Stanford Dominates SMU in Convincing Win
Saturday, February 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET · Maples Pavilion
Stanford Cardinal 95, SMU Mustangs 75, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won SMU Mustangs vs Stanford Cardinal?
Stanford Cardinal beat SMU Mustangs 95-75 at Maples Pavilion on February 28, 2026.
Who was favored in SMU Mustangs vs Stanford Cardinal?
SMU Mustangs were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -115 (about 53% implied). The underdog won.
The Stanford Cardinal delivered a commanding performance against the SMU Mustangs, securing a decisive victory with a final score of 95-75 at Maples Pavilion. This win not only showcased Stanford's offensive prowess but also underscored their ability to bounce back after a rocky stretch in their recent form. With this result, Stanford improved their overall record to 19-11, while SMU fell to 19-10.
Stanford entered the game having won their last match against the Pittsburgh Panthers, where they triumphed 75-67. However, their recent form prior to that win had been inconsistent, with a record of 3-7 over their last ten games. They averaged 69.9 points scored per game while allowing 73.4 points, indicating a struggle on the defensive end. At home, Stanford had a record of 2-3 in their last five games, averaging 73.8 points scored and 68.6 allowed.
On the other hand, SMU had been performing relatively better, with a record of 6-4 in their last ten games prior to this matchup. They averaged 84.2 points scored and allowed 78.6 points, showcasing their high-scoring capabilities. However, they entered this game on the back of a loss to the California Golden Bears, where they fell 69-73. SMU's away record was 2-3 in their last five games, with an average of 85.0 points scored and 77.6 allowed.
The matchup between these two teams was particularly intriguing given their previous encounters, which had been split at one win apiece. In their last meeting in March 2025, Stanford had edged out SMU with a 73-68 victory at home, while SMU had previously dominated the earlier encounter that season with an 85-61 win at home.
In terms of injuries, the block did not specify any key player absences affecting either team, allowing both squads to field their full rosters for this important game.
The betting market reflected a close contest, with DraftKings setting the odds at SMU -1.5, indicating a slight edge for the Mustangs despite their recent struggles. The total for the game was set at 155.5, suggesting expectations for a high-scoring affair, which ultimately proved accurate given the final score.
Conditions in Maples Pavilion were conducive to an exciting game, with a lively crowd supporting the Cardinal. Stanford's players took full advantage of their home court, executing their game plan effectively and demonstrating strong teamwork throughout the contest.
As the game progressed, Stanford's offensive rhythm became increasingly evident. Key plays included a series of three-pointers from Jaron Pierre Jr. and Ebuka Okorie, who both contributed significantly to the scoring. In the second half, Stanford extended their lead with a series of successful drives and free throws, culminating in a dominant performance that left little doubt about the outcome.
Overall, this fixture highlighted Stanford's ability to perform under pressure and their capacity to score efficiently, while SMU will need to regroup and address their defensive lapses as they move forward in the season.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | SMU -1.5 | 155.5 o -108 / u -112 | SMU Mustangs -115 · Stanford Cardinal -105 |
Leaders
- PointsBenny Gealer30Stanford Cardinal
- AssistsEbuka Okorie6Stanford Cardinal
- ReboundsAJ Rohosy7Stanford Cardinal
- PointsBoopie Miller26SMU Mustangs
- AssistsBoopie Miller5SMU Mustangs
- ReboundsSamet Yigitoglu7SMU Mustangs
Recent form
Stanford Cardinal
Last 10: 3-7Streak W169.9 scored · 73.4 allowed per game2-3 at home
- W75-67vs Pittsburgh PanthersFeb 26
- L66-72at California Golden BearsFeb 21
- L63-68at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsFeb 14
- W70-64at Boston College EaglesFeb 12
- W95-72vs Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsFeb 8
- L64-66vs Clemson TigersFeb 5
- L80-88at Florida State SeminolesJan 31
- L70-79at Miami HurricanesJan 29
- L66-78vs California Golden BearsJan 25
- L50-80vs Duke Blue DevilsJan 17
SMU Mustangs
Last 10: 6-4Streak L184.2 scored · 78.6 allowed per game2-3 away
- L69-73at California Golden BearsFeb 26
- W94-70vs Boston College EaglesFeb 21
- W95-85vs Louisville CardinalsFeb 18
- L78-79at Syracuse OrangeFeb 14
- W89-81vs Notre Dame Fighting IrishFeb 11
- W86-67at Pittsburgh PanthersFeb 7
- L83-84vs NC State WolfpackFeb 4
- L74-88at Louisville CardinalsJan 31
- W83-80vs Florida State SeminolesJan 24
- W91-79at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsJan 21
Standings
| Team | Overall | Games behind | In conference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 35-3 | - | 17-1 |
| Virginia | 30-6 | 2 | 15-3 |
| Miami | 26-9 | 4 | 13-5 |
| North Carolina | 24-9 | 5 | 12-6 |
| Clemson | 24-11 | 5 | 12-6 |
| Louisville | 24-11 | 6 | 11-7 |
| NC State | 20-14 | 7 | 10-8 |
| Florida State | 18-15 | 7 | 10-8 |
| California | 22-12 | 8 | 9-9 |
| Stanford | 20-13 | 8 | 9-9 |
| Virginia Tech | 19-13 | 9 | 8-10 |
| SMU | 20-14 | 9 | 8-10 |
| Wake Forest | 18-17 | 10 | 7-11 |
| Syracuse | 15-17 | 11 | 6-12 |
| Pittsburgh | 13-20 | 12 | 5-13 |
| Notre Dame | 13-18 | 13 | 4-14 |
| Boston College | 11-20 | 13 | 4-14 |
| Georgia Tech | 11-20 | 15 | 2-16 |
Box score
| Stat | SMU Mustangs | Stanford Cardinal |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 27-57 | 26-51 |
| Field goal % | 47 | 51 |
| Three-pointers | 7-18 | 14-27 |
| Three-point % | 39 | 52 |
| Free throws | 14-20 | 29-32 |
| Free throw % | 70 | 91 |
| Rebounds | 28 | 31 |
| Offensive rebounds | 11 | 9 |
| Defensive rebounds | 17 | 22 |
| Assists | 9 | 16 |
| Steals | 2 | 8 |
| Blocks | 0 | 2 |
| Turnovers | 9 | 7 |
| Team turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 7 | 17 |
| Fast-break points | 8 | 12 |
| Points in the paint | 34 | 24 |
| Fouls | 26 | 18 |
| Largest lead | 2 | 23 |
| Lead changes | 1 | 1 |
| Time in front | 1 | 94 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Half47-58Aidan Cammann makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half47-59Ebuka Okorie makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half47-60Ebuka Okorie makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half48-60Boopie Miller makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half49-60Boopie Miller makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half49-61Ebuka Okorie makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half49-62Ebuka Okorie makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half49-65Jeremy Dent-Smith makes 25-foot three point jumper
- 2nd Half51-65Corey Washington makes driving layup
- 2nd Half51-66Benny Gealer makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half51-67Benny Gealer makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half51-70Jeremy Dent-Smith makes 25-foot three point jumper (Ebuka Okorie assists)
- 2nd Half51-71Benny Gealer makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half51-72Benny Gealer makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half54-72Boopie Miller makes 24-foot three point jumper
- 2nd Half54-73Ebuka Okorie makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half56-73Corey Washington makes layup
- 2nd Half57-73Corey Washington makes free throw 1 of 1
- 2nd Half57-76Benny Gealer makes 25-foot three point jumper (Aidan Cammann assists)
- 2nd Half60-76Jaron Pierre Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jaden Toombs assists)
- 2nd Half60-78AJ Rohosy makes 3-foot alley oop dunk (Ebuka Okorie assists)
- 2nd Half63-78Jaron Pierre Jr. makes 24-foot three point jumper (Boopie Miller assists)
- 2nd Half63-79Benny Gealer makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half63-80Benny Gealer makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half63-81Benny Gealer makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half63-82Aidan Cammann makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half63-83Aidan Cammann makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half64-83Boopie Miller makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half65-83Boopie Miller makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half67-83Samet Yigitoglu makes 4-foot dunk (Boopie Miller assists)
- 2nd Half67-86Benny Gealer makes 26-foot three point jumper
- 2nd Half67-87AJ Rohosy makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half67-88AJ Rohosy makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half69-88Jaron Pierre Jr. makes driving layup
- 2nd Half69-90Ebuka Okorie makes driving layup
- 2nd Half69-91Ebuka Okorie makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half69-92Ebuka Okorie makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half72-92Jaron Pierre Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper
- 2nd Half72-95Ethan Kitch makes 29-foot three point jumper (Ebuka Okorie assists)
- 2nd Half75-95Jaron Pierre Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper
Win probability
Above the line favours Stanford Cardinal, below favours SMU Mustangs.
Venue
- Maples PavilionStanford, CA
- Attendance4493
- OfficialsLee Cassell, Jerry Heater, Ryan Sassano
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- Men's NCAA basketball 2026-27 Way-Too-Early Top 25 rankings
- Transfers, recruits and roster moves for key men's NCAA basketball teams
- Michigan 5-star freshman Brandon McCoy Jr. (knee) to miss season
- With $6.5 million left on deal, UCLA fires AD Martin Jarmond
Picks for NCAAB
NCAAB rules and settlement
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- SMU Dominates Stanford in Convincing VictoryOct 11, 2025