ENSign in
NCAAB · Final

Mercer Bears Edge Samford Bulldogs in Thriller

Saturday, February 21, 2026, 2:00 PM ET · Hawkins Arena

Mercer Bears 89, Samford Bulldogs 86, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won Samford Bulldogs vs Mercer Bears?

Mercer Bears beat Samford Bulldogs 89-86 at Hawkins Arena on February 21, 2026.

Who was favored in Samford Bulldogs vs Mercer Bears?

Mercer Bears were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -185 (about 65% implied). The favorite won.

In a thrilling matchup, the Mercer Bears narrowly defeated the Samford Bulldogs with a final score of 89-86 at Hawkins Arena. This game was particularly noteworthy as it marked the first victory for Mercer against Samford in their last four meetings, breaking a streak of three consecutive losses to the Bulldogs. The Bears improved their overall record to 19-11, while Samford fell to 16-14.

Mercer entered the game with a home record of 18-11 and had been struggling recently, holding a 6-4 record over their last ten games, but they were looking to bounce back after a loss to the Chattanooga Mocs just a day prior. In that game, Mercer lost 90-94, showcasing their offensive capabilities with an average of 81.0 points scored over their last ten games, although they also allowed an average of 76.6 points. Their recent form included two wins and three losses in their last five games, with an average of 70.6 points scored and 72.0 points allowed.

On the other hand, Samford was riding a six-game winning streak and had a record of 7-3 in their last ten games, with an impressive scoring average of 79.3 points while allowing 72.0 points. They had recently defeated The Citadel Bulldogs 78-75 and had shown strong offensive performances, averaging 80.8 points and allowing only 68.0 points in their last five games. Samford's away record was 3-2, indicating their ability to perform well outside their home venue.

The two teams had faced each other earlier in the season on February 7, 2026, where Samford won decisively 69-49. In their previous encounters, Mercer had struggled against Samford, with losses recorded in the 2025 season as well, including a 79-100 defeat on February 6, 2025, and a narrow 74-75 loss on January 16, 2025. This history added an extra layer of intensity to the matchup, as Mercer sought to turn the tide.

In terms of injuries, the block did not provide any specific details affecting either team, suggesting that both squads were at full strength for this crucial game. The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had Mercer favored by 3.5 points, with a total set at 156.5. The odds indicated a competitive matchup, reflecting the close nature of the teams' performances leading up to this game.

The conditions at Hawkins Arena were conducive to an exciting game of basketball, and the atmosphere was electric as fans filled the venue to support their teams. As the game progressed, it became a back-and-forth affair, with both teams exchanging leads and showcasing their offensive prowess.

In the final moments, Mercer managed to pull ahead, with key free throws from Baraka Okojie sealing the victory. The Bears' late-game execution proved crucial, as they capitalized on their opportunities at the charity stripe. Samford fought valiantly, but their efforts fell just short as they were unable to convert in the closing seconds.

Overall, this match not only highlighted Mercer's resilience in overcoming their previous struggles against Samford but also showcased the competitive nature of NCAAB basketball, where every game can shift the balance of momentum in the league.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsMER -3.5 156.5 o -112 / u -108 Samford Bulldogs +154 · Mercer Bears -185

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Leaders

  • PointsBaraka Okojie25Mercer Bears
  • AssistsBaraka Okojie5Mercer Bears
  • ReboundsArmani Mighty13Mercer Bears
  • PointsDylan Faulkner27Samford Bulldogs
  • AssistsKeaton Norris4Samford Bulldogs
  • ReboundsDylan Faulkner8Samford Bulldogs

Recent form

Mercer Bears

Last 10: 6-4Streak L181 scored · 76.6 allowed per game4-1 at home

  • L90-94vs Chattanooga MocsFeb 20
  • W70-54at The Citadel BulldogsFeb 14
  • W69-64vs Furman PaladinsFeb 12
  • L49-69at Samford BulldogsFeb 7
  • L75-79at Chattanooga MocsFeb 6
  • W95-81vs VMI KeydetsJan 31
  • W95-77vs UNC Greensboro SpartansJan 30
  • L77-80at Wofford TerriersJan 24
  • W88-76vs Western Carolina CatamountsJan 22
  • W102-92at UNC Greensboro SpartansJan 17

Samford Bulldogs

Last 10: 7-3Streak W679.3 scored · 72 allowed per game3-2 away

  • W78-75at The Citadel BulldogsFeb 20
  • W82-72at East Tennessee State BuccaneersFeb 14
  • W97-80vs Wofford TerriersFeb 12
  • W69-49vs Mercer BearsFeb 7
  • W78-64vs The Citadel BulldogsFeb 6
  • W88-74at Western Carolina CatamountsFeb 1
  • L73-78at Furman PaladinsJan 29
  • W75-64vs Chattanooga MocsJan 24
  • L78-88at Wofford TerriersJan 21
  • L75-76vs East Tennessee State BuccaneersJan 17

Standings

TeamOverallGames behindIn conference
East Tennessee State23-11-13-5
Mercer19-13211-7
Wofford19-13211-7
Samford18-14211-7
Furman22-13310-8
Western Carolina15-16310-8
UNC Greensboro15-1949-9
Chattanooga13-1967-11
The Citadel11-2267-11
VMI6-26121-17

Box score

StatSamford BulldogsMercer Bears
Field goals30-6432-50
Field goal %4764
Three-pointers6-167-17
Three-point %3841
Free throws20-2318-25
Free throw %8772
Rebounds2832
Offensive rebounds105
Defensive rebounds1827
Assists1216
Steals74
Blocks05
Turnovers613
Team turnovers01
Technical fouls00
Technical fouls, total00
Flagrant fouls00
Points off turnovers1810
Fast-break points614
Points in the paint3642
Fouls2220
Largest lead47
Lead changes1717
Time in front1970

How the scoring went

  1. 2nd Half58-61Cade Norris makes free throw 2 of 2
  2. 2nd Half61-61Jadin Booth makes 25-foot three point jumper (Will Shaver assists)
  3. 2nd Half62-61Jadin Booth makes free throw 1 of 1
  4. 2nd Half62-63Baraka Okojie makes layup
  5. 2nd Half64-63Dylan Faulkner makes 8-foot jumper
  6. 2nd Half64-65Quinton Perkins II makes 19-foot jumper (Zaire Williams assists)
  7. 2nd Half66-65Dylan Faulkner makes layup (Keaton Norris assists)
  8. 2nd Half67-65Dylan Faulkner makes free throw 1 of 1
  9. 2nd Half67-68Zaire Williams makes 25-foot three point jumper (Armani Mighty assists)
  10. 2nd Half68-68Keaton Norris makes free throw 1 of 2
  11. 2nd Half69-68Keaton Norris makes free throw 2 of 2
  12. 2nd Half69-69Baraka Okojie makes free throw 1 of 2
  13. 2nd Half69-70Baraka Okojie makes free throw 2 of 2
  14. 2nd Half70-70Dylan Faulkner makes free throw 1 of 2
  15. 2nd Half70-71Baraka Okojie makes free throw 1 of 2
  16. 2nd Half70-72Baraka Okojie makes free throw 2 of 2
  17. 2nd Half72-72Dylan Faulkner makes layup
  18. 2nd Half72-74Baraka Okojie makes layup
  19. 2nd Half72-75Quinton Perkins II makes free throw 1 of 2
  20. 2nd Half72-76Quinton Perkins II makes free throw 2 of 2
  21. 2nd Half74-76Isaiah Campbell-Finch makes layup (Keaton Norris assists)
  22. 2nd Half74-77Zaire Williams makes free throw 1 of 3
  23. 2nd Half74-78Zaire Williams makes free throw 2 of 3
  24. 2nd Half74-79Zaire Williams makes free throw 3 of 3
  25. 2nd Half76-79Zion Wilburn makes layup (Dylan Faulkner assists)
  26. 2nd Half78-79Dylan Faulkner makes layup
  27. 2nd Half78-80Baraka Okojie makes free throw 1 of 2
  28. 2nd Half78-81Baraka Okojie makes free throw 2 of 2
  29. 2nd Half79-81Keaton Norris makes free throw 1 of 2
  30. 2nd Half80-81Keaton Norris makes free throw 2 of 2
  31. 2nd Half80-83Connor Serven makes layup (Armani Mighty assists)
  32. 2nd Half81-83Jadin Booth makes free throw 1 of 2
  33. 2nd Half82-83Jadin Booth makes free throw 2 of 2
  34. 2nd Half82-85Armani Mighty makes layup (Connor Serven assists)
  35. 2nd Half84-85Jadin Booth makes 22-foot jumper
  36. 2nd Half84-86Baraka Okojie makes free throw 1 of 2
  37. 2nd Half84-87Baraka Okojie makes free throw 2 of 2
  38. 2nd Half84-88Baraka Okojie makes free throw 1 of 2
  39. 2nd Half84-89Baraka Okojie makes free throw 2 of 2
  40. 2nd Half86-89Dylan Faulkner makes 0-foot tip in layup

Win probability

Above the line favours Mercer Bears, below favours Samford Bulldogs.

Venue

  • Hawkins ArenaMacon, GA
  • Attendance1138
  • OfficialsPatrick Harwood, Ryan Christian, Chris McCurry

Elsewhere

Picks for NCAAB

NCAAB rules and settlement

These two, other days

Every meeting

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.