Ole Miss Edges Mississippi State in Close Contest
Saturday, January 17, 2026, 8:30 PM ET · Humphrey Coliseum
Ole Miss Rebels 68, Mississippi State Bulldogs 67, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
Ole Miss Rebels beat Mississippi State Bulldogs 68-67 at Humphrey Coliseum on January 17, 2026.
Who was favored in Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
Mississippi State Bulldogs were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -185 (about 65% implied). The underdog won.
In a thrilling matchup, the Ole Miss Rebels narrowly defeated the Mississippi State Bulldogs with a final score of 68-67. This game, held at Humphrey Coliseum, showcased the intensity of rivalry basketball in the NCAAB, as both teams battled fiercely for supremacy in the SEC.
Entering this contest, Mississippi State had a home record of 10-8, while Ole Miss boasted an away record of 11-7. The Bulldogs had shown strong form over their last ten games with a record of 7-3, although they were currently on a two-game losing streak. Their average points scored during this stretch was 80.4, while they allowed an average of 75.7 points per game. In contrast, Ole Miss had a more mixed performance with a record of 5-5 in their last ten games, but they were riding a two-game winning streak. The Rebels averaged 74.6 points scored and allowed 73.4 points during this period.
At home, Mississippi State had a record of 4-2 in their last six games, while Ole Miss struggled on the road with a 1-3 record in their last four away games. The previous meetings between these two teams favored Mississippi State, who had won both encounters in the 2025 season, including a closely contested game earlier that season where they triumphed 84-81.
In terms of injuries, the block did not specify any key players missing from either team, suggesting both squads were at full strength for this critical matchup. The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had Mississippi State as 3.5-point favorites, with a total set at 147.5 points. The odds indicated a home money line of -185.0 for Mississippi State and +154.0 for Ole Miss.
The conditions for the game were typical for January, with both teams likely facing the usual challenges of mid-season basketball, including fatigue and the need for strategic adjustments. Viewers were treated to a showcase of skills, with notable scoring plays in the second half that highlighted the competitive nature of the game. Key moments included a layup by Ilias Kamardine that pushed Ole Miss ahead, followed by a series of free throws and jump shots that kept the game tight until the final buzzer.
As the game unfolded, Mississippi State fought hard to regain control, but Ole Miss's late-game execution proved decisive. The final moments saw Josh Hubbard contribute crucial free throws that brought the Bulldogs to a 67-66 lead before Patton Pinkins sealed the game for Ole Miss with a jumper, ultimately leading to their victory.
This matchup not only showcased the rivalry between the two teams but also highlighted their contrasting forms and strategies, making it a notable event in the NCAAB calendar.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | MSST -3.5 | 147.5 o -115 / u -105 | Ole Miss Rebels +154 · Mississippi State Bulldogs -185 |
Leaders
- PointsJayden Epps14Mississippi State Bulldogs
- AssistsJosh Hubbard5Mississippi State Bulldogs
- ReboundsSergej Macura11Mississippi State Bulldogs
- PointsIlias Kamardine17Ole Miss Rebels
- AssistsIlias Kamardine5Ole Miss Rebels
- ReboundsMalik Dia11Ole Miss Rebels
Recent form
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Last 10: 7-3Streak L280.4 scored · 75.7 allowed per game4-2 at home
- L82-97vs Alabama Crimson TideJan 14
- L68-92at Kentucky WildcatsJan 11
- W72-53vs Oklahoma SoonersJan 8
- W101-98at Texas LonghornsJan 3
- W94-56vs Alabama State HornetsDec 30
- W71-66vs Memphis TigersDec 20
- W87-83vs Long Island University SharksDec 17
- W82-74at Utah UtesDec 14
- L62-65vs San Francisco DonsDec 7
- W85-73at Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsDec 4
Ole Miss Rebels
Last 10: 5-5Streak W274.6 scored · 73.4 allowed per game1-3 away
- W97-95at Georgia BulldogsJan 15
- W76-69vs Missouri TigersJan 10
- L87-94vs Arkansas RazorbacksJan 8
- L70-86at Oklahoma SoonersJan 3
- W79-43vs Alcorn State BravesDec 30
- L62-76at NC State WolfpackDec 21
- W80-66vs Alabama A&M BulldogsDec 18
- W71-67vs Southern Miss Golden EaglesDec 13
- L58-63at St. John's Red StormDec 7
- L66-75vs Miami HurricanesDec 3
Standings
| Team | Overall | Games behind | In conference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 27-8 | - | 16-2 |
| Arkansas | 28-9 | 3 | 13-5 |
| Alabama | 25-10 | 3 | 13-5 |
| Vanderbilt | 27-9 | 5 | 11-7 |
| Tennessee | 25-12 | 5 | 11-7 |
| Texas A&M | 22-12 | 5 | 11-7 |
| Georgia | 22-11 | 6 | 10-8 |
| Kentucky | 22-14 | 6 | 10-8 |
| Missouri | 20-13 | 6 | 10-8 |
| Texas | 21-15 | 7 | 9-9 |
| Auburn | 22-16 | 9 | 7-11 |
| Oklahoma | 21-16 | 9 | 7-11 |
| Mississippi State | 13-19 | 11 | 5-13 |
| Ole Miss | 15-20 | 12 | 4-14 |
| South Carolina | 13-19 | 12 | 4-14 |
| LSU | 15-17 | 13 | 3-15 |
Box score
| Stat | Ole Miss Rebels | Mississippi State Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 29-71 | 24-65 |
| Field goal % | 41 | 37 |
| Three-pointers | 2-20 | 5-27 |
| Three-point % | 10 | 19 |
| Free throws | 8-10 | 14-23 |
| Free throw % | 80 | 61 |
| Rebounds | 43 | 46 |
| Offensive rebounds | 11 | 14 |
| Defensive rebounds | 32 | 32 |
| Assists | 6 | 12 |
| Steals | 3 | 3 |
| Blocks | 3 | 5 |
| Turnovers | 5 | 8 |
| Team turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 8 | 2 |
| Fast-break points | 3 | 7 |
| Points in the paint | 34 | 36 |
| Fouls | 17 | 12 |
| Largest lead | 5 | 11 |
| Lead changes | 13 | 13 |
| Time in front | 33 | 58 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Half30-32Jayden Epps makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half32-32Ilias Kamardine makes 13-foot jumper
- 2nd Half34-32James Scott makes 3-foot dunk (Ilias Kamardine assists)
- 2nd Half34-35Achor Achor makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ja'Borri McGhee assists)
- 2nd Half36-35Ilias Kamardine makes 13-foot jumper
- 2nd Half38-35AJ Storr makes 11-foot jumper
- 2nd Half40-35Augusto Cassiá makes 6-foot jumper
- 2nd Half40-37Jayden Epps makes 5-foot jumper
- 2nd Half40-39Jamarion Davis-Fleming makes 0-foot tip in layup
- 2nd Half40-41Sergej Macura makes layup
- 2nd Half42-41Corey Chest makes layup
- 2nd Half44-41AJ Storr makes layup (Corey Chest assists)
- 2nd Half44-42Jayden Epps makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half44-43Jayden Epps makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half46-43Malik Dia makes 14-foot jumper
- 2nd Half46-45Shawn Jones Jr. makes 9-foot jumper
- 2nd Half46-47Jamarion Davis-Fleming makes 0-foot tip in layup
- 2nd Half48-47Ilias Kamardine makes 10-foot jumper
- 2nd Half49-47Ilias Kamardine makes free throw 1 of 1
- 2nd Half50-47Patton Pinkins makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half51-47Patton Pinkins makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half51-50Josh Hubbard makes 27-foot three point jumper
- 2nd Half51-53Ja'Borri McGhee makes 26-foot three point jumper (Josh Hubbard assists)
- 2nd Half53-53Malik Dia makes 9-foot jumper
- 2nd Half55-53AJ Storr makes 12-foot jumper
- 2nd Half55-55Jamarion Davis-Fleming makes 2-foot dunk (Josh Hubbard assists)
- 2nd Half57-55Malik Dia makes 13-foot jumper
- 2nd Half57-58Jayden Epps makes 24-foot three point jumper (Ja'Borri McGhee assists)
- 2nd Half58-58AJ Storr makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half59-58AJ Storr makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half59-59Jamarion Davis-Fleming makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half62-59AJ Storr makes 27-foot three point jumper (Ilias Kamardine assists)
- 2nd Half64-59Ilias Kamardine makes layup
- 2nd Half64-61Jamarion Davis-Fleming makes 1-foot dunk (Jayden Epps assists)
- 2nd Half64-62Sergej Macura makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half66-62AJ Storr makes 15-foot jumper
- 2nd Half66-65Josh Hubbard makes 24-foot three point jumper
- 2nd Half66-66Josh Hubbard makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half66-67Josh Hubbard makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half68-67Patton Pinkins makes 15-foot jumper
Win probability
Above the line favours Mississippi State Bulldogs, below favours Ole Miss Rebels.
Venue
- Humphrey ColiseumStarkville, MS
- Attendance9212
- OfficialsJoe Lindsay, Todd Austin, Lucas Santos
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