Toledo Rockets Edge Bowling Green Falcons in Thriller
Thursday, March 12, 2026, 1:30 PM ET · Rocket Arena
Toledo Rockets 77, Bowling Green Falcons 76, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets?
Toledo Rockets beat Bowling Green Falcons 77-76 at Rocket Arena on March 12, 2026.
Who was favored in Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets?
Toledo Rockets were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -125 (about 56% implied). The favorite won.
In a tightly contested matchup, the Toledo Rockets narrowly defeated the Bowling Green Falcons with a final score of 77-76 at Rocket Arena. Both teams entered the game with identical records of 18-14, setting the stage for a crucial clash in the NCAAB landscape. The Rockets were able to secure the win, extending their current winning streak to one game, while the Falcons saw their two-game winning streak come to an end.
Toledo's recent form has shown a solid performance, with a record of 6-4 in their last ten games. They have averaged 79.9 points scored per game while allowing 72.5 points. Their last five games have been particularly impressive, as they have recorded an average of 84.6 points scored and 72.6 points allowed. The Rockets' home record stands at 4-1 in their last five games, indicating a strong advantage when playing at Rocket Arena.
Bowling Green, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results, with a record of 5-5 in their last ten games. They have averaged 72.3 points scored and 71.5 points allowed during this stretch. Their recent form has been less consistent, with a record of 2-3 in their last five games, averaging 77.0 points scored but allowing 77.6 points. Their away record is also 2-3, showing that they have struggled to maintain form on the road.
The matchup was significant not only because of the teams' records but also due to their previous encounters. The all-time series is now tied at 2-2 over the last two seasons. In their most recent meeting on February 14, 2026, Bowling Green secured an 80-70 victory over Toledo, which added extra motivation for the Rockets in this game. Earlier in the 2026 season, Toledo had won a close game against Bowling Green, 73-72, at home, further emphasizing the competitive nature of this rivalry.
In terms of injuries, the block did not provide specific details on player availability, but the absence of key players can often influence the outcome of such close games. Both teams have relied heavily on their core players to perform in crucial moments, and any injuries could have a significant impact.
The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had Toledo as a slight favorite with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 150.5. The odds for Toledo to win outright were listed at -125.0, while Bowling Green was priced at +105.0 for a moneyline bet. This indicates that the market saw Toledo as the more likely winner, albeit by a narrow margin.
The game conditions were conducive for a competitive matchup, with both teams displaying their offensive capabilities. The scoring plays in the final moments showcased the intensity of the game. Javon Ruffin hit a crucial three-pointer to bring Bowling Green within one point, followed by Javontae Campbell's layup that gave the Falcons a brief lead. However, Toledo's Sonny Wilson and Leroy Blyden Jr. made key free throws to secure the victory.
Viewers should have kept an eye on the performances of key players, particularly in the closing moments of the game. The ability to execute under pressure was on full display, as both teams fought hard for every point. The Rockets' ability to convert free throws in the clutch ultimately made the difference in this thrilling encounter.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TOL -1.5 | 150.5 o -115 / u -105 | Bowling Green Falcons +105 · Toledo Rockets -125 |
Leaders
- PointsLeroy Blyden Jr.23Toledo Rockets
- AssistsSonny Wilson3Toledo Rockets
- ReboundsSonny Wilson7Toledo Rockets
- PointsJavontae Campbell16Bowling Green Falcons
- AssistsJavontae Campbell4Bowling Green Falcons
- ReboundsSam Towns9Bowling Green Falcons
Recent form
Toledo Rockets
Last 10: 6-4Streak W179.9 scored · 72.5 allowed per game4-1 at home
- W99-78vs Buffalo BullsMar 7
- L72-74at Miami (OH) RedHawksMar 4
- W79-67at Ohio BobcatsFeb 28
- W79-69vs Northern Illinois HuskiesFeb 25
- W94-75vs Eastern Michigan EaglesFeb 21
- L70-80at Bowling Green FalconsFeb 14
- W90-79at Western Michigan BroncosFeb 12
- L71-73at James Madison DukesFeb 7
- L72-75vs Kent State Golden FlashesFeb 4
- W73-55vs Ball State CardinalsJan 31
Bowling Green Falcons
Last 10: 5-5Streak W272.3 scored · 71.5 allowed per game2-3 away
- W77-69at Eastern Michigan EaglesMar 6
- W81-62vs Massachusetts MinutemenFeb 28
- L79-88vs Western Michigan BroncosFeb 25
- L77-91at Miami (OH) RedHawksFeb 21
- L71-78vs Kent State Golden FlashesFeb 18
- W80-70vs Toledo RocketsFeb 14
- W68-52at Northern Illinois HuskiesFeb 12
- L54-91at Arkansas State Red WolvesFeb 7
- W77-52vs Ball State CardinalsFeb 4
- L59-62at Central Michigan ChippewasFeb 1
Standings
| Team | Overall | Games behind | In conference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) | 32-2 | - | 18-0 |
| Akron | 29-6 | 1 | 17-1 |
| Kent State | 24-10 | 4 | 14-4 |
| Toledo | 19-15 | 7 | 11-7 |
| Bowling Green | 18-14 | 9 | 9-9 |
| Ohio | 15-17 | 9 | 9-9 |
| Buffalo | 17-15 | 11 | 7-11 |
| Massachusetts | 17-16 | 11 | 7-11 |
| Ball State | 12-19 | 11 | 7-11 |
| Central Michigan | 10-21 | 12 | 6-12 |
| Western Michigan | 10-21 | 14 | 4-14 |
| Eastern Michigan | 10-21 | 14 | 4-14 |
| Northern Illinois | 9-21 | 10 | 4-14 |
Box score
| Stat | Bowling Green Falcons | Toledo Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 30-57 | 31-61 |
| Field goal % | 53 | 51 |
| Three-pointers | 5-17 | 8-16 |
| Three-point % | 29 | 50 |
| Free throws | 11-19 | 7-13 |
| Free throw % | 58 | 54 |
| Rebounds | 31 | 34 |
| Offensive rebounds | 8 | 11 |
| Defensive rebounds | 23 | 23 |
| Assists | 15 | 11 |
| Steals | 8 | 7 |
| Blocks | 1 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 11 | 11 |
| Team turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 17 | 14 |
| Fast-break points | 19 | 7 |
| Points in the paint | 48 | 34 |
| Fouls | 14 | 14 |
| Largest lead | 4 | 12 |
| Lead changes | 10 | 10 |
| Time in front | 12 | 81 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Half42-41Javontae Campbell makes driving layup
- 2nd Half44-41Javontae Campbell makes driving layup
- 2nd Half44-44Leroy Blyden Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper
- 2nd Half45-44Javontae Campbell makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half45-46Mynor Strong makes 7-foot jumper
- 2nd Half47-46Troy Glover II makes layup
- 2nd Half47-48Mynor Strong makes 8-foot jumper
- 2nd Half47-50Kyler Vanderjagt makes 16-foot jumper
- 2nd Half49-50Sam Towns makes driving layup (Javontae Campbell assists)
- 2nd Half49-53Kyler Vanderjagt makes 23-foot three point jumper (Sonny Wilson assists)
- 2nd Half50-53Aiden Goins makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half51-53Aiden Goins makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half51-55Leroy Blyden Jr. makes 15-foot jumper
- 2nd Half54-55Justin Thomas makes 25-foot three point jumper (Sam Towns assists)
- 2nd Half54-57Sonny Wilson makes layup (Leroy Blyden Jr. assists)
- 2nd Half54-59Leroy Blyden Jr. makes driving layup
- 2nd Half56-59Mayar Wol makes 14-foot pullup jump shot (Justin Thomas assists)
- 2nd Half56-61Austin Parks makes layup
- 2nd Half57-61Mayar Wol makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half58-61Mayar Wol makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half58-63Sean Craig makes 8-foot jumper (Leroy Blyden Jr. assists)
- 2nd Half58-65Sean Craig makes layup (Austin Parks assists)
- 2nd Half59-65Troy Glover II makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half59-68Leroy Blyden Jr. makes 23-foot three point jumper (Austin Parks assists)
- 2nd Half60-68Javontae Campbell makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half60-71Leroy Blyden Jr. makes 23-foot three point jumper (Sean Craig assists)
- 2nd Half62-71Troy Glover II makes layup (Javontae Campbell assists)
- 2nd Half64-71Sam Towns makes layup (Troy Glover II assists)
- 2nd Half65-71Sam Towns makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half67-71Sam Towns makes layup (Javontae Campbell assists)
- 2nd Half67-73Leroy Blyden Jr. makes 9-foot turnaround jump shot
- 2nd Half69-73Javontae Campbell makes driving layup
- 2nd Half72-73Javon Ruffin makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
- 2nd Half74-73Javontae Campbell makes driving layup
- 2nd Half74-74Leroy Blyden Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half74-75Leroy Blyden Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half74-76Sonny Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half74-77Sonny Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half75-77Javontae Campbell makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half76-77Javontae Campbell makes free throw 2 of 2
Win probability
Above the line favours Toledo Rockets, below favours Bowling Green Falcons.
Venue
- Rocket ArenaCleveland, OH
- OfficialsAlfred Smith, Michael Griffith, Jourdan Love
Elsewhere
- Projecting every Big East team's floor and ceiling for 2026-27
- Carson Crawford, No. 46 in '27 class, commits to Arizona St.
- Tennessee's Ralph Scott to have knee surgery, out at least 6 months
- Men's NCAA basketball 2026-27 Way-Too-Early Top 25 rankings
- Transfers, recruits and roster moves for key men's NCAA basketball teams
- Michigan 5-star freshman Brandon McCoy Jr. (knee) to miss season