Michigan State Dominates Toledo in Season Opener
Thursday, November 5, 2026, 8:00 PM ET · Breslin Center
Michigan State Spartans 91, Toledo Rockets 61, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans?
Michigan State Spartans beat Toledo Rockets 91-61 at Breslin Center on November 5, 2026.
Who was favored in Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans?
Michigan State Spartans were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -9000 (about 99% implied). The favorite won.
The Michigan State Spartans showcased their dominance in a decisive victory over the Toledo Rockets, finishing the game with a score of 91-61.
They displayed an impressive average of 80.8 points scored per game, while allowing 75.5 points to their opponents. In their most recent outing before facing Toledo, the Spartans defeated the Quinnipiac Bobcats with a score of 96-59, demonstrating their offensive prowess.
In contrast, Toledo struggled to find their footing this season, coming into this game with a 0-2 record. Their scoring average was 79.3 points per game, while they allowed an average of 73.6 points. The Rockets were looking to bounce back after losing their last two games, including a narrow defeat to the Arkansas State Red Wolves, where they lost 70-71.
The Spartans had previously faced the Rockets in December 2025, where they secured a convincing 92-69 victory. This history likely added to the confidence of Michigan State heading into the game.
In terms of injuries, the block does not provide specific details, but both teams were expected to field their best players for this matchup. The betting market reflected Michigan State's strong position, with DraftKings listing them as 25.5-point favorites. The total points line was set at 155.5, with odds of -105.0 for the over and -115.0 for the under, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game.
Conditions in the Breslin Center were favorable for basketball, providing an energetic atmosphere for the home team. Fans witnessed a display of skill and teamwork from the Spartans, who maintained control throughout the game. Key scoring plays included a series of three-pointers and free throws that extended their lead significantly in the second half.
As the game progressed, Michigan State's offensive strategy became evident, with players like Carlos Medlock Jr. contributing significantly with a 23-foot three-point jumper that capped off the scoring for the Spartans. The Rockets, while showing flashes of potential, were unable to keep pace with the Spartans' relentless attack.
Overall, this matchup served as a clear indicator of the disparity in form between the two teams, with Michigan State asserting their dominance and Toledo continuing to seek answers as they navigate a challenging start to their season.
What we said beforehand
The upcoming matchup between the Michigan State Spartans and the Toledo Rockets at the Breslin Center promises to be an intriguing contest, particularly given the contrasting records of the two teams.
Michigan State's recent form shows a mixed bag, with a record of 3-2 in their last five games. Their most recent outing was a victory against the Quinnipiac Bobcats, where they won decisively with a score of 96-59. In those last five games, they averaged 85.6 points scored while allowing 77.6 points. Their last ten games reflect a stronger home performance, with a record of 5-1 at home and an average of 80.8 points scored against 75.5 allowed.
Toledo, on the other hand, comes into this game on a two-game losing streak, having lost their last match against the Arkansas State Red Wolves by a score of 71-70. Their recent form shows a record of 3-2 in the last five games, with an average of 79.8 points scored and 74.2 points allowed. They have struggled on the road, with an away record of 1-4 in their last five games.
In terms of head-to-head matchups, Michigan State has won the only previous meeting this season against Toledo, which took place on December 16, 2025, ending with a score of 92-69 in favor of the Spartans. This history could play a psychological role as the teams meet again.
The injury picture is not detailed in the provided facts, but it could impact both teams' performance. Michigan State's Jeremy Fears Jr. has been a standout player, leading the team in points with an average of 13.0 and assists with 11.0. For Toledo, Mynor Strong leads with an average of 18.0 points, while Jaylan Ouwinga is notable for his rebounding prowess, averaging 14.0 boards per game.
The betting market reflects Michigan State as significant favorites, with DraftKings setting the spread at -26.5 in favor of the Spartans. The total for the game is set at 155.5, with the over priced at -105.0 and the under at -115.0. Michigan State's moneyline stands at -9000, while Toledo's is at 2500, indicating a strong belief in a Spartans victory.
As the game approaches, viewers should watch for how Michigan State utilizes their home-court advantage and whether Toledo can adjust their strategy after their recent struggles. The performance of key players like Fears Jr. and Strong will also be crucial in determining the outcome of this contest.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | MSU -25.5 | 155.5 o -105 / u -115 | Toledo Rockets +2500 · Michigan State Spartans -9000 |
Leaders
- PointsJasiah Jervis16Michigan State Spartans
- AssistsJeremy Fears Jr.9Michigan State Spartans
- ReboundsJordan Scott9Michigan State Spartans
- PointsMynor Strong11Toledo Rockets
- AssistsMynor Strong2Toledo Rockets
- ReboundsWill James Jr.5Toledo Rockets
Recent form
Michigan State Spartans
Last 10: 7-3Streak W180.8 scored · 75.5 allowed per game5-1 at home
- W96-59vs Quinnipiac BobcatsNov 3
- L84-88vs UCLA BruinsMar 14
- L80-90at Michigan WolverinesMar 8
- W91-87vs Rutgers Scarlet KnightsMar 6
- W77-64at Indiana HoosiersMar 1
- W76-74at Purdue BoilermakersFeb 27
- W66-60vs Ohio State BuckeyesFeb 22
- W82-59vs UCLA BruinsFeb 18
- L71-92at Wisconsin BadgersFeb 14
- W85-82vs Illinois Fighting IlliniFeb 8
Toledo Rockets
Last 10: 6-4Streak L279.3 scored · 73.6 allowed per game1-4 away
- L70-71at Arkansas State Red WolvesNov 3
- L76-79at Akron ZipsMar 15
- W77-67vs Massachusetts MinutemenMar 13
- W77-76vs Bowling Green FalconsMar 12
- W99-78vs Buffalo BullsMar 7
- L72-74at Miami (OH) RedHawksMar 4
- W79-67at Ohio BobcatsFeb 28
- W79-69vs Northern Illinois HuskiesFeb 25
- W94-75vs Eastern Michigan EaglesFeb 21
- L70-80at Bowling Green FalconsFeb 14
Standings
| Team | Overall | Games behind | In conference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Bowling Green | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Central Michigan | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Eastern Michigan | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Massachusetts | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Miami (OH) | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Ohio | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Western Michigan | 1-1 | - | 0-0 |
| Ball State | 0-1 | - | 0-0 |
| Kent State | 0-1 | - | 0-0 |
| Buffalo | 0-2 | - | 0-0 |
| Toledo | 0-2 | - | 0-0 |
| Indiana | 2-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Michigan State | 2-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Penn State | 2-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Illinois | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Iowa | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Maryland | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Michigan | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Minnesota | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Nebraska | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Northwestern | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Oregon | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| UCLA | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| USC | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Washington | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Wisconsin | 1-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Rutgers | 0-0 | - | 0-0 |
| Ohio State | 0-1 | - | 0-0 |
| Purdue | 0-1 | - | 0-0 |
Box score
| Stat | Toledo Rockets | Michigan State Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 19-57 | 29-57 |
| Field goal % | 33 | 51 |
| Three-pointers | 5-21 | 10-24 |
| Three-point % | 24 | 42 |
| Free throws | 18-29 | 23-38 |
| Free throw % | 62 | 61 |
| Rebounds | 27 | 52 |
| Offensive rebounds | 9 | 16 |
| Defensive rebounds | 18 | 36 |
| Assists | 9 | 22 |
| Steals | 8 | 8 |
| Blocks | 3 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 12 | 14 |
| Team turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 9 | 17 |
| Fast-break points | 14 | 20 |
| Points in the paint | 24 | 36 |
| Fouls | 25 | 24 |
| Largest lead | 2 | 33 |
| Lead changes | 1 | 1 |
| Time in front | 2 | 96 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Half28-58Anton Bonke makes layup
- 2nd Half28-60Kaleb Glenn makes layup
- 2nd Half29-60Jaylan Ouwinga makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half31-60Will James Jr. makes layup (Mynor Strong assists)
- 2nd Half33-60Angel Montas Jr. makes 10-foot floating jump shot (Jaylohn Allen assists)
- 2nd Half33-62Anton Bonke makes layup
- 2nd Half35-62Rich Barron makes layup
- 2nd Half35-63Kaleb Glenn makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half35-65Ethan Taylor makes layup (Cam Ward assists)
- 2nd Half37-65Mynor Strong makes 10-foot jumper
- 2nd Half37-68Kur Teng makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jordan Scott assists)
- 2nd Half39-68Mynor Strong makes 11-foot jumper
- 2nd Half39-71Jordan Scott makes 23-foot three point jumper (Carlos Medlock Jr. assists)
- 2nd Half40-71Rashaun Porter makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half41-71Rashaun Porter makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half42-71Rich Barron makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half42-72Ethan Taylor makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half44-72Angel Montas Jr. makes layup (Jaylan Ouwinga assists)
- 2nd Half44-73Jeremy Fears Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half44-74Jeremy Fears Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half45-74Jaylohn Allen makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half45-75Coen Carr makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half45-76Coen Carr makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half47-76Jaylan Ouwinga makes 11-foot jumper
- 2nd Half50-76Jaylan Ouwinga makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jaylohn Allen assists)
- 2nd Half50-78Coen Carr makes layup (Jeremy Fears Jr. assists)
- 2nd Half50-80Jeremy Fears Jr. makes layup (Jesse McCulloch assists)
- 2nd Half51-80Rich Barron makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half52-80Rashaun Porter makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half53-80Rashaun Porter makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half53-83Carlos Medlock Jr. makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jordan Scott assists)
- 2nd Half53-84Kaleb Glenn makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half53-85Kaleb Glenn makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half55-85Jaylohn Allen makes layup
- 2nd Half55-88Jasiah Jervis makes 24-foot three point jumper (Carlos Medlock Jr. assists)
- 2nd Half56-88Rashaun Porter makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half59-88Manny Johnson makes 27-foot three point jumper (Rashaun Porter assists)
- 2nd Half60-88Rashaun Porter makes free throw 1 of 2
- 2nd Half61-88Rashaun Porter makes free throw 2 of 2
- 2nd Half61-91Carlos Medlock Jr. makes 23-foot three point jumper (Matthew Watkins assists)
Win probability
Above the line favours Michigan State Spartans, below favours Toledo Rockets.
Venue
- Breslin CenterEast Lansing, MI
- Attendance14797
- OfficialsTim Comer, Paul Szelc, Jason Phillips
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