NCAAB · Final

Dukes Edge Rockets in Close Contest

Saturday, February 7, 2026, 4:00 PM ET · Atlantic Union Bank Center

James Madison Dukes 73, Toledo Rockets 71, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Toledo Rockets vs James Madison Dukes?

James Madison Dukes beat Toledo Rockets 73-71 at Atlantic Union Bank Center on February 7, 2026.

Who was favored in Toledo Rockets vs James Madison Dukes?

Toledo Rockets were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -118 (about 54% implied). The underdog won.

In a thrilling matchup at the Atlantic Union Bank Center, the James Madison Dukes narrowly defeated the Toledo Rockets with a final score of 73-71. This victory marks a significant moment for the Dukes, who had been struggling recently, having lost their last two games prior to this contest. The win also avenges their previous meeting with Toledo, where they fell short 69-72 in the 2025 season.

Both teams entered the game with identical records, the Dukes at 12-13 and the Rockets at 12-12. James Madison's recent form showed a record of 4-6 over their last ten games, with an average of 71.3 points scored and 71.4 points allowed. In contrast, Toledo had a more balanced recent performance, going 5-5 in their last ten, averaging 79.2 points scored and allowing 77.2 points. This game was crucial for both teams as they sought to improve their standings.

At home, the Dukes had a record of 2-3 in their last five games, while the Rockets had a 3-2 record in their last five away games. The Dukes' home performance had been inconsistent, but they managed to pull through in this crucial matchup. The scoring averages for both teams indicated a potential for a high-scoring affair, which was reflected in the pre-game total set at 153.5 by DraftKings.

The game conditions were conducive to a competitive atmosphere, and both teams were looking to capitalize on their strengths. The Dukes had to contend with their recent struggles, particularly in their last two outings, where they scored 61 points against Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and 65 against Southern Miss Golden Eagles. Toledo, on the other hand, was coming off a loss to Kent State Golden Flashes, where they scored 72 points.

In terms of injuries, the block did not specify any significant player absences for either team, suggesting that both squads were at full strength for this important matchup. The absence of key players can often shift the dynamics of a game, but in this case, both teams were able to field their best lineups.

As the game unfolded, the Dukes managed to maintain a slight edge, with pivotal plays in the second half helping them secure the win. Notable moments included Leroy Blyden Jr. making a driving layup to bring the score to 67-64 in favor of James Madison. The back-and-forth nature of the game kept fans on the edge of their seats, with Toledo making several attempts to close the gap.

The final moments of the game showcased the intensity of the competition. After a series of scoring plays, including a crucial hook shot by Blyden Jr. and free throws by Justin McBride, the Dukes managed to hold on to their lead. The final free throw by Eli Wilborn capped off the scoring, sealing the victory for James Madison.

The market had priced the matchup closely, with DraftKings setting Toledo as a slight favorite with a spread of 1.5 points. The odds reflected the competitive nature of the game, indicating that both teams were viewed as evenly matched.

Overall, this game was a testament to the resilience of the Dukes, who managed to overcome their recent struggles and secure a vital win against a formidable opponent. As both teams look to improve their records moving forward, this contest will serve as a pivotal moment in their respective seasons.

Odds

Book	Spread	Total	Moneyline
DraftKings	TOL -1.5	153.5 o -115 / u -105	Toledo Rockets -118 · James Madison Dukes -102

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Leaders

PointsCliff Davis18James Madison Dukes
AssistsBradley Douglas3James Madison Dukes
ReboundsPreston Fowler9James Madison Dukes
PointsLeroy Blyden Jr.24Toledo Rockets
AssistsLeroy Blyden Jr.5Toledo Rockets
ReboundsSean Craig5Toledo Rockets

Recent form

James Madison Dukes

Last 10: 4-6Streak L271.3 scored · 71.4 allowed per game2-3 at home

L61-64vs Louisiana Ragin' CajunsFeb 5
L65-73at Southern Miss Golden EaglesJan 31
W73-64at Troy TrojansJan 30
W82-57vs Texas State BobcatsJan 24
L83-90vs South Alabama JaguarsJan 23
L72-77at Marshall Thundering HerdJan 17
L65-80at App State MountaineersJan 15
W70-69vs Old Dominion MonarchsJan 10
L64-66vs Marshall Thundering HerdJan 8
W78-74at Arkansas State Red WolvesJan 3

Toledo Rockets

Last 10: 5-5Streak L179.2 scored · 77.2 allowed per game2-3 away

L72-75vs Kent State Golden FlashesFeb 4
W73-55vs Ball State CardinalsJan 31
L81-91at Akron ZipsJan 28
W73-72vs Bowling Green FalconsJan 24
L82-84at Massachusetts MinutemenJan 20
L84-87at Kent State Golden FlashesJan 16
W101-85vs Ohio BobcatsJan 14
L73-87vs Miami (OH) RedHawksJan 9
W75-61at Northern Illinois HuskiesJan 7
W78-75at Central Michigan ChippewasJan 3

Standings

Team	Overall	Games behind	In conference
Miami (OH)	32-2	-	18-0
Akron	29-6	1	17-1
Kent State	24-10	4	14-4
Toledo	19-15	7	11-7
Bowling Green	18-14	9	9-9
Ohio	15-17	9	9-9
Buffalo	17-15	11	7-11
Massachusetts	17-16	11	7-11
Ball State	12-19	11	7-11
Central Michigan	10-21	12	6-12
Western Michigan	10-21	14	4-14
Eastern Michigan	10-21	14	4-14
Northern Illinois	9-21	10	4-14
Troy	22-12	-	12-6
South Alabama	21-12	1	11-7
Arkansas State	20-12	1	11-7
Texas State	19-13	1	11-7
Marshall	19-13	1	11-7
Coastal Carolina	19-13	1	11-7
App State	19-13	1	11-7
James Madison	18-15	3	9-9
Southern Miss	19-16	3	9-9
Georgia Southern	21-16	4	8-10
Old Dominion	12-21	5	7-11
Louisiana	11-22	5	7-11
Georgia State	10-22	5	7-11
UL Monroe	4-28	11	1-17

Box score

Stat	Toledo Rockets	James Madison Dukes
Field goals	28-57	25-57
Field goal %	49	44
Three-pointers	5-17	8-27
Three-point %	29	30
Free throws	10-15	15-17
Free throw %	67	88
Rebounds	27	38
Offensive rebounds	6	12
Defensive rebounds	21	26
Assists	14	14
Steals	8	5
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers	8	14
Team turnovers	0	2
Technical fouls	0	0
Technical fouls, total	0	0
Flagrant fouls	0	0
Points off turnovers	15	10
Fast-break points	8	17
Points in the paint	38	30
Fouls	15	17
Largest lead	4	9
Lead changes	9	9
Time in front	27	62

How the scoring went

2nd Half36-36Cliff Davis makes layup
2nd Half36-37Eddie Ricks III makes free throw 1 of 2
2nd Half36-38Eddie Ricks III makes free throw 2 of 2
2nd Half36-40Cliff Davis makes driving layup
2nd Half36-42Eddie Ricks III makes 4-foot dunk
2nd Half36-45Bradley Douglas makes 23-foot three point jumper (Kose Egbule assists)
2nd Half38-45Sonny Wilson makes driving layup
2nd Half38-47Christian Brown makes 4-foot dunk (Bradley Douglas assists)
2nd Half40-47Sean Craig makes layup
2nd Half41-47Sean Craig makes free throw 1 of 1
2nd Half43-47Sonny Wilson makes 8-foot jumper (Jaylan Ouwinga assists)
2nd Half43-50Paul Jones III makes 24-foot three point jumper (Justin McBride assists)
2nd Half45-50Leroy Blyden Jr. makes layup (Sonny Wilson assists)
2nd Half46-50Leroy Blyden Jr. makes free throw 1 of 1
2nd Half46-52Bradley Douglas makes 21-foot jumper (Cliff Davis assists)
2nd Half47-52Leroy Blyden Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
2nd Half48-52Leroy Blyden Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
2nd Half48-54Cliff Davis makes layup
2nd Half48-56Gabe Newhof makes 5-foot hook shot
2nd Half49-56Austin Parks makes free throw 1 of 2
2nd Half49-58Bradley Douglas makes driving layup
2nd Half51-58Sonny Wilson makes 6-foot jumper
2nd Half52-58Sonny Wilson makes free throw 1 of 1
2nd Half54-58Sonny Wilson makes driving layup
2nd Half54-61Kose Egbule makes 26-foot three point jumper (Bradley Douglas assists)
2nd Half57-61Leroy Blyden Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper (Sonny Wilson assists)
2nd Half57-64Bradley Douglas makes 26-foot three point jumper (Justin Taylor assists)
2nd Half60-64Sonny Wilson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Leroy Blyden Jr. assists)
2nd Half61-64Sonny Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
2nd Half62-64Sonny Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
2nd Half62-66Kose Egbule makes 6-foot jumper
2nd Half62-67Kose Egbule makes free throw 1 of 1
2nd Half64-67Austin Parks makes driving layup (Leroy Blyden Jr. assists)
2nd Half66-67Leroy Blyden Jr. makes driving layup
2nd Half66-70Cliff Davis makes 24-foot three point jumper (Bradley Douglas assists)
2nd Half69-70Leroy Blyden Jr. makes 23-foot three point jumper (Austin Parks assists)
2nd Half71-70Leroy Blyden Jr. makes 5-foot hook shot
2nd Half71-71Justin McBride makes free throw 1 of 2
2nd Half71-72Justin McBride makes free throw 2 of 2
2nd Half71-73Eli Wilborn makes free throw 1 of 2