wonder BoysDec 31
  • W93-86at Southern Miss Golden EaglesDec 20
  • W89-70at Texas State BobcatsDec 18

Old Dominion Monarchs

Last 10: 3-7Streak L174.3 scored · 77 allowed per game2-3 away

  • L77-83vs Troy TrojansJan 22
  • W75-73at App State MountaineersJan 17
  • L84-87at Georgia Southern EaglesJan 16
  • L69-70at James Madison DukesJan 10
  • W70-66at Coastal Carolina ChanticleersJan 9
  • L86-93vs Georgia Southern EaglesJan 3
  • L73-81vs App State MountaineersDec 31
  • L58-73at Maryland TerrapinsDec 28
  • L74-76vs Coastal Carolina ChanticleersDec 20
  • W77-68vs James Madison DukesDec 18

Standings

TeamOverallGames behindIn conference
Troy22-12-12-6
South Alabama21-12111-7
Arkansas State20-12111-7
Texas State19-13111-7
Marshall19-13111-7
Coastal Carolina19-13111-7
App State19-13111-7
James Madison18-1539-9
Southern Miss19-1639-9
Georgia Southern21-1648-10
Old Dominion12-2157-11
Louisiana11-2257-11
Georgia State10-2257-11
UL Monroe4-28111-17

Box score

StatOld Dominion MonarchsArkansas State Red Wolves
Field goals28-6225-60
Field goal %4542
Three-pointers8-2310-30
Three-point %3533
Free throws11-1411-17
Free throw %7965
Rebounds3342
Offensive rebounds511
Defensive rebounds2831
Assists1916
Steals79
Blocks23
Turnovers915
Team turnovers00
Technical fouls00
Technical fouls, total00
Flagrant fouls00
Points off turnovers810
Fast-break points410
Points in the paint3230
Fouls1714
Largest lead101
Lead changes22
Time in front961

How the scoring went

  1. 2nd Half41-33Jordan Battle makes 24-foot three point jumper (LJ Thomas assists)
  2. 2nd Half42-33Jordan Battle makes free throw 1 of 1
  3. 2nd Half42-35Jalen Hampton makes layup (Chandler Jackson assists)
  4. 2nd Half44-35Caelum Swanton-Rodger makes 4-foot hook shot (Jordan Battle assists)
  5. 2nd Half44-37Christian Harmon makes 6-foot jumper
  6. 2nd Half46-37Caelum Swanton-Rodger makes 0-foot tip in dunk
  7. 2nd Half46-39Matt Hayman makes layup
  8. 2nd Half46-41TJ Caldwell makes driving layup
  9. 2nd Half48-41Caelum Swanton-Rodger makes 3-foot dunk (Jordan Battle assists)
  10. 2nd Half48-43Christian Harmon makes driving layup
  11. 2nd Half50-43KC Shaw makes layup (Jared Turner assists)
  12. 2nd Half52-43LJ Thomas makes layup
  13. 2nd Half52-46TJ Caldwell makes 25-foot three point jumper (Chandler Jackson assists)
  14. 2nd Half55-46Jared Turner makes 24-foot three point jumper (LJ Thomas assists)
  15. 2nd Half55-47Chandler Jackson makes free throw 1 of 2
  16. 2nd Half56-47Jordan Battle makes free throw 1 of 2
  17. 2nd Half57-47Jordan Battle makes free throw 2 of 2
  18. 2nd Half57-49Chandler Jackson makes 6-foot jumper
  19. 2nd Half57-51Chudi Dioramma makes layup (Chandler Jackson assists)
  20. 2nd Half57-54Chandler Jackson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Matt Hayman assists)
  21. 2nd Half59-54KC Shaw makes 9-foot floating jump shot (Jordan Battle assists)
  22. 2nd Half59-57Joey Chammaa makes 25-foot three point jumper (Matt Hayman assists)
  23. 2nd Half61-57Drew McKenna makes layup (KC Shaw assists)
  24. 2nd Half61-60Matt Hayman makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jalen Hampton assists)
  25. 2nd Half61-61Chudi Dioramma makes free throw 1 of 2
  26. 2nd Half63-61KC Shaw makes 8-foot jumper (Jordan Battle assists)
  27. 2nd Half63-62Jalen Hampton makes free throw 1 of 2
  28. 2nd Half63-63Jalen Hampton makes free throw 2 of 2
  29. 2nd Half65-63LJ Thomas makes 16-foot step back jumpshot
  30. 2nd Half68-63Jordan Battle makes 25-foot three point jumper (KC Shaw assists)
  31. 2nd Half68-64TJ Caldwell makes free throw 2 of 2
  32. 2nd Half70-64KC Shaw makes 8-foot jumper (LJ Thomas assists)
  33. 2nd Half70-67Christian Harmon makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
  34. 2nd Half70-68Christian Harmon makes free throw 1 of 2
  35. 2nd Half71-68KC Shaw makes free throw 1 of 2
  36. 2nd Half72-68KC Shaw makes free throw 2 of 2
  37. 2nd Half73-68LJ Thomas makes free throw 1 of 2
  38. 2nd Half73-71Christian Harmon makes 24-foot three point jumper (Chandler Jackson assists)
  39. 2nd Half74-71KC Shaw makes free throw 1 of 2
  40. 2nd Half75-71KC Shaw makes free throw 2 of 2

Win probability

Above the line favours Arkansas State Red Wolves, below favours Old Dominion Monarchs.

Venue

  • First National Bank ArenaJonesboro, AR
  • Attendance4776
  • OfficialsLuke Chittum, Trey Styons, Donta Carter

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.