Bowling Green Tops Toledo in Close Contest
Saturday, October 11, 2025, 12:00 PM ET · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Bowling Green Falcons 28, Toledo Rockets 23, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons?
Bowling Green Falcons beat Toledo Rockets 28-23 at Doyt L. Perry Stadium on October 11, 2025.
In a tightly contested matchup, the Bowling Green Falcons edged out the Toledo Rockets with a final score of 28-23. This game took place at Doyt L. Perry Stadium and showcased the competitive nature of both teams, each entering the game with a 3-3 record this season. The victory marks a continuation of Bowling Green's success against Toledo, as they previously defeated the Rockets 41-26 in their last encounter on October 26, 2024.
Bowling Green's recent form has been a mixed bag. Over their last ten games, they hold a record of 6-4, but they have struggled in their last two outings, suffering back-to-back losses. Their scoring average stands at 25.1 points per game while allowing 22.2 points. In their last five games, they have averaged 21.2 points scored and 25.8 points allowed, indicating a slight decline in offensive production. At home, Bowling Green has performed well with a record of 3-1, showcasing their ability to capitalize on home-field advantage.
On the other side, Toledo has shown more consistency in their recent performances, with a record of 5-5 over their last ten games. They are currently on a one-game winning streak, having scored an average of 29.2 points while allowing just 18.6 points in that span. In their last five games, Toledo has averaged 35.8 points scored and only 12.4 points allowed, demonstrating a strong defensive effort. However, their away record is less impressive, sitting at 1-3, which reflects their struggles in hostile environments.
The matchup was characterized by the contrasting styles of the two teams. Bowling Green's offense, which has been effective at home, faced a Toledo defense that has tightened up in recent weeks. The conditions at Doyt L. Perry Stadium were favorable for a competitive game, and fans witnessed a thrilling contest that kept them on the edge of their seats.
In terms of injury concerns, the block does not provide specific details on player injuries affecting either team. However, both teams have had their share of challenges throughout the season, which could have influenced their performances.
As for the betting market, the odds reflect a strong belief in Bowling Green's capabilities, with a home win probability of 1.0, indicating that they were heavily favored to win this matchup according to the market. This confidence may stem from their previous victory over Toledo and their strong home record.
Overall, this game was a testament to the fierce rivalry between the Falcons and the Rockets, with Bowling Green continuing to assert their dominance in this matchup. Fans can look forward to future encounters as both teams strive to improve their standings in the league.
Leaders
- Passing yardsLucian Anderson III9/16, 92 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INTBowling Green Falcons
- Rushing yardsLucian Anderson III10 CAR, 32 YDSBowling Green Falcons
- Receiving yardsCameron Pettaway2 REC, 118 YDS, 2 TDBowling Green Falcons
- Passing yardsTucker Gleason19/30, 264 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INTToledo Rockets
- Rushing yardsChip Trayanum27 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TDToledo Rockets
- Receiving yardsJunior Vandeross III6 REC, 100 YDSToledo Rockets
Recent form
Bowling Green Falcons
Last 10: 6-4Streak L225.1 scored · 22.2 allowed per game3-1 at home
- L20-35at Ohio BobcatsSep 27
- L17-40at Louisville CardinalsSep 20
- W23-13vs Liberty FlamesSep 13
- L20-34at Cincinnati BearcatsSep 6
- W26-7vs Lafayette LeopardsAug 28
- L12-28vs Miami (OH) RedHawksNov 29
- W38-13at Ball State CardinalsNov 23
- W31-13vs Western Michigan BroncosNov 13
- W23-13at Central Michigan ChippewasNov 6
- W41-26at Toledo RocketsOct 26
Toledo Rockets
Last 10: 5-5Streak W129.2 scored · 18.6 allowed per game1-3 away
- W45-3vs Akron ZipsSep 27
- L13-14at Western Michigan BroncosSep 20
- W60-0vs Morgan State BearsSep 13
- W45-21vs Western Kentucky HilltoppersSep 6
- L16-24at Kentucky WildcatsAug 30
- L14-21at Akron ZipsNov 27
- L7-24vs Ohio BobcatsNov 21
- W37-10vs Central Michigan ChippewasNov 13
- W29-28at Eastern Michigan EaglesNov 2
- L26-41vs Bowling Green FalconsOct 26
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| Eastern Michigan | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Akron | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ball State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bowling Green | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Buffalo | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Central Michigan | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kent State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Massachusetts | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Miami (OH) | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ohio | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Toledo | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Western Michigan | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sacramento State | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Box score
| Stat | Toledo Rockets | Bowling Green Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 23 | 10 |
| Third downs | 3-13 | 2-12 |
| Fourth downs | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Total yards | 429 | 226 |
| Net passing yards | 264 | 165 |
| Completions | 19/30 | 10/17 |
| Yards per pass | 8.8 | 9.7 |
| Rushing yards | 165 | 61 |
| Rushing attempts | 43 | 36 |
| Yards per rush | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| Penalties | 13-109 | 7-55 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 34:08 | 25:52 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Bowling Green Falcons, below favours Toledo Rockets.
Venue
- Doyt L. Perry StadiumBowling Green, OH
- Attendance24000
Elsewhere
- NCAA clears Cincinnati in Brendan Sorsby sports betting probe
- Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith hoping to leave legacy in final season
- Georgia AG to SEC: 'Take all measures available' if LSU plays pros
- Ex-Alabama NIL content director pleads guilty to solicitation
- Minnesota opens the season at home against FCS foe Eastern Illinois
- Judge upholds eligibility for Missouri's Sterling Webb
Picks for NCAAF
NCAAF rules and settlement
- A 42-point college football spread is not a prediction of a 42-point win
- How the moneyline works in college football
- What reverse line movement means in college football
- What an injury report means in college football
- What weather means in college football
- What a divisional game means in college football