Commanders Edge Seahawks in Thrilling Finish
Sunday, September 27, 2026, 1:00 PM ET · Northwest Stadium
Washington Commanders 33, Seattle Seahawks 31, final. Our NFL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders?
Washington Commanders beat Seattle Seahawks 33-31 at Northwest Stadium on September 27, 2026.
Who was favored in Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders?
Seattle Seahawks were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -410 (about 80% implied). The underdog won.
In a dramatic showdown at Northwest Stadium, the Washington Commanders narrowly defeated the Seattle Seahawks with a final score of 33-31. This thrilling contest showcased the resilience of the Commanders, who improved their record to 2-2, while the Seahawks fell to 2-2, marking a significant shift in momentum for both teams.
The matchup was particularly compelling given the contrasting recent forms of the two teams. The Commanders entered the game with a home record of 1-2 and had struggled in their last ten games, holding a record of 2-8, including a two-game losing streak. They averaged 19.7 points scored while allowing 27.6 points per game during this stretch. In their last five games, their scoring average slightly improved to 21.4, but they continued to concede an average of 27.4 points.
On the other hand, the Seahawks had been on a remarkable run, boasting a 9-1 record over their last ten games, including a nine-game winning streak. They averaged 25.2 points scored and allowed only 13.7 points during this period, showcasing their dominance, especially in away games where they held a 5-1 record.
The injury situation played a crucial role in the game, particularly for the Commanders, who were missing key players such as Leo Chenal (neck), Frankie Luvu (groin), and Sam Cosmi (concussion). The Seahawks also faced challenges, with players like Brandon Pili (concussion) and Julian Love (calf) sidelined. The absence of these players added an extra layer of unpredictability to the contest.
The betting market reflected the Seahawks' strong form leading up to the game, with DraftKings listing them as 8.5-point favorites. The total for the game was set at 40.5 points, indicating expectations for a competitive scoring affair. The odds favored the Seahawks heavily, with a moneyline of -410, while the Commanders were listed at +320.
Conditions at Northwest Stadium were conducive to an exciting game, with clear skies and a lively atmosphere that energized both teams. Fans were treated to a back-and-forth battle, with both offenses finding ways to score despite the defensive challenges presented by injuries.
As the game unfolded, viewers were treated to a showcase of offensive prowess, with both teams displaying their ability to move the ball effectively. The Commanders' victory not only demonstrated their potential to compete in the league but also highlighted the Seahawks' vulnerabilities as they look to regroup after this setback.
In summary, the Commanders' thrilling victory over the Seahawks in this high-stakes NFL matchup provided excitement and showcased the unpredictability of the league, setting the stage for both teams' upcoming challenges.
What we said beforehand
The Seattle Seahawks enter their matchup against the Washington Commanders with a remarkable away record of 2-0, while the Commanders are still seeking their first win of the season, holding a home record of 0-2. This game, set to take place at Northwest Stadium on September 27, 2026, at 17:00 UTC, promises to be a critical fixture for both teams, particularly for the Commanders as they look to turn their season around. The Seahawks are currently on a winning streak, having won their last two games, while the Commanders are on a four-game losing streak, which includes a recent loss to the Dallas Cowboys, where they were defeated 37-20.
In their last five games, the Commanders have recorded one win and four losses, with an average of 21.4 points scored and 27.4 points allowed. Their most recent game against the Cowboys saw them struggle defensively, allowing 37 points, which is indicative of their overall defensive challenges this season. In contrast, the Seahawks have been in excellent form, winning nine of their last ten games, with an average of 24.4 points scored and only 13.4 points allowed in their last five outings. Their recent victory against the Arizona Cardinals, where they won 31-7, showcases their offensive capabilities and strong defensive performance.
When it comes to home and away performances, the Commanders have struggled at home, with a record of 0-4 in their last ten home games. They have averaged 19.7 points scored and 27.6 points allowed at home, highlighting their difficulties in both offensive production and defensive consistency. The Seahawks, however, have been dominant away, boasting a record of 5-1 in their last six away games, further emphasizing their strong form on the road.
The two teams have met once in the previous season, where the Commanders faced a heavy defeat at home, losing 38-14 to the Seahawks. This historical context adds an extra layer of challenge for the Commanders as they prepare to face a team that has already proven to be a tough opponent.
In terms of injuries, the Commanders are dealing with a significant list of players ruled out, including Javontae Jean-Baptiste, Frankie Luvu, Chig Okonkwo, Sam Cosmi, and Nick Cross. This could impact their depth and overall performance on the field. The Seahawks also have key players out, including Montorie Foster Jr., Jalen Milroe, Brandon Pili, Avery Smith, and Julian Love, which may affect their game strategy.
The market has set the odds with the Seahawks favored at -8.5 according to DraftKings, indicating a strong expectation for them to win by at least a touchdown. The total points for the game is set at 40.5, suggesting a relatively low-scoring affair compared to other matchups.
Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with a temperature of 63°F, but there is an 82% chance of precipitation and gusts of wind reaching 23 mph, which could impact gameplay, particularly in terms of passing and kicking.
As the game approaches, viewers should watch for the Seahawks' ability to maintain their offensive momentum, particularly through their passing game led by Drew Lock, who recently threw for 422 yards and four touchdowns. For the Commanders, Jayden Daniels will need to step up, having thrown for 260 yards and three touchdowns in a recent performance. The effectiveness of both teams' defenses will also be crucial, especially for the Commanders, who need to shore up their defensive issues to avoid another defeat.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | SEA -8.5 | 40.5 o -108 / u -112 | Seattle Seahawks -410 · Washington Commanders +320 |
Injury report
- Leo ChenalOutNeckWashington Commanders
- Javontae Jean-BaptisteOutCoach's DecisionWashington Commanders
- Frankie LuvuOutGroinWashington Commanders
- Chig OkonkwoOutHamstringWashington Commanders
- Sam CosmiOutConcussionWashington Commanders
- Montorie Foster Jr.OutCoach's DecisionSeattle Seahawks
- Jalen MilroeOutCoach's DecisionSeattle Seahawks
- Brandon PiliOutConcussionSeattle Seahawks
- Avery SmithOutCoach's DecisionSeattle Seahawks
- Julian LoveOutCalfSeattle Seahawks
Leaders
- Passing yardsMarcus Mariota19/31, 183 YDS, 3 TDWashington Commanders
- Rushing yardsJacory Croskey-Merritt19 CAR, 36 YDSWashington Commanders
- Receiving yardsTerry McLaurin6 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TDWashington Commanders
- Passing yardsSam Darnold31/45, 379 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INTSeattle Seahawks
- Rushing yardsJadarian Price5 CAR, 15 YDSSeattle Seahawks
- Receiving yardsJaxon Smith-Njigba10 REC, 128 YDS, 2 TDSeattle Seahawks
Recent form
Washington Commanders
Last 10: 2-8Streak L219.7 scored · 27.6 allowed per game0-4 at home
- L20-37at Dallas CowboysSep 20
- L22-24at Philadelphia EaglesSep 13
- W24-17at Philadelphia EaglesJan 4
- L23-30vs Dallas CowboysDec 25
- L18-29vs Philadelphia EaglesDec 20
- W29-21at New York GiantsDec 14
- L0-31at Minnesota VikingsDec 7
- L26-27vs Denver BroncosDec 1
- L13-16at Miami DolphinsNov 16
- L22-44vs Detroit LionsNov 9
Seattle Seahawks
Last 10: 9-1Streak W925.2 scored · 13.7 allowed per game5-1 away
- W31-7at Arizona CardinalsSep 20
- W13-10vs New England PatriotsSep 10
- W13-3at San Francisco 49ersJan 4
- W27-10at Carolina PanthersDec 28
- W38-37vs Los Angeles RamsDec 19
- W18-16vs Indianapolis ColtsDec 14
- W37-9at Atlanta FalconsDec 7
- W26-0vs Minnesota VikingsNov 30
- W30-24at Tennessee TitansNov 23
- L19-21at Los Angeles RamsNov 16
Standings
| Team | Lost | Points against | Points for | Tied | Win % | Won | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | 0 | 20 | 62 | 0 | 1.000 | 2 | 2-0 |
| Seattle | 1 | 50 | 75 | 0 | .667 | 2 | 2-1 |
| Los Angeles | 1 | 33 | 35 | 0 | .500 | 1 | 1-1 |
| Arizona | 1 | 45 | 33 | 0 | .500 | 1 | 1-1 |
| Philadelphia | 0 | 42 | 48 | 0 | 1.000 | 2 | 2-0 |
| New York | 1 | 55 | 46 | 0 | .667 | 2 | 2-1 |
| Dallas | 1 | 48 | 57 | 0 | .500 | 1 | 1-1 |
| Washington | 2 | 92 | 75 | 0 | .333 | 1 | 1-2 |
Box score
| Stat | Seattle Seahawks | Washington Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 28 | 17 |
| First downs passing | 22 | 10 |
| First downs rushing | 3 | 5 |
| First downs by penalty | 3 | 2 |
| Third downs | 3-9 | 3-13 |
| Fourth downs | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Offensive plays | 64 | 65 |
| Total yards | 437 | 258 |
| Yards per play | 6.8 | 4.0 |
| Drives | 13 | 13 |
| Net passing yards | 393 | 176 |
| Completions | 32/46 | 19/31 |
| Yards per pass | 8.5 | 5.3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks allowed | 0-0 | 2-7 |
| Rushing yards | 44 | 82 |
| Rushing attempts | 18 | 32 |
| Yards per rush | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| Red zone trips | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Penalties | 8-53 | 9-57 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Defensive touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 28:32 | 31:28 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Washington Commanders, below favours Seattle Seahawks.
Venue
- Northwest StadiumLandover, MD
- Attendance64027
- OfficialsDerick Bowers, Carl Cheffers, Martin Hankins, Nathan Jones, Dominique Pender, Derek Anderson, Quentin Givens
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