NCAAB · Final

Cal Poly Mustangs Defeat UC Davis Aggies 84-78

Saturday, January 10, 2026, 5:00 PM ET · Mott Athletics Center

Cal Poly Mustangs 84, UC Davis Aggies 78, final. Our NCAAB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won UC Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs?

Cal Poly Mustangs beat UC Davis Aggies 84-78 at Mott Athletics Center on January 10, 2026.

Who was favored in UC Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs?

UC Davis Aggies were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -115 (about 53% implied). The underdog won.

In a closely contested matchup, the Cal Poly Mustangs triumphed over the UC Davis Aggies with a final score of 84-78 at the Mott Athletics Center. This victory is significant for the Mustangs, who have been struggling recently, now improving their overall record to 8-11 while the Aggies fall to 9-8. The game showcased a fierce battle, with both teams demonstrating strong offensive plays throughout the contest.

The Mustangs entered this game with a home record of 7-11 and had been struggling with a recent form of 3-7 over their last ten games, including a two-game losing streak leading up to this match. They averaged 80.3 points scored while allowing 85.2 points per game during this stretch. Their previous game resulted in a loss to the Cal State Northridge Matadors, where they fell 90-95. In contrast, the Aggies had a more favorable recent form, standing at 5-5 in their last ten games with a one-game winning streak. They averaged 82.7 points scored and allowed 79.1 points per game, coming off a victory against the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, winning 93-86.

When analyzing the home and away performances, the Mustangs had a home record of 2-4 in their last six games, while the Aggies had a 2-3 record in their away games during the same period. Historically, the Mustangs have struggled against the Aggies, with a head-to-head record of 1-2 in their last three meetings. The last encounter took place on March 13, 2025, where the Aggies won 86-76. However, the Mustangs managed to turn the tables this time around.

In terms of injuries, the block does not provide specific details regarding player availability for either team, which can often play a crucial role in the outcome of a game. However, the absence or presence of key players could have influenced the dynamics of the match.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Aggies as slight favorites with a spread of 1.5 points. The total for the game was set at 168.5, with both the over and under priced at -110. The moneyline odds were -105 for the Mustangs and -115 for the Aggies, indicating a competitive matchup expected by the bookmakers.

Conditions during the game were typical for indoor basketball, with no adverse weather factors affecting play. The atmosphere in the Mott Athletics Center was likely charged, as home fans rallied behind the Mustangs in a crucial game for their season.

As the game progressed, key moments included several successful free throws in the second half that helped the Mustangs maintain their lead. Connor Sevilla made three consecutive free throws, bringing the Aggies to 78 points, while Cayden Ward and Hamad Mousa also contributed with free throws that pushed the Mustangs to their final score of 84. The final moments showcased the Mustangs' ability to capitalize on free throw opportunities, a critical aspect of their late-game strategy.

Viewers watching this fixture were treated to a display of resilience from the Mustangs, who managed to secure a much-needed victory against a rival team. The game highlighted the importance of home court advantage and the ability to execute under pressure, particularly in the closing stages. With this win, the Mustangs will look to build momentum moving forward, while the Aggies will need to regroup and address their defensive lapses as they continue their season.

Odds

Book	Spread	Total	Moneyline
DraftKings	UCD -1.5	168.5 o -110 / u -110	UC Davis Aggies -115 · Cal Poly Mustangs -105

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Leaders

PointsHamad Mousa24Cal Poly Mustangs
AssistsPeter Bandelj4Cal Poly Mustangs
ReboundsHamad Mousa10Cal Poly Mustangs
PointsNils Cooper18UC Davis Aggies
AssistsNils Cooper5UC Davis Aggies
ReboundsNils Cooper7UC Davis Aggies

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